Whatever happened to the shortages we were predicting??
Posted by macaronsoeur@reddit | PrepperIntel | View on Reddit | 251 comments
There were a lot of posts about empty ports in the US and how we will be facing lots of shortages and empty shelves due to the tariffs. News outlets suggested we’d feel the effects end of May or in June but I’m not seeing any in my area (Midwest).
Whatever happened to the shortages?? Are they not a thing anymore?
Curious_Resolve4641@reddit
Its coming but probably in 2026. Tariffs combined with ICE deporting farm workers will be a deadly combo. I've worked in Ag for over 20 years and own a plant nursery. In my state its estimated 85 to 90% of dairy farm workers are undocumented. I worked for the slaughter industry for 5 years and have been in almost every slaughter house in my tri-state area. No one working a kill line in those slaughter houses are American except management, no idea of their legal status but it seems ICE is deporting green card holders too, so not sure that matters. Could you see Kristi Noem tying a bung on a slaughter line in her extensions? Lol.
So, right now in 2025 you are eating mostly 2024s harvest for the crops that provide most of the USAs calories grains and meat animals that eat grain. When 2025s harvest goes unharvested in any substantial amount, just wait. Its going to be pandemonium.
Meat prices will soar, milk and cheese will be unavailable, bread no where to be seen. I just put in a 2nd late season vegetable garden today. I've been buying bulk sacks of organic heritage flour and breaking it into mylar. I'm putting a beefer in my freezer and I buy a large chicken meat csa and have layers. I have YEARS of canning jars, lids, and equipment stored. I have seeds stored and I grow open pollinated food plants. Bread is life they say, not something to be ignored. I hope it doesn't happen since my business will tank but my family will survive just fine.
anuthertw@reddit
I think its because of the tariffs being so wishy washy tbh- had the tariffs stayed consistent with no windows of opportunity of 'normal' ordering I think the shortages would be much more apparant. I am no economist, this is just my layman's take. But if anyone has better insight I would love to hear as well. I am still maintaining a bit more stock of items than I normally would due to all the uncertainty though.
A_wandering_rider@reddit
This explains it reasonably well. The dipshit in chief backed out when he figured out empty shelves would be blame on him. Also walmart just upped all their prices and ate some of the cost. Same reason dollar tree now has everything at 1.25$. Might not seem like much to some people but thats a 1/4 increase in some peoples budget.
unexpectedhalfrican@reddit
Yeah my grocery order from Walmart has pretty much stayed the same week to week and yet somehow the price has gone up $50. Really fucking sucks.
GATaxGal@reddit
That’s not right on dollar tree. They’ve been $1.25 tree since sometime last year
WorkingClassSchmuck1@reddit
Since covid, actually.
A_wandering_rider@reddit
You are right I was mixing up two stories. They expect massive profit loss because of the tarrifs. Good catch.
https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/dollar-tree-outlines-tariff-contingency-plan/744169/
unexpectedhalfrican@reddit
I'm not sure if this is tariff-related, but my local grocery store is out of fucking everything. I do grocery delivery and I either see out-of-stock messages for my usual items before I add them to the cart, or I'm asked to approve substitutions because my items are out of stock. One has to wonder since this is about the time when everyone said shortages would begin...
Out of stock items included green grapes, cat food, certain packaged snacks, lots of fresh produce, chocolate, coffee, some paper products.
Flyingarrow68@reddit
Wholefoods and Natural Grocers in Sedona now seem to have the largest out of stocks since Covid. We were hit hard by CA shoppers during that time. Currently there aren’t people buying out the shelves, the items just aren’t being restocked. Dairy and eggs are pretty bare. Employees are a bit sparse in prepared foods. No eggs in either store.
Ok-Amphibian3164@reddit
Give it 4-6 months.
Unusual_Release_6803@reddit
I was at my usual grocery store yesterday, there was no milk, no eggs, no tortillas, and many more shelves are empty.
Own-Radio-3573@reddit
Packages have been slower on Amazon for sure but I haven't seen any local issues.
LowFloor5208@reddit
Has anyone else noticed size changing? My local Walmart now sells 6 pack of eggs and these tiny little mini cans of peas, beans.
mcganyus@reddit
Lots of medical supplies that we need in the office are on back order
Nonchalant_Khan@reddit
Just a personal anecdote, but I live south of Houston and I went to Kohls the other day and the men's section for jeans was almost empty. Just for what that's worth.
ConcertMama@reddit
Duluth company had a sign in store that they would be stocking their jeans this Fall. While there were plenty of pants, there were zero jeans at this location.
missleavenworth@reddit
I stock groceries. We're getting ready to revamp our whole dairy and deli section. But honestly, i think it's because there are things we just can't get anymore. We were out of stock of some very popular items for the last two months, and now those spots are getting replaced with other brands in smaller sizes.
As for the dry groceries, we fill blank spots in with whatever we have extra. Which is why you will see 4 freaking shelves and an end cap with cheezits.
Confident-Poetry6985@reddit
So do you work at meijer in MI? I just noticed they coincidentally revamping their dairy section...or are planning to because the front, middle, and back dairy sections are easily 80% empty. Oddly enough Kroeger is moving everything around except dairy. But there is 2 empty aisles now so idk.
missleavenworth@reddit
Target in Virginia. And even though sales are down due to the boycott, there's still stuff we haven't been able to keep in stock (supply side since we just aren't getting the product anymore).
Wierd657@reddit
My company, different industry, is going hogwild filling in private label with different vendors to try to fill the shelves, end caps, and floor stacks to have anything to sell in quantity. The silver lining is a lot of our existing mainline product vendors have US based HQ and manufacturing, several even local to our HQ.
funkmon@reddit
You have to understand that virtually nothing ever posted on this subreddit is ever indicative of anything.
LORD-DOOMBRINGER@reddit
You believed a media that's repeatedly lied to you🤷♂️
koozmang@reddit
The taco Taco'ed. Like he does every time the market reacts to his awful plans
nanfoodle91@reddit
I know there's a shortage on car engines. I know cause I need a new one and there's 9 people ahead of me nationally 😭😭😭
Professional-Talk472@reddit
Oh like this? Photo taken June 9th 2025.
Professional-Talk472@reddit
Oh like this? Taken Mon jun 9th
AfraidEnvironment711@reddit
Businesses stockpiled. They will soon run out. Prices will then rise accordingly
Special_Disaster_844@reddit
!remindme 6months
RemindMeBot@reddit
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CLICK THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.
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haterofmercator@reddit
RemindMe! In 6 months
4peaks2spheres@reddit
Yikes 😞
hailene02@reddit
This is correct. If you look at port information the shipping volume is still low. While the flip flopping in tarrofs helped some larger suppliers place orders a majority of what were buying is from current inventories. Additionally, many big companies already have stated they will be rising prices.
If you ended up prepping you still did the right thing paying for lower prices then than future higher prices.
0CDeer@reddit
!remindme 4months
Jetpack_Attack@reddit
Always buy 2 or 3 or 5 if it's something you use and it's on sale.
Even if it's not, the price will likely never be lower than it is right now.
WeeklySoup4065@reddit
Lol, they will "soon run out" for the next few years until y'all have something else to panic about
MoonBirthed@reddit
!remindme 6 months
MoonBirthed@reddit
!remind me 6 months
AfraidEnvironment711@reddit
Preparation isn't panic. Definitely not worrying about how to cook steaks and invest in cryptocurrency
Delet3r@reddit
that doesn't mean we have shortages.
Nightowl11111@reddit
Oh you definitely will have shortages, the question is to what degree, ranging from "totally not noticeable" to "where has everything gone". If there is a huge stockpile, it would be in the unnoticeable category, if they ran out without a new source of supply, it would be in the other end. We just have to wait and see how bad it is.
Delet3r@reddit
it's frustrating that people say "stores will be empty". Walmart won't be empty.
in_pdx@reddit
Total_Decision123@reddit
Woah, you’re telling me Reddit was doing nothing but fear mongering and it turned out to be exaggerated? No fucking way
Druid_High_Priest@reddit
Covid pandemic taught us all how to work around such problems.
Medical_Revenue4703@reddit
We never reached the tipping point. But my warehouse was nearly emptied out because of the game-playing. We still have some stock that customers are going to be waiting 8-10 weeks on. My girlfriend's company is in the same situation for a lot of their more complex parts. Her cusotmers are doubly-screwed because the have to wait for custom manufacture and shipping on a lot of stuff. It's mostly exotic manufacture stuff that got hit hard by the trade slowdown. If the treadmill at your gym has an out of order sign on it for a few months, or if your coffee shop has a new shittier esspresso machine... Tariffs.
12PoundCankles@reddit
I don't know about shortages but prices have shot up on things.
daviddjg0033@reddit
Specifically?
I am seeing broad price increases in my niche
KharonOfStyx@reddit
The OEM oil filters for my motorcycle have almost doubled in price.
I’ve noticed a lot of items I purchase regularly have increased marginally, $1 here, $5 there.
jackl_antrn@reddit
Hot water heater went up $100 over last year for same size and specs.
greywar777@reddit
Bananas, obviously. But talking with my daughters BF who works at Walmart, he says makeup, and kitchen equipment are seeing big jumps. Food seems stable other then a few side items still. But pricing is definitely up.
crusoe@reddit
TACO chickened out and backed off mostly.
Ok-Passage-300@reddit
There were more empty spaces for a Thursday in BJs freezer/refrigerator section. Less all around in Dollar Tree.
PromotionStill45@reddit
My good Dollar Tree usually has a big selection of books and puzzles. No books now and very few puzzles. Other areas are looking picked over.
My area was served by a distribution center that was hit by a tornado. The store is in worse shape now compared to how it looked in the weeks after that tornado.
Assuming that they had been permanently moved to alternate sources already.
Ok-Passage-300@reddit
I guess for many there's a lot more than tariffs going on. Blessings to all affected.
Butch1212@reddit
Prices at the Dollar Generals in my area in rural Southeastern Missouri, as of about a week ago, have gone up 20%-25%.
Nine-Finger@reddit
Riiiiight
Civil-Zombie6749@reddit
I've noticed a few items in grocery/drug stores have disappeared in the Lower Midwest over the last month. Example- Eye Drops and Nasal Decongestion Sprays.
throwaway9gk0k4k569@reddit
I run my own little price tracker similar to Keepa or Camelcamelcamel, but it can target Walmart, Home Depot, and some other stores which those tools can't.
If you go onto Walmart's website and look for their 'Mainstay' brand stuff, a ton of the cheap made-in-china stuff is now either out of stock, or the price has been jacked up 300-700%.
They have a ketchup squeeze bottle which used to be $0.75, went to $3, and now it's out of stock.
There is a metal kitchen sink strainer which went from $1.25 to $7.00.
There's thousands of items like this, and that's just for Walmart.
Home Depot has increased price on a few things, but mostly they have killed their sales. Especially on power tools. Now it's all MSRP or the 'sale price' has been jacked up.
IDKijustdrinkhere@reddit
Can someone explain to me what people even mean when they are yelling TACO? I tried to look it up but got nothing.
aaand1234@reddit
Trump always chickens out.
Fantastic-Ice-1402@reddit
If only we had historical data on how tariffs impact consumers and the overall economy. If only there was education on this topic where lessons could be learned .
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
If only a guy whose name rhymes with Poot Towley used tariffs to start/define the worst economic age in US history.
OGAberrant@reddit
Thanks for the info
MindFluffy5906@reddit
I purchased some stakes to support new trees in February-ish and looked into buying a few more. Home Depot has already increased the price by about $2.50 per stake. I repurposed other things temporarily, rather than paying that inflated price.
Dowhatnow00@reddit
Great analysis. Just a point, the TACO reference is from stock traders not from meme-making kids, who hilariously exploited Trump's tough guy image.
ChesterNorris@reddit
I use the Wayback Machine website, comparing today's prices with the past.
I'm getting similar results.
sol_ray@reddit
Vendors stockpiled inventory before the impact of tariffs took effect. It will take time to burn thru the excess inventories to get to shortages. Late July early August is about right.
SnooKiwis2161@reddit
Personally, I think there are "shortages", it's just not apparent because consumers pulled back simultaneously. If people were shopping like they were a year ago, I think we'd have a different story.
At my local walmart, I'm seeing them mark down meats and bakery goods that I never saw them mark down before - and there are empty shelves all through the meat display. It tells me that no new product is coming in - and no one's buying what already remains.
It's not good as it speaks to broader issues economically.
MiddlePlatypus6@reddit
I’ve noticed a few smaller less significant items I used to be able to find plenty of everywhere have been empty on shelves in multiple stores around my area a couple times. Nothing I can’t live without but I’ve noticed it happening slowly.
Akanwrath@reddit
The shortages are coming we are running out of our reserve stock or supplies arent comming in - Store manger
Corrupted_G_nome@reddit
Source: what's going on in shipping. Youtube.
Shipping has weeks of delay and bonding warehouses can hokd goods without tarrif. Delay and hope.for a reduction in tarrif or only take out minimum supply as needed. When prices go up is to when they are pulling from the tarriffed stuff.
Its minimal stuff and occasional shortages with delays and pauses with the hokey pokey tarrifs.
Smooth_Value@reddit
Because the shelves are filled with other stuff, haven't you noticed? Walmart launched a new brand targeting upper-level grocery stores.
ExRays@reddit
Trump chickened out and pulled back on those 145%+ Tarrifs for “90 days”with China on May 12th and that released pressure.
Why is no other comment mentioning this?
Takemyfishplease@reddit
It’s already slowly starting where I am in the south. Walmarts arent as full, the local DGs are slower to restock stuff, new price tags are being applied.
This isn’t some overnight situation. This is going to be a yearlong decline
SubstantialPressure3@reddit
Stores are also stocking different products in those empty spaces. There's few holes,but what's in that space isn't what you're looking for.
squirrel8296@reddit
They're also making sure product is pulled to the front of the shelf as well. Where a shelf would've historically been filled 5-6 deep might only be 1-2 deep now.
BluetickPapa55@reddit
Auto.parts are next to make the price jump.
Takemyfishplease@reddit
This is why I got a bunch of preventative stuff done.
TubeSockLover87@reddit
There are shortages.
Just pay closer attention as it comes in waves.
Things are a bit more sparse.
Turtle_of_Girth@reddit
Yeah walk into Home Depot or another big box store and you will notice some holes in places there usually aren’t holes if you look close enough.
squirrel8296@reddit
Also the places where there aren't holes is typically only 1-2 deep when it used to go all the way to the back of the shelves. More than anything else, it seems like they're doing a good job of concealing the shortages.
Delet3r@reddit
companies will have leaner inventory trying to keep costs down. they will fear overstocking anything.
TubeSockLover87@reddit
Yup, also another part of the storm.
Further increasing the shortages.
No_Minute_4789@reddit
I work for a major pharmacy in PA. Trust me, drug and other inventory issues are real, and we are hanging by a thread trying to get patients certain drugs. A few weeks from now we are going to be facing rising numbers of patients alongside shrinking access to inventory. We will have to start turning people away for certain drugs.
The news you cite said the end of May or June, it's early June. Hang on to your butts.
joejacksonsbelt@reddit
The situation changed. The tariffs he released on liberation day, save for China, are all just 10%, not the... whatever the fuck he chose that day.
FinancialLet2923@reddit
Nothing has changed. Tariff rates are constantly changed by tweets from a mentally impaired dumb old moron.
Zealousideal_Oil4571@reddit
Yes. There are, and will be, shortages. Jut not as dramatic as they would have been had tariffs not been somewhat reduced. We are also seeing price increases. But again, not as dramatic as they would have been.
We'll have to wait and see what happens after the 90 day pause concludes in a few weeks, and to see how the court cases play out.
ItsAllAboutThatDirt@reddit
Prices are up - although at this point it's mostly as reduced sales. BOGO items are now buy 2 get 1. Or just not on sale at all. We haven't really hit that second level, other than for items sourced from China. Family member just got laid off from his job, as his company sources most of their stuff from China and he's sales.
FinancialLet2923@reddit
Don’t worry they are coming. Most economists are still predicting shortages when inventory runs out
The children playing games with are economy have already caused years or decades of damage. The uncertainty caused by their economic illiteracy has caused significant pull backs in business investment
cbram513@reddit
TACO happened.
Fabulous_Cats1881@reddit
!remindme 3 months
Miki654@reddit
I have a background in economics, so topics like these have been heavily monitored in my line of work. The most important thing I will say is that economic change takes much longer than most people think. In general, major companies keep a stockpile of 3-6 months of product within America. So those first 6 months will generally be the same for large companies. Operations costs have increased, which is why we see price increases now. For the most part, companies haven’t gotten to the point of having real difficulty securing goods yet. They will only have just started to experience needing to replenish their stockpiles. The likelihood of shortages will not be experienced until around Christmas. This estimate is subject to change based upon the government’s foreign trade policies, but again, remember that economic change is slow. What you’re looking for is likely to be first realized in Q4 of 2025, with most real-felt effects in Q2 2026.
37iteW00t@reddit
Give it another 2 weeks
squirrel8296@reddit
Businesses stockpiled and then consumer spending fell off a cliff. Consumer spending has fallen so dramatically that the stock that is available is lasting much longer than anyone thought.
In my area (border between the lower midwest and upper south) there aren't any totally empty shelves but the shelves are definitely noticeably less full (most of the product is on 1-2 deep) and there are definitely gaps but they're pulling what little is there up to the front of the shelves. It seems like stores are doing a good job right now of concealing how little they have.
GiftToTheUniverse@reddit
I think this is the answer. There was mad spending across the board since January. Certainly since February when Chainsaw Chad started rampaging through the Federal Civicl Service.
When Americans didn't know what else to do we shopped.
Those with discretionary funds are trying to figure out where to invest. They they can't fit more food or toilet paper into their pantries, basements, or closets so they're not food shopping anymore; they are trying to figure out how to incorporate their stores into their daily.
Those who never had enough to stock up are stuck paying the jacked up prices with fewer dollars so of course they're not buying much very fast.
I think once empty shelves start making headlines there will be a rush on stores and then it will become a feedback loop. A "nobody gets to eat loop." An un-fruit-loop.
XBXNinjaMunky@reddit
Inventory is being spun up and staged in China. When there is a window to get the product into the US on minimal tariff, it moves. When the tariffs hit, it holds
90 days is a fast lead time but just enough time in many cases to put in an order, make it, and get it into us port. With product queued and waiting and a roughly 50-60 day transit time, they are hitting the windows where they can.
SisyphusRllnAnOnion@reddit
Businesses imported so much during the post-liberation day retractions that it caused the GDP to be negative for the quarter. Places stocked up.
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
Not just negstive fornthebquarter, butbwe hit -10%+ in the DOW. Twice. With a lul in the middle.
20% of the stock market gone in 3 days
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
please explain then how my investments in the Dow, are at peak value and identical when the Dow was 45K and its only shy of 43K..
Its going fine to me.
FrostedAngelinTheSky@reddit
Survivorship bias
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
Ignorance bias
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
You must be an anti American troll. The majority of my investments are U.S. BASED and doing well, and did well mostly under Bidens term also, and Trumps 1st term and Obamas terms. The stock market has gained and declined in recent years always does always will, is what it is, overall economy had greater gains than losses is the trend constantly, and new opportunities appear all the time.
Complain all you want,
Aggravating_Refuse89@reddit
It's offensive to tacos
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
The Dow has done well even under Bidens term.
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
How long have you been investing?
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
How long have you been investing?
Ancient_Decision4194@reddit
The Dow has done well even under Bidens term.
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
Yeah, I literally just pointed out what happened during the announcement and in the following days. I'm not sure what you want but you can look up the DOW's performance over time. If it had tracked with what it was at Dec13 you'd be about +20% or +12% were the predictions for Q1 2025 before Liberation Day.
hanapolipomodoroyrag@reddit
I don’t think you know anything about what you are emotionally ranting about here
thisbliss7@reddit
Buying opportunity
Nice_Collection5400@reddit
And 10% of the buying power of the dollar poof. I just went to Europe and the dollar definitely is worth less to buy euros to buy the same crap.
hanapolipomodoroyrag@reddit
It was the first contraction of the GDP since 2022!
NeonSwank@reddit
Yup, all the manufacturing plants nearby have overstocked out of fear.
One place has outside storage racks that Ive never seen full before, not only are they completely stocked, they started putting pallets in their parking lot.
livestrong2109@reddit
Walmart is storing a whole isle length in shipping containers stacked two high in there store parking lot by us.
jazzbiscuit@reddit
That’s typically their remodeling setup. I’d expect your store is about to look a lot different soon.
livestrong2109@reddit
I hope your right it's a sad location with no produce
Fresh-Wealth-8397@reddit
Both Walmart and target near me are using shipping containers to stockpile shit in the parking lot. Fully half of Walmarts parking lot is full shipping containers. The Walmart and target distribution hubs are even more stacked trailers parked inches away from each other to maximize space
Immediate_Delay4535@reddit
I work in a small toy store and as soon as tariffs hit the news, we started buying like it was Christmas. Vendors were also offering deals to buy in at pre-tariff pricing. So, we should be good through the busy summer season. I'm sure most retailers that could did the same. The real question is what the shelves will look like when Christmas really does come around.
wowmomcooldad@reddit
Things don’t necessarily change right away: panic buying, suppliers increase stock in most bought items in preparation, prices increase, whatever people buy is restocked at higher prices. Less options, higher prices and getting through inventory takes time… September things should become very clear of the direction we’re going but you see prices are DEFINITELY starting to increase, there’s subs here that even show photos of it. Just prepare yourselves
Puzzled-Berry-2450@reddit
Camera/drone equipment from DJI is completely out of stock and prices for their goods have shout up considerably.
jcmedia918@reddit
I notice it in different stores. ShopRite seems normal but prices on some items have gone up. Whole Foods definitely seems to have less stock with some items. And their tofu packing has changed to the same packaging during the pandemic. I’m only paying attention to the items I buy weekly though.
arb1698@reddit
Problem is the constant back and forth gives companies brief windows to make their orders also companies placed massive orders during this reprieve in tarrif rates.
PrepperBoi@reddit
I wouldn’t say that’s a problem lmfao
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
It is. We're taking $14Tn in debt on record shattering bond yields and just because someone realized they could buy the dip on a tweet and then sell high with another tweet 2 weeks later.
JacksMicroplastics@reddit
While BRICS nations for years have been working to reduce their reliance on the dollar as the de facto global currency. Trump definitely is not working to undermine US hegemony... /s
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
Sarcasm noted. Yeah essentially. BRICS is mostly fallen apart but China is absolutely moving to replace the US's global hegemony and is winning hand over fist. The EU would desperately prefer to deal with the US but every delay in tariffs is more time to ensure the US is hurt worse than them as they divest.
Additionally China and France are buying out the numerous scientists fleeing the US due to persecution over scientific findings that don't line up with The Party.
alienssuck@reddit
Ignorant question: is anyone capable of stepping up to replace the dollar as the reserve currency of the world? Could the euro do that?
Alexander_Granite@reddit
No. Not right now.
Former-Fly-4023@reddit
No, not any time in remotely near future, although may happen eventually.
Virginia_Hall@reddit
This x1000
BlatantFalsehood@reddit
Well stores are still raising prices as if they were in effect. So yeah. It's a problem and will be a bigger one if they do go into effect.
PrepperBoi@reddit
What I’m saying is the way he phrased it by saying “well the problem is imports are still getting through” which isn’t a bad thing. Not the fact that there is the issue with tariffs. Just needed some punctuation or better phrasing
Reneeisme@reddit
It is if it delays the impact long enough to convince people that news media and major retailers were lying about the impact of tariffs. Which of course is part of the point. They are betting on Americans having very short memories and attention spans, and if the price increases and shortages roll out in fits and starts, maybe you won’t remember what things were like a year ago. Eventually you’ll just pay the tariffs and generate all that extra income for wealthy tax breaks, and forget they were ever not a thing.
And to the first point, retailers are gamboling that you’re too addicted to shopping to stop, and ordered more goods at far higher prices than normal betting you’ll still buy them. So some of the shortage evaporated when even a few products are sufficient to meet the drastically reduced demand due to high prices. There’s no shortage even if there’s far fewer products on the shelves, if people aren’t buying them. The products are there - they just cost 30-75% more. There’s lots of my favorite coffee on the shelf but the same size package that was $12 late last year is currently $20. So maybe it’s more appropriate to talk about a “shortage” of normally priced products.
But check out the layoffs across a lot of consumer product brands and their first quarter sales reports. Sales are down. Not everyone can ignore massive price increases. Consumer behavior, at least at lower incomes, is shifting.
I guess it’s good news in the short term if you have income to spare. We can still get the things we need and want, which is better than I thought would happen. But the impact on people without income to spare is devastating. Lines at the food bank I volunteer at have more than doubled. And the impact on the economy of the government shifting all that profit away from retailers and to themselves to dole out as tax breaks exclusively for the wealthy, can not be good. Like I said, layoffs, at a minimum.
DandierChip@reddit
It is on this sub lol
arb1698@reddit
This uncertainty means businesses can't plan effectively.
AlpacaSwimTeam@reddit
Which means it affects hiring and purchasing for those of us that don't do math.
Pretend-Marsupial258@reddit
Yep, which is why the US lost thousands of manufacturing jobs last month. All the jobs that are being added are in services or healthcare.
PrepperBoi@reddit
The way you stated it made it sound like it’s a problem orders are still making its way through customs with lower taxes lol
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
No, they didn't, and there are no lower taxes on importers.
TrekRider911@reddit
I think we’re seeing spots where they are happening. Our Walmart has almost no socks and no underwear in the isles. Been that way for several weeks now.
wellblessyourcow@reddit
Ditto on the socks. I made a cart for checkout about two weeks ago and they’ve disappeared from the stock
ClassroomSpecial2934@reddit
I work in the sams warehouse, we get half the freight we use to get. It dwindles more every month.
Comfortable_Wafer_40@reddit
Lowe’s and Home Depot should be fine. In their quarterly earnings reports, they indicated their inventory was prepared. Additionally, Home Depot actually declared that they source a lot of things domestically and from North America.
CraftyProposal6701@reddit
https://i.redd.it/fyeyzi323n5f1.gif
I'm watching and waiting and most importantly prepared.
It doesn't matter what the shit storm of the day is. As prepping goes we all do what we think is best for our level of risk and act accordingly.
We think STRATEGICAL AND TACTICALLY.
So shortage or not I'm ready.
melly1226@reddit
If you follow the Walmart sub, the show price tags before and after tariffs a lot.
Simianalterna@reddit
We are seeing the same thing, store shelves being rearranged, products only 1-3 deep, also have been noticing that products previously sold at 16 ounces (1 lb) are now being sold for the same price, but smaller quantities, 14 ounces. Pay attention to the size and quantity. Smaller packaging, etc.
lolallsmiles@reddit
I’ve noticed nothing in my area…a big city, St. Louis
lolallsmiles@reddit
I still prepared…
floopadoop37@reddit
From what I remember, this was right around when things were going to get noticeable. I think it'll be different depending on where you are and what you're shopping for. I think it's still coming, it's just not being talked about as much.
Ok-Degree-1080@reddit
Meats more expensive & cheaper cuts are t as available. The sizes of some items are slightly smaller, like a box of crackers might have been 16.4 Oz is now 13.7 Oz for the same price or it might be slightly higher then marked on “sale” for $.10 off to make it about the same price as before so your feel you’re getting a deal. Some fruit & veg I usually get aren’t available. Stores are limiting the variety of choices, like 3 brands instead of the usual 4or more. These aren’t big changes, but I’m seeing more of them. I shop online & pickup so I’m not influenced by what’s around & just see price per compared to last time, & see these modesty changes, & see they are increasing.
callforspooky@reddit
Where do you think the shortages trumped up by the media went? The same place 90% of the topics in the sub seem to be lately. They’re made up teotwawki doomer circlejerk bait
InvestIntrest@reddit
Don't believe the doomers. Prices for some good will go up, but don't expect mass shortages.
Wers81@reddit
I’ve been seeing less inventory and empty spaces.
SirEnderLord@reddit
Flipflopping does a lot
McDolphins76@reddit
He canceled the huge tariffs. You live under a rock?
AdditionalAd9794@reddit
There's a shortage, back inventory is a bit low, largely though it was exaggerated and sensationalized
Theone2324@reddit
It’s almost like Liberals lie
molski79@reddit
It’s almost like tacos end up tacoing
awesomeopossumm@reddit
In my estimation, discount bins will go back up on hangers soon. Companies don’t want the risk in making new orders and there is still no domestic pipeline.
ALEXC_23@reddit
What happened to “I will end the war on day one”?
LegitLolaPrej@reddit
You are seeing them, or are prices for everything magically not going up where you live?
BigJSunshine@reddit
Shit, you are a bot. Your karma and existence is VERY LOW. Ya’ll don’t engage with this fake
BigJSunshine@reddit
Have you not experienced them?
Ffs are you a bot?
rickardpercy@reddit
You have to remember that being prepared is a valuable tool but many preppers want their preparedness to be right and the reality is that at least in America our society has a decent track record of ironing out wrinkles before they are too big a problem
RailRza@reddit
T.A.C.O.
CapitalAlternative89@reddit
I'm in suburban Chicago and I've noticed prices are going up, fast. I believe businesses may already be adding the tariffs into the customer's price for merch they've had stored. Merchandise that could've been bought pre-tariff. This is just conjecture from noticing big price increases on several basic products I use.
Willing-Jackfruit318@reddit
Fear mongers moved on to other topics
motocycledog@reddit
First prices go up, which they have at my grocery store. The supply chain has started breaking but will take a while to hit everyone.
Senior-Pirate-5369@reddit
Wife's sister's husband (brother in law?) works at the port in LA, said the ships coming in are slowing down, as in fewer by the week, just a couple weeks ago.
Some stores still have stock because as some people have mentioned, they're not selling as much due to the tariffs.
Been seeing some empty spots in shelves at random stores already OR a bigger increase in price than just the tariffs, so again people avoid buying.
Those who have been keeping track of the situation have already stocked up.
Someone else said it's coming in waves, that's pretty much it. Small waves now, they'll be getting bigger soon.
If other countries like China and Japan decide to sell their bonds, it'll be a fucking tsunami.
Sad part of it is, Canada and Mexico have been posting pics of their stock and not only are they in stock, but much less than here.
Play stupid games, win stupid prizes...
withomps44@reddit
They weren’t predicted to hit the shelves until late July. Inventories were padded in April. Imports are WAY down. I don’t think there will be any sort of shortage that creates a panic or major problems but they will be noticed.
Starlight_Alchemy@reddit
I kept hearing we won't really see shortages until August/back to school time ...
Various-General-8610@reddit
That is what I heard too.
Conscious_Owl6162@reddit
It was just more BS generated by the mass media. One endless stream of BS.
goldkirk@reddit
It was always going to take weeks for them to hit for the most part. Late May/early June for the beginnings. Where I live, there's already stock issues for a lot of the most popular flavors or varieties of things, but the stores are covering for it by just filling three empty areas in the shelving with one other flavor so it looks like there's still plenty until you get closer and realize. There's a lot of stock shuffling going on, and even with all of that, there are still many more empty or low-stock areas in the stores than there usually are even when things are picked over before a storm or holiday.
Then as other people have also mentioned, 1) businesses started stocking as much as they could a while ago to give a better buffer, 2) some businesses have already been inching up prices for things despite not having low stock yet, and people often aren't noticing. It'll be a lot clearer down the road if/when scarcity of preferred items shoots the prices higher on top of the tariff increases.
Effective-Ad-6460@reddit
Nothing happened like most posts
This sub has a lot of fearmongering
6 months ago bird flu was going to wipe us out
Nothing happened
Before that it was monkey pox
Nothing happened
Before that nuclear war
Nothing happened
Liandra24289@reddit
Give it a year, most people forgot how things were in the past. Like in 2008.
Standby_fire@reddit
The ports are half full approx
Bob4Not@reddit
People who implied groceries would see a shortage are silly, the US doesn’t import many types of groceries. None from China, virtually.
There are some shortages of imports, it depends on where you look. Not everything is a constant demand
Dowhatnow00@reddit
True, but there are fewer people to pick and process our domestic crops and protein eventually leading to fewer products on grocery shelves with higher prices.
Bob4Not@reddit
Oh that’s true, I forgot about those shortage predictions, I can see that is possible. I was specifically thinking about the tariff-caused shortages.
madadekinai@reddit
"Are they not a thing anymore?"
Nice try being troll.
At stated for the 10000th time, anything ordered NOW takes 6+ months for it to rotate into current stock, and that does not even account for the back stock they have. Everything from planning, ordering, shipping to storage, it takes MONTHS, so the affects will not be felt until starting August to September.
United-Heart-979@reddit
TACO
82cabinets@reddit
I have noticed grocery stores shifting around inventory more frequently
Bordyable@reddit
My local grocery store greatly downsided their Latino grocery section
hiker_trailmagicva@reddit
Our international grocery store has been low on a variety of Asian ingredients.
miketech18@reddit
This is a nice example of how heavy we are propagandized
nodigit@reddit
Reddit was full of lies and delusional thinking.. that's what happened.
8ofAll@reddit
Amen to than. This is fear mongering sub now. Actually intel aspect of it left a couple of years ago.
Jetfire911@reddit
Noticing some at my local grocery store, 80% of the deodorant is gone for example. I expect it's still coming as inventories burn down.
Competitiveweird6363@reddit
Trump also paused tariffs on some countries until July so wait and see what July brings
galleyturd@reddit
Bc it was all reddit orange man bad libtard sensationalist fear mongering. I'm still waiting for his gestapo to uh checks reddit arrest all the gays and uh all the latinos and send them to the gulag or whatever the fuck you people keep hamming on about
emmett_kelly@reddit
All these companies have inventory on hand. When I worked in retail we would start putting in orders for the holiday season right about this time of year, maybe a few weeks later. It'll happen eventually if nothing constructive gets done. Might take a little longer if consumer confidence continues to go into the toilet.
Decent-Vermicelli232@reddit
Liberal alarmists have infiltrated the sub and spread misinformation same as their right wing counter parts do.
Gray_Salt@reddit
Here in the northeast I'm definitely seeing it. I stopped in at our Walmart instead of ordering for the first time in a while. Our entire produce section is empty looking and that's with the items that are quadruple spaced. For example, there was no iceberg, and eight facings of romaine but only a couple deep. There were a lot of empty spots in clothing too - the packaged stuff, like multipack shirts, socks, underpants. Every time I do an order there are multiple things out of stock, and seeing the store I know why now.
AvailableProcess5194@reddit
I was in Walmart this week and the gift wrap aisle was 90 percent empty. Maybe they were switching seasons, I didn't go back to see. Also only one vendor had my dogs food in a particular flavor. That's unusual.
DecrimIowa@reddit
IMO there have been two mitigating factors
a) when tariffs were announced, companies announced massive orders leading to a backlog
b) tariffs were delayed/repealed so the predicted economic disruptions never materialized
WyndWoman@reddit
Also demand has dropped. People are tightening their belts.
Pasalapeineta@reddit
Trump chickened out
AirCanadaFoolMeOnce@reddit
Unlikely we will have significant shortages because TACO. We can either have manufacturing jobs come back, OR we can negotiate free trade deals.
Spoiler: the jobs aren’t coming back. Trump will accept a crumb of concession, declare victory, and the rich will get back to getting richer. It’s how it was always going to play out. And there’s a lot of money to be made as an individual investing if you understand these are predetermined outcomes. Trump knows he never has to create a single job, he just has to flap his lips, and his poorly educated people will suck down all the bluster with glee.
Excellent-Gur5980@reddit
One thing he knows is that his supporters are MORONS.
Apprehensive_Onion53@reddit
FWIW, also take into account that the hurricane season hasn’t kicked into high gear just yet. Once it does, many goods will begin shifting to areas under hurricane advisories or that have suffered catastrophic damage. That will also put a strain on supplies.
Galaxaura@reddit
By this time in 2026, we will all be feeling the damage that this administration is doing.
Guaranteed.
Galaxaura@reddit
TACO
omnipotentworm@reddit
Retail worker here that right now is working with carpet and tile mostly. Most of our porcelain tile shipments and custom orders were delayed by months or indefinitely because a lot of it came from China. A lot of angry customers that still have their order stuck in limbo.
annoyedatwork@reddit
Taco.
AckAck-73@reddit
In the port of San Diego trucks are pulling out empty and berths are sitting empty for the first time in months. 🤷♀️
-C0baltB00@reddit
Reddit overreacted .
GivemetheDetails@reddit
Face it, the supply chain is rock solid. This is like the third time in the past year online fear influencers have been grifting about ports. Wake me up when a super volcano erupts
ChesterNorris@reddit
Sorry. Not my job. Stay asleep. zzzzzzzz
dpd2k1010@reddit
I think it will take a few more months before we see the effects. The ports on the west coast have seen fewer container ships over the past month
BolognaNbeanz@reddit
Just two more weeks (until shortages)
BenGay29@reddit
Not shortages, but Amazon purchases take weeks to arrive instead of days.
Constant-Kick6183@reddit
Trump chickened out again. He dropped most all of the tariffs to low levels.
mtpelletier31@reddit
Yeah we bought triple the amount of bike parts for pur shop. Usually order was like 10k and we did 45k this preseason. Bought as much as we could knowing how much they have and are already going up
Low-Carob9772@reddit
Taco
KingOfRoc@reddit
Isn't this true about 98% of all predictions on this sub?
Weren't the solar fares supposed to cause issues worldwide?
mrdrinc@reddit
My local store is out of a whole bunch of stuff
Wellslapmesilly@reddit
As others have stated, things will start hitting towards the end of August/September.
Smooth_Tell2269@reddit
Still 10% can move manufacturing back here. Why are so many preppers globalists?
Big_Knobber@reddit
In 2008 the "collapse" took 16 months from top to bottom. We are seeing increasing prices at the beginning of June as expected.
Romeo_4J@reddit
My analysis was always June/July just because of how robust supply chains were to begin with
Just_Side8704@reddit
They are still headed our way. It takes time to pleat the warehouses of supplies already purchased. I listened to an interview of the head of the port in LA, which is the busiest port in the nation. He said they usually see 10 to 14 ships this time of year, they are doing five right now.
Shipkiller-in-theory@reddit
Zero shortage in the swamps of eastern Va.
westex74@reddit
Just normal media lies and FUD.
irwindesigned@reddit
Q3
CallmeIshmael913@reddit
My tinfoil hat theory was this was a ruse to get people to panic upgrade or fomo buy.
Resident-Watch4252@reddit
T A C O simple!!!
Inner-Confidence99@reddit
There is a shortage of a lot of things. I see it a my local stores. My Walmart keeps compressing the items into smaller spaces. Then filling the gap with stuff from other side of store. It’s also the local grocery and hardware stores. They have been told everything is on back order. Even at the pharmacies. My pharmacy told me to get 90 days when I filled scripts and call 2 weeks before needed a refill so they could make sure to have it or find it at another pharmacy.
CauliflowerPopular46@reddit
I enjoy reading all the hyperbole on this sub.
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
It's called an anecdote, not hyperbole, and it's literally the point of the sub. Check the sidebar.
No-Display-6647@reddit
Was in kohls yesterday and saw Fall clothing mixed in with Spring. I it was rushed shipped b4 tariffs took effect.
Alone_Elderberry_101@reddit
Because then stuff that didn’t come over was useless bs people just waste money on. The actual important stuff came over anyway even if it cost more.
ColdLeekSoup@reddit
TACO
CurrentResident23@reddit
TACO TACO'd.
Character-Zombie-961@reddit
I've noticed in my area stores are shifting inventory around to fill up space. I'm starting to notice a change, but nothing near bare shelves yet.
carlitospig@reddit
Someone posted a timeline last month in a different sub and I had hoped they would post it all over reddit. They did a high level zoom looking at shipping and basically we will start to see the impact in fall.
cyesk8er@reddit
I heard we owe it to "taco"
ShihPoosRule@reddit
The shortages won’t hit until mid to late summer as that’s when inventories become depleted.
phovos@reddit
That's interesting opinion because I hear that US companies are so freaked out and have no idea what to do right now other than buy finished goods from Korea and Japan (made in China) and then harvesting their rare earths and magnets out of the destructive teardown of the Chinese product; since China won't sell us the literally mandatory material. The shortages are so much worse than I even expected, the economy is crippled. The mil industrial complex is crippled, even.
So I can't really complain.
pheonix080@reddit
Demand destruction is also a driving factor here. Many companies did pull forward inventory ahead of tariffs. That inventory may not be moving as quickly as forecasted. Warehouses are holding more inventory than they usually do as a result of both reasons.
lucylouwho1@reddit
Meh. Shortages are fairly tricky to nail down. A businesses #1 goal is to make money. I don’t care which industry, that is the core driver. You can’t make money with empty shelves. They will always find a back up. They can spread inventory, find alternatives, replace parts, all of it. Any good logistician would have had hundreds of back up plans when the port shortages started. It’s the unexpected shortages that cause issues. Covid? Check. The TP shortage a few months ago, check. It’s the bizarre, bingo card worthy, world level changes that cause the shockwaves and create your shortages. I have been in supply chain for a couple of decades now…most of you don’t even know we are here. We are resilient and adaptable and mostly behind the scenes. Find your long term supply chain people…when we start panicking…then you know there is a problem.
Cabal-Mage-of-Kmart@reddit
Part of the exaggerations came from a misunderstanding of how u.s. supply chains work. There's a whole sector of the supply chain dedicated to maintaining massive warehouses of product, with the sole purpose of procuring, selling, and moving that product with proper marketing, transportation management, and a few other clever strategies dependent on the company. This aspect of supply chains has been drastically evolving since Covid to be more flexible and sustainable in greater hardship.
Long story short, the empty ports only meant that the product was no longer going to be able to immediately refill their own warehouse stocks. I did see some stores warning that they were getting close to using the reserves, but as has been said by others, there have been chances to make purchases of opportunity while tariffs were under negotiation. There's still extreme uncertainty as to what will happen, but consumer shelves are scraping by. For now.
kale_boriak@reddit
Trump chickened out
Unhappy-Plastic2017@reddit
Everyone is ignoring the tariffs threat because Donald Trump's word is worthless
Heavy_Ape@reddit
It's like winter in the game of thrones, tomorrow, the apocalypse, or the economic crash...it's coming soon!
Cow_Man42@reddit
I have seen some shortages in things like tools(or double the price ) and also weird stuff like bolts....I needed a particular sized grade 8 bolt for y tractor recently and I couldn't find it anywhere locally. Not even the deere dealer had one....They could order one from Europe and it would be here in a month and cost a ton.......I had to cobble together a replacement with a scientific fastener dealer.....Random little things like this that are like the shortages in 2020........
biggesthumb@reddit
The big box stores told china to ship anyway
crimsonscarf@reddit
Tariffs have all been delayed until July 9th, as per TACO. China still has a 20% tariff on it, but we will see how long that takes.
Chances are the tariffs will all be "delayed" again, just like almost every tariff so far.
bikumz@reddit
All the guesses were made by many who didn’t know what they were talking about. Ports are empty all the time, probably at least once a month you may not have any container ships at a port. It just happens. Doesn’t mean the port isn’t working they still have a full yard to move through.
backtotheland76@reddit
I live in the Seattle area and the cargo ship traffic has been way down. I think the shortages are still coming. It just seems inevitable to me. It just takes more than a few weeks to work through the system
Ricky_Ventura@reddit
The tariffs still arent in effect. TACO has rolled them back snd then threatened tonre-impose them 5/6 times now.