'The chances of you living 50 years are very small': Theoretical physicist explains why humanity likely won't survive to see all the forces unified

Posted by fleetingwords@reddit | collapse | View on Reddit | 119 comments

Interview with a Nobel winner who is somewhat pessimistic we will see a unified field theory. Collapse oriented because of what he says:

“Currently, I spend part of my time trying to tell people … that the chances of you living 50 [more] years are very small.

Due to the danger of nuclear war, you have about 35 years.

TG: Why do you think that we'll blow ourselves up, essentially, within 35 years, give or take?

DG: So it's a crude estimate. Even after the Cold War ended, [when] we had strategic arms control treaties, all of which have disappeared, there were estimates there was a 1% chance of nuclear war [every year]. Things have gotten so much worse in the last 30 years, as you can see every time you read the newspaper.

I feel it's not a rigorous estimate, that the chances are more likely 2%. So that's a 1-in-50 chance every year. The expected lifetime, in the case of 2% [per year], is about 35 years.”