Tracking the "monster" El Nino

The N. Atlantic seems to be especially chill, which for this particular forecast is good news, I'll leave references to "Day After Tomorrow" to others. The Indian Ocean Dipole seems to be strengthening, which could be bad news. Anyway, there seems to be little doubt we are in for a major event.

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ImportantCountry50@reddit (OP)

I just wonder how long until they need another color? A lovely shade of purple, or maybe something in violet. That way we can rename the "greater than 2degC" category to "2 to 3degC" and label the new your-old-planet-is-gone category to "greater than 3degC".

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gmuslera@reddit

We have to assume that >2°C is no >3° (maybe not even 2.5) in any big enough area or we are missing information there. Around the end of 2015 it reached 2.75, so everything over that is already unprecedented (at least in relative terms, in absolute it should be worse)

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Uniikron@reddit

If you look at the latest ECMWF models, a +3.0 anomaly on the 3.4 region is not that unlikely

https://charts.ecmwf.int/permalinks/nino-plumes-seasonal-forecast-seas5-66870

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OmegaDeathspell@reddit

Getting tired of living in interesting times.

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AntonChigurh8933@reddit

Goodnight Irene

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EastTyne1191@reddit

I was looking at my pictures from 2019, because that was a year of absolute stupid amounts of snow. It was preceded by a very hot summer and I can't help thinking that this El Niño might be similar to that one. We're likely in for some very capricious weather over the next year.

The winter that year was awful. We had snow 3-4 feet deep in our yard, I recall wading through it to tend to our chickens. We missed almost two full weeks of school that February.

We have a wood stove and I'm handy at chopping wood, but I can't imagine what it would have been like to have to run a generator in an economy where gas is $6 per gallon.

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doooompatrol@reddit

Yeah... about that $6 gas...it's going to go way up.

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Sherris010@reddit

I think it hits $10 by december

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seanx50@reddit

That doesn't look horrible at All

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Fine_Section_172@reddit

hol up.. are some parts of Indonesia getting colder? looks like I need to get ready for heavy rain.

the weather over the past two years has been unusual for us; we’ve been getting rain during the dry season.

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ShyElf@reddit

Eastern and central Indonesia is firmly dry during El Nino and wet during La Nina, which we've been having. Sumatra is weakly the other way around.

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StatementBot@reddit

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The following submission statement was provided by /u/ImportantCountry50:

The N. Atlantic seems to be especially chill, which for this particular forecast is good news, I'll leave references to "Day After Tomorrow" to others. The Indian Ocean Dipole seems to be strengthening, which could be bad news. Anyway, there seems to be little doubt we are in for a major event.

Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1tco0hi/tracking_the_monster_el_nino/olpf70d/

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Forlaferob@reddit

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