World Oil inventories are in freefall. When this line hits 6.8 — the global energy system doesn’t slow down. It breaks.
Posted by AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit | PrepperIntel | View on Reddit | 282 comments
Loud_Flatworm_4146@reddit
I'm an 80s baby so don't remember the oil crisis of the 70s. But this sounds like it might happen again.
fordtuff@reddit
GOOD
OzarkHiker1977@reddit
I have zero idea what you mean... can you break this down barney style?
Signal_Researcher01@reddit
The amount of oil people have in their bank accounts is going down. When people run out they become (oil) poor.
Oil and anything associated with it gets more and more expensive. Approaching inaccessible costs for some parts of the world.
Anything that depends on those parts of the world having oil also gets more expensive.
Get a nice bike and a solar panel. Plant some potatoes. Buy whatever durable equipment you need now.
PeanutButterToast4me@reddit
Will my walking distance grocery store be able to stock itself with bike riding delivery people? My town has a pretty good sized farmers market but we're already impacted by drought and even at peak local production we cannot come close to feeding the population. Shits gonna reach a fever pitch before the election.
Signal_Researcher01@reddit
Well get some of those 5 gallon buckets, put a plastic bag in it, throw in some dessication packets, and fill the thing with oatmeal. Right as rain!
hurfery@reddit
"more expensive" isn't the big issue. Lack of deliveries will be the painful one.
Gygax_the_Goat@reddit
Especially in poorer countries, rural areas, and islands!
WinterWontStopComing@reddit
without knowing precisely what the danger is, would you say it's time for us redditors to crack each other's heads open and feast on the goo inside?
vodeodeo55@reddit
Now you're just being silly.
Classic-Question-746@reddit
You're right, that is silly. You don't start with brain goo. You eat thighs first. Everyone knows that.
fruderduck@reddit
No, organs. Always the organs.
PureLock33@reddit
exactly! that's how you get kuru.
Mr_E_Monkey@reddit
Absolutely.
I don't even care what the danger is.
ctilvolover23@reddit
Da faq did I just read?
xSaRgED@reddit
It’s a Simpsons reference.
Ahnarras88@reddit
Simpsons dit it first.
Signal_Researcher01@reddit
Yes I would Kent.
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
The large investment firms think we're going to see serious issues hit in late August with oil.
We have been coasting on stockpiles the last few months that have been seriously insulating from a real supply crisis. So, what we're seeing is only a taste of how serious this will likely be in 90-100 days.
And... I see this happening because Iran is still likely mining the straight.
They're still running small boats out there and turning around.
improbablydrunknlw@reddit
Iran will be glassed before August. The world cannot survive this, and Iran can't be cracked otherwise.
robotrocket1@reddit
This happens with or without the war continuing. Albeit to varying extents.
The facilities have already taken hits. It takes decades to clean up the destroyed machines and put them back together.
Vegetable-Board-5547@reddit
August you say? That's harvest time for me.
SquirrelyMcNutz@reddit
The spring wheat harvest in NA should be done before then. Probably around July-ish, iirc.
Soybeans and corn? Oh, they right fucked they is, if this comes to pass.
Lone_Vagrant@reddit
It's all good. China is not buying their soybean.
East-Fruit-3096@reddit
For those feeding dogs special diets, keep an eye on your stockage.
Aramedlig@reddit
Let’s not forget about fertilizer. Millions are going to starve.
jimmib234@reddit
I love you, you love me, when inventory gets too low all hell breaks free...
DarkFather24601@reddit
Kippers1d10t@reddit
Mohawks and assless chaps time!
It-s_Not_Important@reddit
All chaps are assless. Otherwise they’re just pants.
Dapper_Pitch_6502@reddit
Thank you. Now I can finally explain this to my children.
StunningGold8030@reddit
Putin loves this eo much, and the orange complies
IGetGuys4URMom@reddit
I'm sure that Twump feels like he's got one up on the Koch family because they're involved in oil refining.
L3yline@reddit
He feels like he has one up in his diaper, but we all know he smells like shit
thekbob@reddit
You don't know my feelings, don't gaslight me Barney.
/s
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
With a great big war and some bombs from me to you, won’t you say you love me too
MikeW226@reddit
Less gas for me / less gas for you / you have a long wait in gas lines / I'll have one too.
NorthernPassion2378@reddit
Lmao. Love and family won't save us this time, chiefs.
captainrustic@reddit
God damnit take my upvote
Ornery-Sheepherder74@reddit
Thank you for an excellent satisfying chuckle
murphybt@reddit
My family thinks I'm crazy now 🤣🤣🤣
Vast-Sir-1949@reddit
Supply and demand. No supply, super demand. Prices skyrocket. Transpiration becomes cost prohibitive. Food doesn't move. People starve.
stockchaser317@reddit
One wonders what the magic number for fuel prices needs to be before we start demand destruction. People just stop traveling, paying for freight, or flying.
CannyGardener@reddit
I just paid $210 to fill up my work truck this weekend. Demand destruction for me starts immediately.
Creepy-Cantaloupe951@reddit
Demand destruction has already began, honestly.
Loads more people looking way harder at EVs for their new cars, as this is the 3 round in recent years of rapidly spiking gasoline costs.
Home electric generation is becoming far more prevalent, as people were tiring of the every quarter spikes in their electric and heating bills.
The concept of "not owning a car" was a fever dream for older millenials. Younger millenials and on? Its becoming a norm.
pheonix080@reddit
$5 per gallon in low COLA areas of the country is when it will become undeniable.
ThatPerspective3765@reddit
Bout a 20% increase in price for 1% of reduction on average. So you do the math for 15%
Vast-Sir-1949@reddit
Yes. People and their lives shrink to survival mode. Nothing else matters. Corporations with connections however go on. It's not that there's less to go around. It's that there's less profit to be made. Doing nothing cost storage fees. You lose some product and profit but not enough to make it hurt the corps....
WhenSummerIsGone@reddit
i'm already driving less, and i've got a car with decent mileage.
YobolDope@reddit
So great for my oil ETFs! /s
my_juicy_nose@reddit
Ah shit now I can’t even transpirate.
Vast-Sir-1949@reddit
It's the governments water. Have some Brawndo.
1wrx2subarus@reddit
Barney gets in their purple suit and shows up at the fuel pump. All satire aside, people attempt to fuel up, there is no sale to be made. So, people line up for their fuel and wait for hours or days like during the 1970s oil crisis.
If anyone wants any goods, the shelves will be empty because there’s no ability for the trucks to go over the road and make deliveries.
Hence, we arrive at the sub-Reddit for /r/PrepperIntel and the first thing you’ll see everyone loading up with is toilet paper. 🧻 We can’t have a single posterior go dirty during the troubles.
thekbob@reddit
No ass goes unwiped on our watch.
my_juicy_nose@reddit
In US, there will always be fuel at the pump. just be prepared for sucky prices.
MooseSprinkles@reddit
That’s the problem. It’s not just a pricing problem. If there physically isn’t any gas to be had it doesn’t matter what the prices are.
Mountain_Fig_9253@reddit
Skippy here to break it down Barney style:
All parts of the petroleum infrastructure have minimum amounts needed to just actually work. Think oil in the pipes, some oil in the tank that isn’t full of sediment, oil needed to feed the refineries, etc.
Because of the war we have been going along business as usual assuming that Trump will TACO and the ships will start flowing. Unfortunately TACO has changed to NACHO (Not A Chance Hormuz Opens) which brings up a problem.
We will have to undergo a rapid price increase for oil and all petroleum products to destroy about 15% of our total energy demand. That’s about the same as the reduction in energy that our society had for the COVID shutdowns.
Now go back to playing with your Joe “no action” figure.
(The break it down Barney style is from a brilliant sci fi author writing the expeditionary force series for those confused).
victor4700@reddit
Mmmmm nachos
RottenBioHazard@reddit
Awesome to see you on reddit. I will be honest didn't know the series was a thing and it's right in my wheel house, will look at grabbing the books up pay day.
MikeW226@reddit
This guy Barneys
tony703@reddit
Damn, you beat me to it!
IncreaseIll2841@reddit
Also, this infrastructure is meant to run once it's built. Wells are supposed to pump and refineries are supposed to refine. You can't just turn it off and on, especially the wells, where sometimes the walls of the well are held open by the pressure of flowing oil. I'm pretty sure this graph describes both the dwindling on hand reserves as well as the long term production consequences of continuing to cut back production due to lack of available storage in the Persian Gulf.
PatSwayzeInGoal@reddit
Car analogy: Running out of gas sucks. A busted fuel pump is worse from no gas is a bigger problem.
val_br@reddit
Second car analogy: There's an idle rpm for every engine, less rpm than that and the engine stalls.
One-Employment3759@reddit
Tractor and diesel analogy (maybe cars too i dunno), but when you run out of diesel you can't just refuel and start the engine, you have to bleed out the air and it's a multi step process and your battery better have enough reserve to run the fuel pump and starter for several rounds.
MikeW226@reddit
Yep. S'why I love my 3 cylinder lil diesel tractor. So self explanatory and DIY bleeding the line (also have to do it after changing fuel filters or changing out the fuel PUMP on an older tractor). ICE engines with fuel injection I think are NOT as easy to DIY/ bleed the air. But diesels? Easy+peasy.
olliedoodle1@reddit
I love you, you love me, we’re all fucked why can’t you see………..
FabiusBill@reddit
Alright, Bishop, you filthy monkey. I'll break it down for you Barney style.
Let's say you have a toy with four batteries in it. As long as all of them keep pumping out energy, everything is fine. If one of those batteries dies, though, it doesn't matter if the other three are full, the toy is not going to work.
In this oil scenario, we know that we're draining the batteries quickly, and one of them is going to fail as early as September. Once it does, the system stops.
YOURTAKEISTRASH@reddit
Global oil stockpiles are plummeting. When that threshold reaches 6.8, the world’s energy system doesn’t just slow down—it fractures.
uresmane@reddit
I see what you did there
my_juicy_nose@reddit
it’s not just X, it’s Y
Brief-Roll-2259@reddit
Funny that theres tons of oil. Wonder why those in charge want to screw around with the supply.
CEBarnes@reddit
Refineries and wells aren’t on/off operations. When a well is shutdown its lifetime production is permanently reduced. When a refinery goes offline, it takes weeks to months for it to restart safely. Basically, in a shutdown scenario, you may experience an income and transportation pause.
GreatBigJerk@reddit
Listen up monkey brain, line going down means bad things. Line going down fast means you should have stocked up on marshmallow fluff and bananas a year ago, because you are screwed.
tony703@reddit
sigh Oh, Joe. Sweet, predictably dense Joe. Fine. Barney style it is — and I want it noted for the record that explaining petroleum logistics to a monkey who gets excited about a new flavor of beef jerky is not exactly a fulfilling use of my considerable intellect.
Okay. Picture a bathtub. The whole world shares this one bathtub, and instead of water, it’s filled with oil. Every day, everyone on Earth pulls oil OUT of the tub to run their cars, heat their homes, and keep their factories from becoming very expensive lawn ornaments.
Now — and here’s where even YOU should be able to follow along — someone needs to keep putting oil BACK into the tub. That’s been the Iran situation’s whole job lately, and as of February 2026, that’s… not going great.
There are two lines on this chart you need to care about, and I’ll use small words: • The yellow line — “Operational Stress Level” — is where your mechanic starts sweating. • The red line — “Operational Floor” — is where your mechanic throws up and quits.
We’re currently rocketing past the yellow line and heading for the red one by September. Below that level, pipelines and refineries don’t just slow down. They break. Physically. And broken infrastructure, you knuckle-dragging marvel, does not un-break itself quickly.
You’re welcome. Now go find an adult.
-Skippy
MrD3a7h@reddit
Downvote AI content
Call out AI content
Reject all AI content
Difficult_Dog9572@reddit
Just curious, what's the tell here that this is AI?
MrD3a7h@reddit
The Em dash is the first sign. LLMs also love the "It's not _, it's ____" pattern. If you look at the original post, there's a couple of people pointing it out more eloquently than I can
Difficult_Dog9572@reddit
Gotcha. I hate that em dashes have become the AI indicator. I like using em dashes - especially for an academic paper - but I've had to cut them out so I don't get flagged by my professors.
bananaslingrider@reddit
Em dashes are just another sloppy excuse for not bothering to read the article.
DrinkingVomit@reddit
I use EM dashes all the time, especially for pauses because … is the wrong format and means something else entirely.
dnhs47@reddit
Downvote educated people who know how to correctly use the em dash. Baby, meet bath water.
randylush@reddit
Worth sacrificing the em dash to eliminate slop
hera-fawcett@reddit
but has it been eliminated tho
MrD3a7h@reddit
They are a casualty of war.
dnhs47@reddit
Indeed. The humanity!
tgunner@reddit
Em dash, short sentences.
Whizbot_23@reddit
Maybe it’s a clue but how does that make it clear? I write like this in every email i write. Does that make me AI?
Slow down with everything is AI just because you don’t like it or agree. Ffs…
tgunner@reddit
You use em dashes? How? And you have bot in your name, so I'm more than a little suspicious now that you ask.
Whizbot_23@reddit
Interesting…lol… it’s a pet name but that’s not important. And neither is how I write or use something, really.
I suppose this is why I always tell myself to let things go and not reply.
Have fun! 😎
angrytetchy@reddit
Link to actual article. (Bloomberg itself is pay walled.) The title might be LLM but the data itself is real.
MrD3a7h@reddit
That is what should have been posted, then.
angrytetchy@reddit
Hold up, so your argument is about the presentation of data via the title, not the substance of the data in the picture? Doesn't the term "AI slop" imply that the entire post, including the data, is all falsified? Like okay sure the title is clickbait-y and most likely generated, but the picture is from a reputable source and it's still something for us to consider.
horseradishstalker@reddit
Click bait doesn’t mean what everyone apparently thinks it means. The headline is supposed to give the overall gist of the article. That’s all.
Clickbait is when the headline is sensationalized far beyond what the article actually states or misrepresents the facts. This one does neither. Think National Enquirer.
MrD3a7h@reddit
The presence of the LLM slop in the title taints the data as well.
I know the LLM will hallucinate data. If it wrote the title, I cannot know if it made up the data without looking deeper. Frankly, I am unwilling to do so with the title as it is.
Presenting good data with a human-written title would have been a better plan. OOP saved what, 10 whole seconds?
horseradishstalker@reddit
And you wasted even more of our time with the unserious argument that boring headlines and bad writing never existed prior to AI - and yet you are deliberately attempting to prevent others from getting information without a personal clue as to whether it’s actually solid data or not.
angrytetchy@reddit
It took one screenshot and a reverse image search for me to look through the instances to find that link to the article - it maybe took me 30 seconds total. Should the OOP have linked it? Yes. Does it nullify the data? No.
We should always be verifying sources, no matter what. Good data presented badly is still good data, bad data presented "by a human" (so to speak) and well is still bad data.
It's also frustrating, as many have also pointed out, that the em dash does not automatically mean AI generated content. AI/LLM learned from properly written and formatted texts - people can be accused of being AI just because they had grammar pounded into their brains as a kid and/or also have a job that requires formatting and grammar.
horseradishstalker@reddit
People who don’t understand the actual purpose of an em dash should be forced to read Strunk & White over and over until they stop vomiting AI slop bs all over the rest of us.
horseradishstalker@reddit
And throw out your computers and typewriters as well. No pens either. Write longhand with quill and ink or suffer the consequences! Wait wait go back to stone tablets. No one ever wrote badly before those tools were invented!
Can we just fast forward in time and get over the chicken little cosplay? Either the facts support the article or they don’t.
Personally I don’t use AI because I have a brain and AI hallucinates too often for my taste, but it’s just a tool people. It’s neither the Devil or the second coming. But it will suck up all your water either way.
TeamRedundancyTeam@reddit
Spread misinformation to get circlejerk points seems to be what this boils down to here.
Who gives a fuck about the title, the content is what matters.
TheUniverseOrNothing@reddit
I got a better idea. Let’s downvote bad ideas and bad content. If something is good and conveys the message, have an upvote. As someone said below, you will downvote actual smart people because you are too obsessed over if something is AI or not.
MrD3a7h@reddit
Nope. Fuck slop and those who post it.
TheUniverseOrNothing@reddit
Okay Mr chronically online. Continue to be upset but the world will evolve without you. Eventually you’ll have to get over it or more than likely just bitch about the rest of your life.
randylush@reddit
So your argument in favor of slop is to just accept it because it’s too much of a hassle to care lol
TheUniverseOrNothing@reddit
No. I’m saying not everything made by AI is slop. But keep getting triggered over every AI post you are changing the world homie
MrD3a7h@reddit
Sounds like someone can't think for themselves and needs an LLM to do it for them.
WhenSummerIsGone@reddit
the chart clearly says its source
pakZ@reddit
lol.. Rambo!!
BMP77777@reddit
Oh look. We’re already there.
jaxjags2100@reddit
We will be fine
stockchaser317@reddit
Im gonna need to see a ton more flight cancelations, truck freight fee spikes, and gas rationing per vehicle before I get worried.
dnhs47@reddit
Hundreds of flights in Europe have already been cancelled - they know they won’t have the jet fuel to fly them. Asia is already rationing.
The US is the outlier, since we produce so much oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products. At the moment, we’re exporting like crazy because there’s so much money to be made.
That’s why even in Texas, gas is over $4/gallon right now - we’re exporting much of the gas we refine.
The knock-on effects are precisely what they always are:
* gasoline and diesel get more expensive <- you are here!
* transportation costs go up
* inflation goes up, because everything gets transported
* interest rates go up, to try to control inflation
* people protest because inflation makes it so they can’t afford anything anymore
* the party controlling Congress gets shown the door and we get new leadership
Except half the American electorate are so mentally defective they believe Presidents no longer in office are responsible, so they keep supporting orange man, despite his unhinged rants, his flagrant grifting, his crippling of most government agencies (with a shout-out to Elon’s DOGE fools), etc.
So this time around, I expect we go all the way to “break the economy” because Congress has capitulated to orange man, and enough of the electorate is too mentally defective to see the way out.
Available_Rub9939@reddit
I’d be a goddamn miracle if we ever make it to the last bullet and execute it properly.
Cultural-Company282@reddit
You may have noticed that the party controlling Congress is aggressively rigging the district lines right now to permanently prevent us from holding them accountable.
dnhs47@reddit
I recently moved to Texas from the West Coast - CA, OR, WA, then AZ - and was shocked to discover Texas does not allow citizen-initiated ballot measures. Even AZ allowed them.
Without them - and with a corrupt judiciary - the shameless gerrymandering we’re seeing at the state level cannot be overcome. We’re becoming subjects, not citizens.
Despicable.
Icedidit@reddit
Texas is the “most free” state
dnhs47@reddit
Not by any dimension I can imagine, except becoming a subject of the Texas Fascist Empire.
syynapt1k@reddit
DeSantis made it much more difficult for Floridians to do them as well.
gone_smell_blind@reddit
Guns and fire bombs could hold them accountable....
Icedidit@reddit
Only presidents with a D before their name are responsible.
If a R is before their name just trust the process. It takes time.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
Flights get cancelled en mass every year at this time. Reserves always drop.
dnhs47@reddit
Sure, but historically cancellations have been due to work stoppages, weather, etc., and not on the scale we’re seeing now.
Recently, entire routes are being cancelled outright. Lufthansa cancelled 20,000 flights - that is not consistent with years past.
You’re welcome to stick your head in the sand and tell yourself nothing is different this time, but it is different.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
Lufthansa was going under for years, they were due a shut down next year and did it early..
dnhs47@reddit
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
“Nothing ever happens” guys about to be in for a rude awakening, that’s for sure.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
Remindme! 2 months
I’ll take that bet
shesaysImdone@reddit
!RemindMe 3 months
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
Okay, then, my bet’s on gas being more expensive than it is today. Easy bet, too, notwithstanding the unfolding gas crisis—gas is more expensive in the summer than the winter and spring. No easy relief in sight for these high prices, no siree—unless you count a major recession or depression obliterating demand “easy relief,” but either way, the nothing-ever-happens bet loses.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
No no that’s a huge backpedal. Obviously gas will be more expensive if the war is still going.
That’s expected.
What won’t happen is critical industries going under as the OP you replied to suggested.
Are you taking that bet? Let’s not move the goalposts here
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
How is that moving the goalposts? Event the person you replied to only mentioned major abnormal disruptions and cancellations to aviation and economic hardships, they didn’t suggest critical industries would completely “go under,” whatever that means.
There’s a lot of difference between certain airlines failing and others cutting back severely, and all air travel ceasing altogether, and I think they were referring to the former, not the latter, when they said this war would continue until the economy breaks (which I took to mean recession/depression).
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
‘Recently entire routes are being cancelled outright.
Lufthansa cancelled 20,000 flights - that is not consistent with years past’.
That is what OP stated. That is what I have a problem with. It’s factually incorrect. Lufthansa was bankrupt before the Iran war, they were due to liquidate next year and did so a year early.
It being used as an example of industries failing due to the Iran war is scaremongering.
You, then stated that people who believe nothing will happen will be in for a ‘rude awakening’ you did not specify any change to OPs statement, meaning that you were assuming the same thing.
Don’t play dumb here.
You were acting like entire industries were about to collapse. You know they are not. Nothing will happen, fuel might go up again. Sure. But that’s expected.
If you don’t want to take the bet that nothing will happen, then don’t.
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
And why did they do so a year early, hmm? Might it be because something actually happened?
How exactly does one distinguish between scaremongering and simply pointing out early dominoes falling in a predictable path to economic hardship? Just because Lufthansa was already struggling doesn’t mean its premature paring-back of operations isn’t evidence of trouble for other airlines soon as well.
That’s a leap. There will still be aviation, but more airlines will go bankrupt before this whole rigmarole is over and prices return to normal, mark my words. And it’s hardly just confined to that one industry, there will be plenty of damage radiating out through the economy from these shortages and the inflation spikes their disruptions cause.
I already said I’ll take the bet, but you’re the one moving the goalposts here using “implications” no one actually said, a bit of projection which suggests you’re not so sure of your confident predictions as you think.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
So you’re willing to bet that more airlines will go under as a result of the Iran war? (Plural as you said airlines, meaning more than one.)
Seen as that’s the only actual opinion you’ve made, the rest is hyperbole
I’ll take that bet, see you in two months.
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
Yep. That’s my bet and I’m sticking to it. Not necessarily in two months, though—bankruptcy is a slow process, Spirit airlines notwithstanding, since they were already at death’s door when fuel costs shot up. By the end of the year, though, you’ll definitely see more airlines going bankrupt. I’ll also throw in that we’ll be in recession by that time, too.
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
Remindme! 6 months
For posterity.
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
Recession was likely anyway. I agree spirit was already at deaths door. But so was Lufthansa
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
Okay, with that out of the way, why two months? Not even the chart at the top which shows a linear decline (which presumably assumes no further demand destruction and no war resolution) says we’ll be at the operational floor level by no sooner than September.
GrafZeppelin127@reddit
And why did they do so a year early, hmm? Might it be because something actually happened?
How exactly does one distinguish between scaremongering and simply pointing out early dominoes falling in a predictable path to economic hardship? Just because Lufthansa was already struggling doesn’t mean its premature paring-back of operations isn’t evidence of trouble for other airlines soon as well.
That’s a leap. There will still be aviation, but more airlines will go bankrupt before this whole rigmarole is over and prices return to normal, mark my words. And it’s hardly just confined to that one industry, there will be plenty of damage radiating out through the economy from these shortages and the inflation spikes their disruptions cause.
I already said I’ll take the bet, but you’re the one moving the goalposts here using “implications” no one actually said, a bit of projection which suggests you’re not so sure of your confident predictions as you think.
RemindMeBot@reddit
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MightyLabooshe@reddit
Nuh uh.
Ill-Temperature-4883@reddit
* gasoline and diesel get more expensive <- you are here!
* transportation costs go up
* inflation goes up, because everything gets transported
* interest rates go up, to try to control inflation
* people protest because inflation makes it so they can’t afford anything anymore <------- AUSTRALIA IS HERE
* the party controlling Congress gets shown the door and we get new leadership
NotADetectiveAtAll@reddit
Teslas don’t sell themselves!
jazza2400@reddit
Wait so the US is profiting from the blockade? Hmmmm🤔
DrinkingVomit@reddit
I’m pretty sure they want to accidentally break the economy. A crisis is the perfect point to usher in a new normal. Normalization. They’ll weather it much better than the average American. Just like Covid, it’ll be a black swan event where their wealth increases exponentially —— and the best part is we pay for it!
DishSoapIsFun@reddit
There’s nothing accidental about it. It’s all by design. They’re going full blown new world order.
dnhs47@reddit
Lots of bargains to scoop up after the economy breaks - more wealth for trillionaires!
DrinkingVomit@reddit
Don’t forget to Venmo them a tip after they take your property 🙃
lainlow@reddit
In the US? Not happening until it absolutely must, the idea of being proactive instead of reactive is not something that corporations or majority of the current politicians will ever endorse. They do not want to admit there are problems to the masses as less profit will be made when panic buying does set in + more time for them to prepare a scapegoat for the anger that will come.
Gygax_the_Goat@reddit
You will 😬
Glittering_Iron_6341@reddit
Spirit just went out of business
Girafferage@reddit
Now their planes will be used for spirit halloween
Girafferage@reddit
Then you probably arent the prepped target audience I imagine, friend.
Major_Guess1189@reddit
Yeah, this whole oil discussion feels like hearing ‘the Russians are going to run out of rockets in a few days’ every day for three years straight after the Ukraine war started
Dzejes@reddit
Literally no one was saying this.
Major_Guess1189@reddit
Simple google search will tell you different.
Put some effort into your replies
Dzejes@reddit
That is true, I shouldn't have said "literally". But this was never serious statement and the opposite narration - that the Ukraine will collapse any minute - was far, far more prelevant.
Major_Guess1189@reddit
Simple google search will tell you different.
Put some effort into your replies
Dzejes@reddit
I don't understand, you are saying that the opinion that Ukraine will collapse wasn't the dominant one? if that is in fact what you are saying that I have to tell you that you are wrong. The most obvious proof is the war itself, as the russians were convicted of that. I was and i am paying pretty close attention to this topis as i live approximately one car tank from the ukrainan war zone and even the western Europe was expecting UKR to fold fast.
Major_Guess1189@reddit
Im talking about the first 3 years. Not the first 30 days.
Dzejes@reddit
First three years sounds strange, but ok, I guess.
Chenelka007@reddit
There it is. That's when I'll get a little concerned. Until then, it's just more heresy.
Dzejes@reddit
The most American thing to say right now.
Burnrate@reddit
This good be a good thing to come out of all this
Fuzzy_Ad9970@reddit
Hello non americans
Tight-String5829@reddit
90s preppers ended up voting for a guy who caused them to use up their preps in both of his terms.....
SereneOrbit@reddit
As someone in favor of nuclear power & renewables, against car centric infrastructure, and against the right who are disproportionately effected by this, I'm only seeing upsides!
escapefromburlington@reddit
Lol this is going to supercharge coal
SereneOrbit@reddit
Not on the long term lmao
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
Fuel is only a fraction of the problem though, I hope you realize that.
SereneOrbit@reddit
Yes, I do
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
Fertilizers, plastics, chemicals, building materials, etc.
SereneOrbit@reddit
I'm not a crazy environmentalist, and I am very well versed in geopolitics. Trust me I know the implications and what oil is used for.
I'm a trans vet separated after serving my country and getting fucked over for no reason with an axe to grind.
SalvagedGarden@reddit
As a matter of logistics, most super powers will not run out of oil. We have huge reserves. And it's not the wrong kind of crude, that's not the issue either. I can go further on this if needed.
America isn't going to run out any time soon. In fact our reserves of crude are slightly higher than prior to the war. But crude is not a refined product and our supply and the market forces against supply is what will create the volatility. America's refineries are working at capacity, so we can make as much refined products as we need.
However, many places as I said before have no reserve, or no refineries. Oil companies are going to see the high demand for oil outside the US and export our refined products for a massive profit. Other countries are getting squeezed and oil companies do not have crises of conscious about these things. They'll sell at market.
Reduced refined product reserves in the US means they also sell to the US at higher prices. So higher prices at the pump too.
UAE leaving OPEC will not help anything. They don't want to sell for less. They want to take advantage of the high oil price Watermark. They produce a lot and want to sell a lot, buy we likely won't see any relief from high prices as a result.
Oil companies do not work for you and don't really care about you. Their profits don't really benefit the countries they're in past the token taxes and employment. The oil in America isn't America's oil. And the companies aren't dumb enough to have any kind of loyalty. They aren't going to lower America's prices out of the goodness of their hearts. If they do that, someone else in the chain will jack up their prices to take advantage and you'll pay the same amount you would have anyway.
Likely outcome is whenever the strait of hormuz opens, about 10 months after that is when prices will begin to creep back down. As the remaining contracts signed during the war are fulfilled.
We're not gonna get any of the cool societal collapses one sees in movies and books. We'll just have prices at the pump just low enough to keep us from publicly weeping for a while. A big economic slowdown that will take a decade or so to recover from. And hopefully a more informed and responsible voting populace.
Slopadopoulos@reddit
Nonsense.
Swimming-Food-9024@reddit
Tantrum Trump is ready to break the world before releasing the Epstein Files….
PranaSC2@reddit
Let’s have it already
dubious_capybara@reddit
Ok chatgpt
Ok_Fan4354@reddit
Then why isn’t anyone besides the UsA doing anything about it? You’d think theyd be gearing up for troops to do something useful instead of the dumb mistakes of Iraq and Afghanistan.. and Iran isn’t Iraq or Afghanistan
Gygax_the_Goat@reddit
😆
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
1) Because other countries would much rather the US turn tail and run than send their troops to get slaughtered 2) No other country has the ability to project enough force to the Gulf to matter. Maybe China but why would they do that? I think they’re rather enjoying this totally unforced error.
Ok_Fan4354@reddit
The USA turning tail only hurts them? The USA has oil, other countries don’t. And the USA is ramping up production.
-if the marines went in, it’s over. They arent fighting an ideology like Middle East- you can’t win those wars. In Iran its an actual military’ style force. And the locals hate them.
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
If the US gives up, traffic resumes through the straight with a $1 per barrel tax. That tax is much preferable to the strait being closed. The cost of the closure is much more than $1 per barrel.
The US doesnt produce enough oil to fill the gap left by the closure of the strait. Also the US imports about 40% of its oil because many of its refineries are built to process other types of crude than what is pumped here. The US is a net exporter, but also a heavy importer. That’s why gas prices have gone up already, otherwise why would they?
Youre right, it’s much different than Iraq and Afganistan. It would be more like Russia invading Ukraine, a massive bloody mess. Iran is like a case study in the worst places to invade.
China has more oil right now than when the war started. I know that is probably surprising but you can look it up. A lot of it came from America. Which makes very little sense right? I don’t get why that was allowed either.
Which is why the US should probably stop wasting its munitions stockpile on this.
Ok_Fan4354@reddit
Multiple fair points and thank you for answering like a human instead of a 😂🤡💩🤪. I hate that when people can’t talk respectfully even if they didn’t see eye to eye on some subjects.
If the USA bails.. like the USA easily could. -You can’t guarantee that traffic would resume like as you state. However I do agree that would most likely happen, but then I firmly believe that $1 price tag, would quickly escalate to $2, 3, 10.. And by accepting and allowing extortion on international waterways, multiple other straights and choke points around the would immediately be seized by para-military groups and start doing the same thing. By allowing extortion here, you’re opening Pandora’s box. Especially when the group here is funding organizations all around the world. I can guarantee you that the straight of Malacca which sees more trade than Hormuz would immediately be extorted. And I also know if they weren’t chinese, then China would certainly eliminate that obstacle by any means necessary and then do it themselves. Phone dying. Will continue after daddy daughter date
Vlad_Yemerashev@reddit
Most of the US oil imports are from Canada and Mexico. Only a small fraction actually comes from the ME.
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
Ok, and?
escapefromburlington@reddit
"And the locals hate them." exactly what the deep state said about Iraq
Worth_Divide_3576@reddit
I mentioned this last night to one of my factory coworkers and I shit you not he sighs and goes "great, thanks obama". And this man 100% supports ice and Mango Mussolini so I know that shit wasnt ironic.
Biotic101@reddit
This chart was posted in an economy forum and all the comments were like:
I hate AI slop, markets only go up, nothing will happen....
When research groups and experts start to release detailed reports that just state the obvious.
And when we have seen in the past what happens in such a scenario.
But hey, the average social media moron always knows best 😐
“I love the poorly educated.”
No surprise education and science are being targeted and funding cut, while open corruption runs rampant.
That said, it makes sense for the major institutions to delay the inevitable because retail investors are always looking for an easy win and leverage way too much. Every day theta decay is making the institutions money in options they sold and they also make money flushing out overleveraged futures traders.
Retail investors are not in the big club and usually do not have insider information.
Economical data and earnings are usually delayed, and lately seem to become more unreliable (getting revised a lot afterwards f.e.). Price increase is in the first phase often used to also increase margins. So initially it might seem everything is awesome, corporate earnings increase, yay!
But eventually consumers stop spending and now margins have to be reduced, often drastically. All the sudden earnings are looking concerning, but... markets have stayed irrational and went from one ATH to the next much longer than most retail investor accounts could handle.
hera-fawcett@reddit
bro, listen, im a bit blind--- are u an llm or a human?
i just wanna know if thats how u normally type shit
Biotic101@reddit
Not sure whats the issue here.
But English is not my mother tongue, so sorry if there are some issues with grammar and stuff.
I would be surprised if an LLM would make any spelling mistakes or write the way I do.
hera-fawcett@reddit
no mistakes! the way u wrote and formatted was great-- so great that i thought it could have been written by an llm.
most llms were trained on decent writing.
StuartShlongbottom@reddit
Yo, you are 100% correct this account is fishy. Unless this person is retired, unemployed, or works part time it is ENTIRELY too consistent in posting, and there are SO many posts across very similar subreddits. Rarely like r/gardening or movies. Maybe this is their hobby, but I'm also cynical
hera-fawcett@reddit
ngl, 'thanks obama' has been coming back ironically (or satirically? idfk) w the younger generation.
if that guy is online on socials, he may have heard it and thought it was unironic.
Expensive_Chart_8158@reddit
Trump could rape the families of some MAGA assholes right in front of them and they'd still blame Biden or Obama America is fucked.
OtherUserCharges@reddit
Dude, they would send their daughters to be raped by him and be glad to do it.
TheVenetianMask@reddit
Well you know, the guy used to run pageants.
captainrustic@reddit
It’s a full on cult.
TownLakeTrillOG@reddit
Unfortunately a lot of them probably rape their own daughters. It’s a cycle.
Rolochotazo@reddit
https://i.redd.it/ctz2m3891h0h1.gif
Round-Medicine2507@reddit
Sept/Oct is the usual depression start time frame which almost lines up eyeballing the graph and linear numbers
mark000@reddit
Chart of gasoline price shows the 2022 price spike. This time is worse and will be $6 in July IMO.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1T1HH
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
Thats.... what im looking at too.
It may be a little faster this time due to how connected everything is, but whats really concerning is the bond / debt markets right now, there is a loss of trust that has been cascading for the last several years.
Round-Medicine2507@reddit
Ive also thought this since like 2018 when I made my first study of all past recessions becoming deeper but shorter, but the rules of 1915-2015 are out the window!
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
Do you think they're going to inflate out the markets into a blockchained CBDC?
Round-Medicine2507@reddit
But I guess to be precise yes they are going to inflate the fucknout of bloxkchain, just fucking last night Rand Paul went of a RETARDED self-serving speech about AI being the savior god at a college graduation event lol.
Round-Medicine2507@reddit
Despite all the past evidence impersonal find it impossible.ti imagine the depravity of republicans so anything can happen, I simply expect some nazi/war shit like Africa/Asia/Middle East have all constantly seen for the past 75 years+ sadly, the educated vs the brainwashed who call the educated people misninformed but unarmed, harmless, useless, yet diabolical folk... just the regular schödingers apocalypse...
Deliteriously@reddit
I honestly think that's the plan. It sounds crazy skeptical but the US enough for its own demand. Most countries don't. So they throw a monkey wrench into the system and somehow profit. Everytime single time there's a major disruption in the oil supply chain, 6 months later all the major oil companies report record profits. Hurricanes, bombing campaigns, earthquakes, fires, pandemic...
$$$
They lead into these things with price hikes. Then people go buy more with the new hiked price that isn't a real world reflection of anything but the news. Then the prices react to the actual supply and prices just go higher.
Difference is, this time more than the others, things are going to break down and people will actually suffer. It's straight up evil and I guarantee that the motivation is enriching the rich.
418Miner@reddit
except the US exports light crude and imports heavy crude for refinement. most US refineries can’t efficiently process the oil we produce domestically.
abandon_mint@reddit
Venezuela is a heavy crude exporter, and the US has greater control over that now
Amlethvshamlet@reddit
People aren’t catching on for some reason but this is 100% the plan. The situation in Iran seemingly has no objective because they only want the strait closed. Isn’t it odd the US navy is blockading a waterway which they supposedly want to open?
Restrict oil supply, drive the price up and incentive US domestic production capacity to expand.
Cause so much economic distress in the region that OPEC breaks up. You no longer have to compete with them.
I think these are the long term objectives. Short term this will cause some serious economic stress.
obsequious_fink@reddit
We'll see how it goes. What is missing from this data is how much extra production oil companies can put out in other regions if they choose to. There are lot of existing wells not being used or wells intentionally producing less than their maximum because over-production is not profitable.
Responsible-Corgi-61@reddit
Numerous experts have already been consulted on this topic, and there is no talk of increased production coming through to save us from 20% of the world's supply getting cut off so abruptly with long term damage already done. Simply not possible to fix these supply lines and boost production within a handful of months to address the glaring global deficit in supply that is building further by the day. It is not just a matter of getting more oil, it has to be the right type of oil that countries are able to process and use for their purposes.
It is also the massive supply chain disruptions unrelated to the crude and directly tied to petrochemicals and helium that is used for microchips that have also been cut off. The fertilizer shortages are already causing farmers to just say whatever I guess I will just plant less this year and see what happens.
Keep in mind there is nothing that can be done at this point. It is already too late to prevent the worst case of these deficits turning into supply shortages that will result in demand destruction and mass death.
burgerape@reddit
grok how long does it take to increase oil production
obsequious_fink@reddit
Not that long for existing wells, and they probably have already started dusting things off.
burgerape@reddit
lmao it can take a year plus
Environmental-Top862@reddit
Not gonna happen...just another 'what if' projection....
androstaxys@reddit
Who knew reposted AI slop is wrong?
esotologist@reddit
ChatGPT is not an economics expert... It can't even see current news usually
MummysSpeshulGuy@reddit
Prepperintel being doom posting retards? No it can’t be true
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
The AI title is whatever, here is the source: https://archive.is/WCYpt
xSaRgED@reddit
I mean, Bloomberg is where the image was taken from. They have some experience with these things.
Iwentthatway@reddit
Yup, that title is straight out of an llm
Pregogets58466@reddit
So October calls on uso for the win
CoffeeCorpse777@reddit
I should have bought a used EV in October 2024...
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
There are other ways to hedge around it, both physically and financially.
Icelock@reddit
Oh no... Back to charging my truck with solar as per usual 😴 See you all at work.
Girl_gamer__@reddit
Let's go! How can we hurry this along?
BlondeBeard84@reddit
I heard this about the end of last month. Now I hear its the end of September. I'm wondering.... if maybe none of you people know whats going on
steezy13312@reddit
This appears to be the original source article from Bloomberg for the chart in the image: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-09/iran-war-is-draining-world-s-oil-buffer-at-unprecedented-pace
KebabAnnhilator@reddit
ChatGPT ass headline
impersonatefun@reddit
ChatGPT ass title
FabFebFob@reddit
Oof
Relative-Ad-6791@reddit
Searching this story today, the dominant amplifiers were Pravda EU and RT — Russian state-aligned outlets running it under headlines like “World oil reserves drain at record pace.” The Bloomberg substance is real, but the amplification serves Russian strategic interests: The disruption of Gulf oil flows has reinforced the importance of Russian energy supplies despite a push by the EU to phase out imports of fossil fuels from the sanctioned country.
Mission_Reply_2326@reddit
Thats an awful lot of speculation.
Draconiss@reddit
AI title slop
existing_for_fun@reddit
You can always tell
AI loves the: "it's not this. It's this" way of phrasing for some reason.
star_jump@reddit
What, the emdash that no human can possibly type with their keyboard didn't give it away?
WhatIsHerJob-TABLES@reddit
Orrrrrrr, maybe just YOU don’t know how to use an em dash. Just because you don’t understand something doesn’t mean everyone else doesn’t either. Seeing an emdash does not mean it’s ai. It can be, but by no means is that some undeniable tell. The only thing telling is you letting everyone know your lack of grammar knowledge.
WhenSummerIsGone@reddit
emdashes are commonly auto inserted. Some keyboards, you can long press and easily get it.
existing_for_fun@reddit
The EM dash is a clue but I know a lot of people who use it (over 35 in age)
StuartShlongbottom@reddit
AI slop? ❌ AI title slop? ✅ I hate this timeline
KGKSHRLR33@reddit
Its for the greater good! We wont be nuked now!!
/s
Lumpy_Conference6640@reddit
Weird all the things us "doomers" said woul happened, happened and now everyone is shocked.
Let me take a great big sip of I told you so. Looks like the sunflower for biodiesel I planted in late March, and 100 gallons of gas I stored in February I bought for 2.50 in February, is about to pay out.
Enjoy your scarcity everyone... Keep making your bread while the volcano explodes.
TheSunflowerSeeds@reddit
Bees are a major pollinator of Sunflowers growing sunflowers goes hand in hand with installing and managing bee hives.
Civil_Cantaloupe2402@reddit
Can anyone overlay this issue with the Techno feudal plots? This breaking of the global economy has felt possibly intentional. There's mounting evidence we have several coups attempts coming in latin America, orchestrated by the US and donor friends.
Tinfoil_cobbler@reddit
So were we worried for all those years that the chart was pretty close to where it is now?
Someone ELI5
AdministrativeMeat3@reddit
it's a poor data extrapolation meant to clickbait fear mongering posts in subs like this one. Should we be concerned about the Iran war driving more global inflation and supply chain issue? Yeah no shit sherlock.
But the bloomberg article and the AI title slop are just engagement bait for bots and dumb people.
tennezzee88@reddit
lmao according to who
AdministrativeMeat3@reddit
The only thing worse than AI slop is people who read and repost AI slop
Academic_Win6060@reddit
This is the plan. Next up, American gov't sells the world Americas (and Venezuelas)cheap oil and gas and makes bank, while it's people suffer more and more trying to afford even a modest life and putting food on the table.
davesr25@reddit
crazyk4952@reddit
AI slop
Mlles_De_Maupin@reddit
Question: assuming we are hitting very low levels of oil available would it be wise to move forward with a trip to South Africa en November? Would there be chances that they have no oil to refuel the planes to come back to Canada?
ProfessionalHefty349@reddit
/r/economycharts is one of the dumbest doomer subs on reddit. I won’t be surprised if inventories hit that “critical” 6.8 billion barrel level and nothing happens except fuel is more expensive.
Outrageous_Laugh5532@reddit
The 6.8 billion barrels isn’t a number made up by that sub. It was a statement from the oil industry.
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
Expensive, or just not available? Theres a huge difference in that.
CryptographerLow6772@reddit
Is this theory or fact? Because electrification seems to offer some value here.
FormerNeighborhood80@reddit
I read that half the national reserves have been used now and they are considering dipping into the military reserve ( I never knew we had that one) We are run as a country by men not capable of repairing the damage they have caused.
phlaries@reddit
You know oil “inventory” isn’t anywhere close to what’s reported right?
They far under-report stock to artificially inflate prices pretty regularly, especially during conflict.
MaxHeadroom1986@reddit
I am oil poor. How did this happen to me
Commandmanda@reddit
Nobody's talking about power plants, specifically higher priced ones like Duke Energy in Florida.
Here is what their website says:
So....where do they get their natural gas?
As far as I can tell, the aquire it via major networks like the Sabal Trail pipeline and Transco system. The stuff comes from Tennessee, Georgia, and up north, Ohio and PA, from shale.
That's great. We may not have to go without along the Eastern seaboard. The problem? They supplement their gas with oil, especially during peak periods like extended cold snaps and crazy high temperatures.
We will also face the price problem: as the rest of the world grapples with a lack of natural gas, we will export more, driving the prices up due to demand.
There's also some concern over storage capacity, and the fact that it was found lacking during this past winter.
Either way, we face the prospect of higher power bills.
That leaves some power plants open to serious problems; especially those that rely on oil alone.
I worry, possibly incessantly that things will go bad very quickly...but I'm hoping they don't. At the very least we might see rationing of power.
What do you think?
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
The piece of info you’re missing is that the US has a limited capacity to export natural gas because it must be chilled into LNG at special facilities for shipping, which are probably already at maximum capacity. So I don’t see how natural gas markets won’t be insulated from global prices. But I totally agree for power grids that rely on any crude oil products, they’re gonna suffer hard.
Commandmanda@reddit
Ah hah! Thank you for your knowledgeable comment!
You just made me think, though...what's to prevent them from raising prices anyway, just because then can? A sort of bleedover, kike COVID food pricing that never went back down?
Big_Fortune_4574@reddit
They might! I certainly wouldn’t put it past them.
BradBeingProSocial@reddit
I bet that chart was made including some refineries that have since been blown up or damaged. Not sure though
Ragfell@reddit
Good.
Mountain_carrier530@reddit
So I guess we're speed running to Mad Max, then? I don't have a V8 car, though.
StackOwOFlow@reddit
we're using AI to write titles now too?
AntiSonOfBitchamajig@reddit (OP)
I just cross posted.
But the information lines up with the sources and doesn't change the fact that its highly likely to be right, and I don't say that lightly with what I have seen with my research over the last weeks.
Sxs9399@reddit
Highly likely to be right is the most accurate and LLM forgiving framing I’ve ever seen.
Sxs9399@reddit
I’m sure consequences will come. I have also seen a “90 day timeline to collapse” every week since the war broke out.
What also must be considered is that the higher oil prices go, more and more producers become economically viable. If the market thinks oil will stay above $100 for the next decade, we will see currently shut down American oil rigs turn on. The Saudi cost to drill is $3/barrel, it’s $60 in Texas. Obviously you gotta make a profit. The world has options. What’s also true, and OPEC is keenly aware of, is if oil skyrocketed to say $500 for a sustained period of time, the entire world would move on from oil. At that rate electric cars, heck even hydrogen is more economically viable.
The world has options, the only bad thing is these things generally take 2-5 years to equalize.
discouragedprol@reddit
Can't wait. Bau too boring.
VinPickles@reddit
well, we’re gonna get off fossil fuels after all! how bout that
Cinder_Gimbal@reddit
And all of it to keep attention away from the Trump-Epstein files.
Consistent_Panda5891@reddit
Wait for July 👽 announcement. Those missing & gone US scientists...
Shoddy-Childhood-511@reddit
"When the oil stops, everything stops, nothin' left in the fountain" - Corb Lund, Gettin' Down on the Mountain
Ok-Transition7065@reddit
Me loving my country renovable ensrgy grid :D
MurkyCartoonist9944@reddit
Think of the oil supply as a water supply that runs as long as the tap is open. At some point if the tap is closed the water stops and it will be hard (impossible) to turn the tap back on.
UtopianScot@reddit
And honestly? That’s powerful
Dissonant-Cog@reddit
The only places reporting this are randos on social media and fake news propaganda outlets.
tmotytmoty@reddit
Thats a really nice graph
bearinsac@reddit
I imagine one of the first things to be cut will be air travel. And the flights that are still being run the common person won’t be able to afford.