The World Ended Quietly. Here Are the Receipts.(repost)
Posted by Signal-Income9001@reddit | collapse | View on Reddit | 51 comments
We keep waiting for the siren.
Some signal that tells us it's time to take it seriously. A flash on the horizon. A news anchor with a face that says this one is different.
It hasn't come. So most people assume we're fine.
I spent time putting the actual cited numbers next to each other. Not individually, where each one is easy to dismiss. Together.
40% chance of great power war by 2035 (Atlantic Council, 350+ global strategists, 2024). 14% mean probability of AI catastrophe from the researchers who actually build it (AI Impacts, 2,778 researchers, 2023). 27% chance of a pandemic worse than COVID within 10 years (Metabiota, Airfinity). 2.6C of warming locked in under current implemented policy (Climate Action Tracker/IPCC). 40% global recession probability right now (JPMorgan, IMF, 2025).
Probability that none of these occur by 2075: roughly 5%.
That's not Russian roulette. That's a revolver with five chambers loaded and one empty.
The piece also gets personal in a way I think this community will appreciate. Not statistics at arm's length. Actually personal.
Full medium article: https://medium.com/@vantenian/the-world-ended-quietly-here-are-the-receipts-bf3f9ea6ccc6?postPublishedType=repub
Repost: had to repost because of a link issue that got it automod removed
Intelligent-Ring5113@reddit
The sad and terrifying truth is that the comment section in this sub proves your point. While everyone is making jokes thinking this is another bs post, the boiling pot of water we’re sitting is incrementally getting hotter and hotter and when it’s finally realized we’re in a boiling pot of water it will be too late to jump out. Because they feel helpless and powerless to do anything of real measure their mindset turns to “it’ll be fine.” “Nothing ever happens”. It’ll be fine till it does.
vinegar@reddit
Welcome to r/collapse, seems like this is your first visit? Notice that it’s not called r/itllbefine. The comments are jokes because that’s what the post deserves.
No_Branch_5083@reddit
Mods, can we start properly culling the AI shit in this sub?
lavapig_love@reddit
We're working it, and human-based reports like yours help us do the job.
--Ano--@reddit
That's not XY, that's AI nonsense.
My AI calculated a 95% probability for an AI takeover. In the end it is just a sycophantic LLM that will tell you what you want to hear and even makes mistakes doing that.
poop-machines@reddit
Yup, you just know it's ai when you see phrases like that
Glittering_Film_6833@reddit
AI can't even use a semicolon
poop-machines@reddit
They've actually started recently! They're training them to add them.
Captain_Pink_Pants@reddit
See? AI is just like human intelligence!
Glittering_Film_6833@reddit
It's deliberately illiterate!
Jambonier@reddit
That’s not a rebuttal. That’s wisdom.
TheEPGFiles@reddit
My AI thought James Earl Jones was alive. Maybe we shouldn't trust AI is what I'm saying.
Realfinney@reddit
Let's see what my phone's predictive text thinks after I type "Will ai take over?":
'I do agree the stock market is more likely to outperform residential and friends with them for not eating more while at a restaurant in the morning Dad's key safe haven refugee in a time that is already chaotic and which I see likely to get worse than them in unknown part of London.'
Concerning stuff!
Icedtangoblast@reddit
‘your world if it doesn’t have the ability for you and you don’t want it in the same place you want to live and be a human again in your own home or a family or something else to be a part in the same way that we do today’
TalkingCat910@reddit
I think the people involved in AI were saying it might have a bad outcome, but some of that is for hype and attention to increase market cap.
I think it will have a negative effect on society but idk about catastrophic
CorvidCorbeau@reddit
Not to be that guy, but it's Russian Roulette with a revolver that has 19 chambers loaded and 1 empty
Cottager_Northeast@reddit
Yeah, that's not a thing. More like a 20 round clip with 19 in it.
kingrobin@reddit
that analogy doesn't work because there's 100% chance that a round will be fired.
Cottager_Northeast@reddit
I know! Right!?!
possiblecurb@reddit
It's safe to say it's just roulette.
Signal-Income9001@reddit (OP)
lol
SadExercises420@reddit
lol
DeltaForceFish@reddit
On the plus side; if there is a great power war between america and china; the others wont happen. Everyone will be back to farming with their hands and cows.
Signal-Income9001@reddit (OP)
I don't think they are gonna fall back to farming so easily. It's gonna be a 90% will die, 7% will scavange, 3% will farm, and then in 20 years after its gonna be most if not all farming
possiblecurb@reddit
How many of those 3% will know how to farm for a population though? I think globally, the first world countries are fucked in any scenario when water goes.
PowerandSignal@reddit
Umm... when water goes everyone is fucked.
"You never miss your water until the well runs dry."
possiblecurb@reddit
I don't have high hopes for people foraging, much less confident in finding water that doesn't drink you.
collapse-ModTeam@reddit
Rule 14: AI-generated content may not be posted to /r/collapse. No self-posts, no comments, no links to articles or blogs or anything else generated by AI or AI influencers/personas. No AI-generated images or videos or other media. No "here's what AI told me about [subject]", "I asked [AI] about [subject]" or the like. This includes content substantively authored by AI.
blacked_out_blur@reddit
The body of this post fucking reeks of AI.
skywalkerww@reddit
Yes, also medium.com is a site were anyone can write slop. He could’ve done a better job
Blood-PawWerewolf@reddit
Medium is nothing but AI slop and paywalled nonsense. They shouldn’t be trusted as a source for anything
Blood-PawWerewolf@reddit
Yup. Saw the typical “it’s not X, it’s Y” phrase they always spit out and immediately downvoted
crazy4donuts4ever@reddit
Does that make the content less valid?
_coyotebongwater@reddit
yes
RedditAppSucksRIF@reddit
YES!
Swimming-Soup5868@reddit
Yeah it does im op (alt account) I wrote a real one and pumped it into ai to write 4 more versions of the same thing so I can slowly seep them into medium over the course of 3 weeks though I do believe in collapse. I used this subreddit to garner attention to my ai slop article to boost myself. Im taking advantage of what I can before time runs out
Swimming-Soup5868@reddit
Im saying this is because most still won't see it and its worked.
blacked_out_blur@reddit
Except nobody is reading your article based on what is obviously a ChatGPT filtered sloppification of any coherent thought. You’re a pathetic contributor to the current shitstain of a society you’re complaining about.
blacked_out_blur@reddit
Objectively so.
Malthusianismically@reddit
He literally just edited out the bullet points 😂
paulovitorfb@reddit
Thanks chat
possiblecurb@reddit
Receipts for who though? Other than being *scary this is useless.
Swimming-Soup5868@reddit
Reaps in views I guess
TheGoodScientist@reddit
Probably not
Miserable-Day7417@reddit
Only certainty is uncertainty.
I think we will destroy ourselves in a more spectacular and unpredictable way than we can imagine. I also have a feeling that there will be survivors that are more resilient than we imagine. Whatever that means isn’t necessarily for me to know.
Not to say that’s a good thing, I will suffer in my lifetime. Then again, what human hasn’t ?
Psychological_Fun172@reddit
Good perspective, I agree. One of the lessons from studying history is that horrible stuff, much of it unprecedented, has always been going on. While it sucks to be at the high water mark of our civilization, it's also probably still one of the best time periods to be alive in.
It's a hell of a show, though!
jdon_floppy@reddit
Your Russian roulette analogy is mathematically incorrect. Yours would still give a 20% chance. Realistically it would be 20 chambers and only 1 empty.
Washingtonpinot@reddit
Ugh, mods please do something about this garbage. Oh wait, I calculated there’s a 38% chance that’ll happen by 2031.
_coyotebongwater@reddit
next time you want to make a doomsaying prediction, write it yourself instead of having the chatbot do it for you. it completely undercuts the legitimacy of any point you might mean to make
Less_Subtle_Approach@reddit
You might have something interesting to say but your chatbot certainly doesn't. Share your real words if you want a real conversation.
Melodic-Yoghurt7193@reddit