Oil prices down 15% so surely the forecourts should reflect that too?
Posted by Plane-Razzmatazz5374@reddit | AskUK | View on Reddit | 42 comments
That’s how it should work isn’t it?
Appreciate it won’t be an immediate decrease but WATCH THIS SPACE. THE COSTS WILL BE HIGH FOR WEEKS TO COME.
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terryjuicelawson@reddit
There is a long process between oil becoming petrol then getting to the forecourts so it isn't an instant process.
spikewilliams2@reddit
Unless the price is increasing, then it's instant.
terryjuicelawson@reddit
Not really, it crept up to its current level rather than leap the 30 odd pence extra it is now. It is still an unstable market and are buying petrol, not oil.
Remote-Pool7787@reddit
That’s nonsense. I was paying 128 for petrol 5 weeks ago. There had been little to no price fluctuation for a year. It’s now 155
terryjuicelawson@reddit
Which considering there is a war in the middle east and vital infrastructure has been demolished, isn't a terrible increase at all. We just feel it more as we need litres and litres of the stuff to fill a tank. You can get as upset as you want but it is highly competetive by its very nature (prices all lit up on every forecourt, many directly next to each other!), there isn't a conspiracy involved. Plenty of mundane things fluctuate seasonally or when there are supply issues such as fruit and veg.
Fuzzy_Cantaloupe6353@reddit
Well yeah cos they brought it weeks in advance
Used-Fennel-7733@reddit
Then why did prices go up immediately not weeks down the line?
Fuzzy_Cantaloupe6353@reddit
Purchase price went up so they can cover the next lot not that hard to figure out plus we had a rise coming from the previous price hike anyway just all hit at once
Used-Fennel-7733@reddit
So you're saying the current prices should be covering the next purchases then right? If the prices come down, then the current prices should to cover those next lower costs
Fuzzy_Cantaloupe6353@reddit
You're buying wholesale from the place that's already paid the big price so no.
Used-Fennel-7733@reddit
No matter how you dress it up they're charging for the higher price twice and paying for it once.
Fuzzy_Cantaloupe6353@reddit
No it's not 🙄
SemtaCert@reddit
Because they need enough cashflow to be able to purchase the fuel at the new higher prices.
Used-Fennel-7733@reddit
Great. So they're now only need the cash flow to be able to purchase at the lower level right?
SemtaCert@reddit
So you believe that the situation is now stable and prices will remain stable and predictable?
Shinjukin@reddit
That's future's price, the physical price of oil was still over $140 a barrel, so we'll see what it drops to over the next couple of days.
Now I understand that oil future's is a foreign concept to most so let me explain. The "oil price down 15%" is a contract for June and mainly synthetic, meaning it's a bet on what the oil price will be in June and is settled in cash without a single drop having to change hands. The reason the prices are cheaper in June is due to backwardation, you can google what that is if you like.
This is also not including the fact that Israel is still bombing the shit out of Lebanon and Iran is bombing the Gulf states and nothing new is getting through the Strait. When you factor in that there's a mutli-week lag between when a ship leaves Dubai and arrives in Japan for example then we could see prices continue to rise as the supply is still technically decreasing for several more weeks, even if full traffic is restored today.
lunarpx@reddit
Well it depends how companies purchase oil, many buy ahead of time so it will take a while to feed through.
Tankmass@reddit
Funny how the prices went up immediately when the war broke out, but somehow when a ceasefire is put in place ‘it will take a while for prices to come back down’.
Delicious-Pop-7019@reddit
So weird, almost as if they are just making up bullshit prices as they go knowing that many people have no choice but to buy fuel.
Good-Animal-6430@reddit
They will charge whatever they can get away with. At this point people are just getting angry with capitalism. Petrol is also competing with food, electricity bills and leisure activities for the pound in your pocket. You can curse the petrol companies. Your can also curse the heavy footed driver in the large engined sports car who is perfectly willing to pay high prices for lots of fuel just to have a bit of fun, and shows the companies that they can get away with that price.
The end game of all this is electric cars and people having solar panels to charges their own at home
OkAdvisor6680@reddit
Prices didn't go up instantly, they've gradually increased over the last month
iffyClyro@reddit
I understand that it’s frustrating and I understand your very simple logic however it doesn’t work that way.
The price increases are a reflection on risk, wholesale price and potential future scarcity.
No_Cauliflower_6937@reddit
It was an immediate increase! Even though the fuel was brought months previously at a lower price. They want bring it down as they’ll use the excuse that the fuel now was purchased at the higher price
tomelwoody@reddit
*bought
Mav_Learns_CS@reddit
Just a small correction but the fuel being bought months ago isn’t a factor, what you pay is the cost of refilling the supply you used - hence why it’s instant
spikewilliams2@reddit
Yet the prices went up before the expensive oil hit the refineries. Also the prices quoted on the news were futures prices, one on the BBC near the start was quoted as May prices. The stuff on the water was probably already bought at pre war prices.
nathan0031@reddit
Mein gott
spikewilliams2@reddit
1.98 on the motorway services I passed on Sunday. Luckily their sign cannot show a 2 in the £ digit.
DrHenryWu@reddit
Seems like a shaky and temporary ceasefire. Anything could happen still
Billy_Rizzle@reddit
Prices shoot up like a rocket, but fall like a feather.
gardenfella@reddit
Asymmetric price transmission
ActionBirbie@reddit
This is not a question and OP should feel bad.
Alert_Mine7067@reddit
If we're lucky, they will fall slowly as usual, but I doubt they'll fall to what they were 6-8 weeks ago for a long time, even then it'll be dressed up as a bargain.
Although I think it's the calm before the storm and it won't be long until Hitler starts acting like an arsehole again, which will increase the price again.
Mindless-Fish-4483@reddit
Just saw diesel at 195 😅
MelkorTheCorruptor@reddit
Capitalism profiting off war
Jealous-Honeydew-142@reddit
The prices never fall to reflect decreasing oil prices. It will trickle down in a few months time but they need record breaking profit first.
AlwaysNorth8@reddit
There is no price cap on fuel - it's a free market. The sooner you realise that prices are not controlled by geo political events on the news and are based off supply/ demand at the pumps the sooner you will make peace with the issue. There's not some guy sitting in the HQ of BP and Shell saying look at the news, put the prices up Now!
BigBastardChap@reddit
Don't forget, when there's an issue that leads to oil prices going up we see it immediately actioned on the forecourts.
But when the oil prices drop, they have to 'Sell off their higher priced Petrol/Diesel reserves first', and then the consumer will see the savings.
Weird that.
StupidMobileWebsite@reddit
Well, kind of. However, crude indices do not equate to eventual pricing. The recent experience of some east Asian economies and oil prices demonstrate that.
BaBaFiCo@reddit
Not really. They don't just go and buy oil off the shelf in the supermarket.
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