The 2026 El Niño is developing unusually fast — and may rival the strongest ever recorded

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E5VL@reddit

Whilst my friend is saying it's nice that the winter isn't cold like normal.... And me trying to get across to them how bad it is that the winter isn't cold.

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Vercoduex@reddit

Weirdest thing past year we had snow although non sticking in tampa florida. That's not a good sign either.

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While I agree with you that it's really bad that the winter isn't too cold, your friend can also be happy that it isn't too cold. Being unhappy about it will unfortunately not change it. We should prepare for the worst though.

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Agile_Drive_8306@reddit

My cousin is like that. It's so hard to hammer stuff like this into the people you care about but at least my grandparents and father know how it is. (Even if my grandmother is connecting it to religion.)

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Cultural-Answer-321@reddit

Yes and will. Or worse.

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ansibleloop@reddit

Good thing there's no wars going on disrupting the global food supply

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broccolimemes@reddit

worse+

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AwakePlatypus@reddit

worse Max

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greenyadadamean@reddit

Worse than expected

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Lostregard@reddit

Oh no…. Taco Tuesdays will never be the same

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nicnic22@reddit

Name checks out

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Saturn_winter@reddit

Yes, but also I'm pretty sure we've made some progress on our agriculture resilience in the last 150 years. I would wager that this el Nino is going to be worse than the 1800s one, but less people will die/suffer. Which all things considered, despite putting ourselves into this predicament in the first place, the fact that less people will suffer during this event than the previous similar one is something we should be a little proud of.

That of course being strictly related to the el Nino event and not including whatever compounding issues that will also arise at the same time because of the current energy and shipping crisis which will almost certainly make dealing with the el Nino significantly more difficult in various ways, many of which are probably still unforseen.

But the el Nino on its own - ! Hey we've made some strides lol, I'll take the silver lining where we can still find it.

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hailene02@reddit

Agree- if the only thing we were worrying about was the el Nino its probably be a little rough but with current farming techniques itd be ok.

With fertilizer/urea/etc issues on top im expecting a very bad few years ahead of us 😩😩😩

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aquaNewt@reddit

And the gutting of USAID

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GlockAF@reddit

We could solve the agricultural water crisis by the simple expedient of making the irrigation of alfalfa with aquifer water a felony crime.

Export of alfalfa hay from the US, ESPECIALLY hay grown with fossil water need to be treated the same as exporting military equipment, because it has geopolitical influence

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Tappindatfanny@reddit

This is dumb many crops take as much water as alfalfa or more and they’re also exported.

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ggpolizzi@reddit

I love this sub and reading comments from people that are knowledgeable in areas I have no knowledge of. Who does the US export hay to? I know I could Google this but I enjoy dialogue.

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anothermatt1@reddit

It’s the Saudis mostly. They also bought up the Canadian Wheat board a decade ago when our genius Conservative government sold off our golden goose for some beans.

https://canadians.org/analysis/harper-sells-wheat-board-us-corporation-saudi-investment-fund/

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dyggythecat@reddit

It might be best to Google it.

I think they are referencing the farms owned by foreign nationals who than transport the crop back to their country. They use US fertile soil, US water, and US air to grow resource for foreign country.

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Ifiagreeidillydilly@reddit

In Arizona no less

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znirmik@reddit

"Gulf to the Indian subcontinent run approximately 30 days, meaning supply shortfalls in March affected April and May planting windows, with the full harvest consequences not expected to become visible in production data until Q3–Q4 2026."

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/campus/traders-insight/securities/commodities/two-shocks-one-direction-the-case-for-agricultural-commodities-in-2026/

It might be a rough year, especially for the poorer countries.

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MorningsideLights@reddit

It might be a rough year, especially for the poorer countries.

The second half has always been true.

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happypawn@reddit

everything bout to get more ‘spensive, including food

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Rick_06@reddit

What are the effects for Europe? There are lot of info for the US, but not so much for us on the other side of the pond.

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curiousitrocity@reddit

Hold on to your butts.

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Dulcette@reddit

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Yelworc0242@reddit

People will die, but they will be poor, and Americans will say they made bad choices. 😢

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KnowledgeMediocre404@reddit

A lot of americans are poor.... and theyre not exactly entering this with leadership.

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ggpolizzi@reddit

Very true. Highly doubt this administration will do well with mass climate refugee migration. Thing is, it’s going to happen in our own country. In my opinion it is scary to think how people who hate immigrants feel about their now displaced neighbors from southeastern coastal states who are a couple hurricanes from having to migrate West. They will have to be housed somewhere, and highly doubtful there will be enough existing housing to accommodate them. Will they have to live in tents? Who is going to want a tent city in/within their city? Likely not the red adjacent states? Doesn’t that party think homelessness is a mental health issue?

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labrat564@reddit

Maybe that’s part of why they want Greenland… it’s cold and it’s massive

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_MoGo97_@reddit

And full of unexploited resources

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trickortreat89@reddit

It’s so unbelievably cruel that no government anywhere in the world is even warning its citizens about this! I live in Northern Europe and all the travel companies be like “Go south and enjoy the sun!”.

Where’s the responsibility for taking care of a country’s own citizen? No one should go south this summer or autumn and spend their money and time to go directly towards something we can’t foresee but know won’t end well. Those who live in the south…RIP😳 And stay indoors in shadow, prepare yourselves as good as possible towards natural disasters such as fires, flooding, heatwaves.

I grieve this year’s summer and autumn… it won’t even become the eye opener we hope for that could maybe just put any sense back into the mind of the people who rule this world. They refuse to even just acknowledge human made climate changes and not even this year’s horror will change anything for them either.

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BrilliantSpecial3413@reddit

Bring it on.

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greenyadadamean@reddit

That's the spirit

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europeanputin@reddit

I understood El Niños form in the fall, like September. What's with May?

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darweth@reddit

Interesting times ahead. Can't check out now. Stay alive people. This will be once in a lifetime stuff. I don't now whether to laugh or cry, but at least we can't say we live in boring times!

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IAMA_Drunk_Armadillo@reddit

I'm exhausted from living through once in a lifetime events, boss.

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Losing_my_Bemidji@reddit

WE'RE JUST GETTIN STARTED BOY!

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Kazaryn@reddit

Frfr

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PungentPussyOdor@reddit

I find these events to be incredibly predictable, unfortunately

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AlwaysPissedOff59@reddit

"This will be once in a lifetime stuff."

Until the next El Nino. Or the one after that.

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Burial@reddit

Once in a lifetime undersells it to a comical degree.

Even once in a civilization undersells it. We're witnessing the end of the Holocene in real time. The stone age, the bronze age, ancient Greece and Rome, all of it led to this peak of human civilization being destroyed by hubris, greed, and apathy.

Once per macrohistorical epoch probably fits best.

It may even be once per rise of intelligent civilization, depending on whether you think whatever comes after us will ever have enough dense, accessible energy sources to get to this level of industrial and technological development.

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WightWhale@reddit

Why do you think it’s once in a lifetime

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KnowledgeMediocre404@reddit

The 6th mass extinction? I mean, there's only been 6 in 4 billion years, it's pretty special.

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JohnnyBoy11@reddit

No, strongest el nino recorded

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lost_horizons@reddit

I think he's referring to the whole situation we are in as a planet. I'm maybe reading into it but the wars, the economy, politics, CLIMATE, systems collapse across the board. We may lose billions of people in our lifetime. It's once in a lifetime for sure, the convergence of massive crises about to rectify themselves, violently if necessary.

Good luck to us all! But I agree to be stoic about it, no point going to pieces at every crisis. Grab the popcorn and let your soul witness a unique moment in the history of humanity.

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Murranji@reddit

Perfectly timed to coincide with the lower food output from the lack of fertiliser. Revolutions are the only thing that can save the living creatures of the planet at this point.

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BahsilTheThird@reddit

We gonna die ❤️

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lost_horizons@reddit

The only certainty in life.

When I get worked up about my portfolio, or dumb shit at work, or politics, or collapse I kinda remember that man, money might mean next to nothing within ten years, I may not live long enough to need a retirement account, and in the meantime life is pretty good all things considered; and I'll try to enjoy each breath. Takes the pressure off anyways.

I am kinda into "manifesting" as a personal belief, and am an inveterate optimist, I'll figure something out whatever comes my way, and straining about it isn't gonna help me today or tomorrow.

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BahsilTheThird@reddit

Tbf politics is what got us into this mess, and it’s the only thing that will get us out of it as well. Money isn’t apolitical. Nor is it green.

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lost_horizons@reddit

Oh I know. Everything is political. But at the same time, no it isn't. Me sitting quietly breathing the air isn't. It can be framed that way (is the air clean depends on laws about air pollution, etc) but I won't live my whole life in that frame. There's a world beyond the human-centric.

As I'm writing it, I'm not sure the point of this comment, I guess I'm agreeing with you. But also saying that life is larger (or deeper) than politics, and a politics worth involving myself in needs the depth of the Z-axis I'm getting at obliquely. Something like a sense of spirituality needs to be in it (that's not the word I want but it gets at the depth)

Our late stage capitalist left-vs-right world is stuck in a shallow 2 dimensional framing and maybe that's why we're in this poly-crisis.

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