A discussion of how El Niño conditions are compounded by the Indian Ocean Dipole, and by a warm North Atlantic, in the context of the 1887 climate catastrophe.

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Don-Julio-El-Saujenz@reddit

Is that an AI Thumbnail? India next to California. Sorry but that instantly disqualified the Video for me.

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Far_Out_6and_2@reddit

This one will do new things unexpectedly

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StatementBot@reddit

The following submission statement was provided by /u/boneyfingers:

Submission statement: A paper published in 2018 explained the severity of the 1887 climate catastrophe as the effect of simultaneous events: a super El Niño, anomalous warmth in the North Atlantic, and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These three occurring together amplify each other, in a way that threatens multiple continents. Here is that paper: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/31/23/jcli-d-18-0159.1.xml

The audio discussion is long, but informative; the video is useless. Relevant data graphics can be found here:

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/

https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/?ninoIndex=nino3.4&index=nino34&period=weekly#tabs=Indian-Ocean

https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=natlan

Edit to add: This is relevant to collapse because early indicators suggest these three conditions may be occurring together again this summer/fall, and could cause severe food disruptions in several bread baskets at once. The timeframe in which data will emerge to either confirm or discard this threat is the next 60-90 days.

Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1swbxox/a_discussion_of_how_el_niño_conditions_are/oiegtek/

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Jovan_Knight005@reddit

There were some mentions of a new El Niño arriving in Europe and my country (Serbia) specifically this summer on a TV channel that me and my family are following last week. Might as well start preparing for it.

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boneyfingers@reddit (OP)

El Niño being a global driver of climate effects, it seems useful to me for everyone everywhere to dig a little into how previous ones have affected their region. My region can expect lowland flooding and highland drought, but each place sees different changes, and needs different mitigation strategies.

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boneyfingers@reddit (OP)

Submission statement: A paper published in 2018 explained the severity of the 1887 climate catastrophe as the effect of simultaneous events: a super El Niño, anomalous warmth in the North Atlantic, and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These three occurring together amplify each other, in a way that threatens multiple continents. Here is that paper: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/31/23/jcli-d-18-0159.1.xml

The audio discussion is long, but informative; the video is useless. Relevant data graphics can be found here:

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/

https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=natlan