Europe to Asia prices, if peace was to stay in Iran
Posted by Ill_Amount_1360@reddit | Shoestring | View on Reddit | 12 comments
I know it's very likely that it's just a temporary ceasefire, but lets imagine it actually stays like that and a peace is reached. The europe to asia flight prices seem to have skyrocketed, because a lot of the persian gulf operators have cancelled their flights causing supply shock. How quickly would the airlines be able to reroute, and in these kinds of situations, what would the impact on prices be?
I'm looking for a flight to Thailand (from Finland) in 2,5 months, and currently the cheapest prices for max 1 stop connection are over 1000€. normally they would be around 6-700€. Do you think there's still chance to get a bargain if there is lasting peace? Or is 2,5 months too near for any changed in prices, even if there is peace?
Sorry_Oil_8377@reddit
Look at sky scanner. I’ve seen cheap 1 stopover flights for £250 one way
Sorry_Oil_8377@reddit
Also it pretty cheap to fly from turkey but you’d be doing two stopovers
Fuck-the-DeNC@reddit
You are flying in high season and that’s pretty soon… I’d book ASSP if I were you; maybe book a refundable ticket so if it does drop dramatically you could still save some?
Miserable-Feed-7772@reddit
Any fuel surcharge will stay for years as in the last time we had a oil price shock around 2008. Airlines will milk that until competition makes it an issue.
TGEIDev@reddit
I’m in the same boat, literally looking at the same dates. I’m waiting until the 6week mark.
gov12@reddit
Flights will likely stay high but no one knows. Conversely reports have accommodation prices down, in Thailand at least. So depending how long and where you stay in Asia, hotel savings may offset flight increase
Stir_123@reddit
yes it might get high all prices lmao
ChestChance6126@reddit
From what I’ve seen, planning trips around weird timing like this, prices don’t really snap back as fast as you’d hope, even if the situation improves. Airlines move kind of cautiously, and routes, crew schedules, and partnerships take time to normalize.
I had a similar thing booking a trip in Southeast Asia, where prices stayed inflated for weeks after things had technically settled. Ended up watching fares daily and randomly caught a drop for like 2 days before it jumped again.
If you’ve got 2.5 months, I wouldn’t bank on a full return to the usual 600–700 range, but you might catch a dip if things stabilize. Flexible dates help a lot, even shifting by a day or two can change everything.
xeprone1@reddit
I am seeing flights for under €400 euros from Rome to Bangkok one way in July it's not much more for a return
alkhdaniel@reddit
Its more expensive because its in early July. Almost everyone wants to fly out of Europe in July.
savehoward@reddit
Prices would never calm down in 3 months even under the best scenario.
Prices are also rising because:
Oil infrastructure has been destroyed.
There is are oil shortages inflating prices.
War spending is increasing inflation.
All airlines are losing massive amounts of money from the wars so far. There is a saying: if an airline loses money the airline has a big problem; if every airline loses money then you’ll have a big problem.
groucho74@reddit
This is make an r/travel question. There are too many unknown variables for a precise answer