Does anyone else think that Rome's collapse is a bad comparison?N

Posted by Lady_Broch_Tuarach@reddit | collapse | View on Reddit | 75 comments

It seems like whenever I talk with anyone in-person who is even marginally aware of collapse, they bring up Rome. I get that it’s one of the few we can draw from, but we’re talking about an empire that existed millennia ago, a very slow decline that took centuries, and a very different and much simpler lifestyle.

If over decades, a certain trade good was no longer available because of the Empire's decline, people likely had a local workaround or could just do without. If a bridge broke, they might still be able to fix it, make a ford, or find some other way around. Roads in disrepair? There’s less travel or more roundabout ways to go. All the fun stuff like bathhouses and amphitheaters are crumbling due to lack of maintenance? Well, looks like we'll have to find other fun things to do.

Yes, there was some pretty bad shit that happened: as cities stopped being maintained, the population shrank. Local governments slowly fell to pieces without support from Rome. Soldiers didn’t get paid, and defenses fell by the wayside, with expected results as far as war/invasion. But the point is, for the most part, this all took a very long time and for the local people (excluding the people actually living in Rome) living through it, it was probably hardly noticeable at the time.

And then you look at us. Our heavy dependence on technology. Our globally interconnected economy. Our reliance on just-in-time systems that leave very little margin for disruption.

If any one of those breaks downs even partially, then we're looking at a cascading effect on the other systems that could have dramatic affect; collapse is going to happen much more swiftly for us than it did for the Romans and the states of their Empire. I won’t even speculate on how long it would take for things to go to shit, but it sure as hell won’t be centuries.

I know I’m preaching to the choir here and not saying anything you don’t know. My point is, when people use Rome as a talking point about collapse, there needs to be some pushback. I feel like some people who mention it are using it as some sort of normalization of what we are currently facing and a way to downplay the realities. "It took Rome centuries to collapse, so it won’t be that bad for us that are living now."

Personally, I don’t feel that’s true at all. A better, more modern example would probably be the Soviet Union - ask yourself how much worse that would have gone if the rest of the world wasn’t available to lean on because they were dealing with their own collapse? Or take a look at COVID and how bad things got with supply chains - imagine what would happen if supply chains feel apart even further than they did, and extrapolate from there.

Yeah, this is the shit that keeps me up at night.