China lost 3.4 million people in 2025. Births are now lower than during the Second Sino-Japanese War. The government has no answer for it.

Posted by GlobalUncoveredMedia@reddit | collapse | View on Reddit | 216 comments

Been deep in China's 2025 demographic and economic data for a documentary. The numbers are worse than most Western coverage suggests.

Demographic picture:

• 7.92 million births in 2025 — lowest since 1949, lower than 1939 wartime figures despite having 2.5x the population
• 11.3 million deaths — net loss of 3.4 million people
• Fourth consecutive year of population decline
• Marriages at lowest level since 1980
• Rhodium Group projects \~60 million population loss by 2035 — roughly the population of France

Economic picture:

• Evergrande officially delisted August 2025 — $300B+ in debt, millions of unfinished apartments
• Vanke, a state-backed developer, requested bond extensions in early 2026 — first state-backed developer to signal it can't pay
• Youth unemployment peaked at 21.3% in 2023, NBS suspended publishing the figure for 6 months, resumed with new methodology excluding students, currently 16.9% March 2026
• 65 million empty apartments — enough to house France, Germany, and the UK combined

Social picture:

• Tang ping ("lying flat") movement banned online
• Successor movement lǎoshǔrén ("rat people") — young adults withdrawing from society entirely — also censored by the Cyberspace Administration in September 2025
• Government cash incentives for births not working — young people cite unaffordable housing, unstable jobs, and surveillance as reasons for not starting families

What makes this different from typical "China collapse" coverage: these aren't four separate crises. They're one interconnected problem. Young people won't have children they can't afford. They can't afford children without stable jobs. They can't get stable jobs in an economy built on a property market that's imploding. And they can't protest any of it.

Made a documentary covering the full data picture with sources. Link in comments.