^^^^ Qualifies for a Black Swan right there 🦢

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danceswsheep@reddit

The world did see something like COVID happening, it just wasn’t talked about outside of epidemiologists and public health officials. The COVID pandemic happened because of leadership failures; there was not a serious enough effort to stop the spread.. and then of course, the conspiracies and disinformation led to it spreading even faster.

My stepdad (who was otherwise an incredible and kind man) fell hard for the disinformation and refused to get vaccinated. I hounded him relentlessly, but he was legitimately convinced the vaccine would kill him. Unfortunately, he ended up getting COVID and unwittingly passed it on to my mom (who was vaccinated, but was immunocompromised, so vaccine wasn’t as effective). They both died within 3 days of each other. I used to think that propaganda somehow was only effective against the weak-minded, uneducated, mean-spirited, etc., but I’m no longer naive.

In any case, we have diseases which could become the next pandemic, and each is potentially deadlier than COVID.

There is the H5N1 influenza virus (aka bird flu), which has been gaining ground among many different species of mammals, but thus far there are only cases of humans getting the disease from other animals. The disease has now reached pigs. This is scary because when viruses reach pigs, it is more likely for the virus to mutate into one that allow human-to-human spread of the virus. There are vaccines, but their effectiveness is hampered by how frequently the virus mutates.

The other one is chronic wasting disease, which is caused by a prion - not a virus or bacteria - but a misfolded protein. Mad Cow Disease is the most famous prion based disease that can spread to humans, but Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease is the most common. There is no cure. CWD has not yet spread to humans, but it’s affected deer populations significantly. There is no treatment and it is fatal.

I honestly can’t think of any apocalypse scenario that would be truly unexpected outside of an asteroid that comes through one of our surveillance blind spots. Even that is known possibility though, as we already know there are blind spots.

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coastguy111@reddit

I'm afraid the mrna vaccine technology is going to prove devastating. Especially considered that they made a booboo about the ability for it to change your DNA.

https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/immunology/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2024.1336906/full

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306987723000117?via%3Dihub

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danceswsheep@reddit

I have no idea whether the sources you’ve shared are accurate representations of the current opinion of the greater public health community, but if they are, it demonstrates the importance of continuing the research. We have to mitigate risks based on the knowledge that we have at the time.

My stepdad’s belief that the COVID vaccine would kill him was based on what was fed to him on TikTok and YouTube - and there was no evidence to support that. The risk of dying from COVID was much higher. Had he been vaccinated, he would have lived. Had he been vaccinated, he might not have accidentally killed my immunocompromised mom. The conversations I had with him were along the lines of “Yes, it is a new vaccine and there are risks. However, we have a lot more evidence that COVID could kill you than that the vaccine would harm you. And COVID will absolutely kill mom.”

I don't think we can promise it wont in our life times, but there would be years of build up that would certainly be detected.

Also, it very much isn't the end of the world people make it out to be. Nearest 2-3 states have areas that are in direct blast/giant falling rock danger. 4-6 States get ash-falls severe enough to destroy most things, at rates that people can't manage. Another dozen states have heavy disruption from Ash. About 35 states get enough ash to be a nuisance and damage agriculture...

ST-2x@reddit

Covid spread rapidly across the globe. In reality nothing could have stopped it. Blaming it on trump is absurd

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spaceporter@reddit

As I said, it's less likely that we could have stopped it compared to influenza-based epidemics due to the contagion level, but there were already reports locally in December and the world didn't shutdown until Mid-March. If America still had a team in Wuhan with the sole mandate of identifying viruses with the potential to rapidly spread across the globe, then it's plausible we could have isolated the area and shut it down (something China in retrospect was clearly willing and able to do).

Would it have worked? Who knows. We become more globally connected by the year. Maybe those early influenza viruses identified by the teams put in place by Bush and enhanced by Obama would not have been halted just 5–10 years later because of increased air traffic.

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chris_rage_is_back@reddit

Funny... I remember him being called raycis for trying to limit flights coming from China and all the democrats going to Chinatown in ~solidarity~ for propaganda

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Away-Map-8428@reddit

imagine not knowing more than one neolib party can do something bad let alone that each can have propaganda. seems like a poor prep on your part.

oh well is guess c19 suffers from being an enemy that is both strong and weak. Funny, I remember someone saying it was just the flu. Funny, I remember someone saying to Bob Woodward on tape that it was really bad.

MysteriousStaff3388@reddit

I think Covid 19 was a pretty good name.

Why the fuck are you so angry? Calm down. You men are so emotional. It’s pathetic.

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preppers-ModTeam@reddit

Remarkable_Ad5011@reddit

As someone that refused to be put on a vent and survived c19.. this sent chills down my spine. (Dr had already informed my spouse that I was going on a vent and to start making my final arrangements).

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Legitimate-Article50@reddit

I think that is probably what saved you. If it was delta variant and you needed to vent your chances of survival dropped significantly if you went on a vent.

Miyake Events were Black Swan before 2012 or so.

Cascadian Subduction Zone earthquakes were before about 1980?

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smilescart@reddit

No the White House had evidence that bin Laden and Muhammad atah were planning an attack in the U.S. using planes lmao. Cheney just slept on the warnings.

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Kitchen-Till1512@reddit

I was a history major in college in the 80s. I knew with no doubt there would be a few pandemics in my lifetime since we were long overdue. It became a minor hobby to read up on any bird flu variant and Ebola strain and see if it was the "one". So when it did happen I knew earlier than most people.

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BlakeClass@reddit

Warren Buffet even mentions it in passing in one of his shareholder meetings when asked why he doesn’t ever short stocks.

“It’s a miserable way to make money, I don’t want to sit around waiting for a flu epidemic.”

Tldr: a variety of economic and social factors, varying between countries but summing to a global problem.

Too many reasons to count on reddit but lots of good research has been done. Off the top of my head:

Birth rates have always dropped with increases in wealth- you don't need kids for retirement/labor/dowries, but they still cost a lot to raise.

More widespread access to contraception and sex ed.

Lowering levels of sex hormones leading to lower libido and lower fertility - I don't think we fully know why this is but my money is on industrial byproducts and micro plastics.

In some countries there is a huge gender gap- like China when the one child policy led to many infant girls being killed so now there are many more young men than young women.

In some countries there is an oppressive work culture and economy that prevents real socialization or room for child rearing- Japan and SK come to mind.

In America we there are many more lonely isolated young adults, not meeting people, not having sex, and not developing the skills that will make either of those happen in the future. This is compounded by the perception of a harder dating market. Young men don't approach women because being seen as a creep or "simp" even with good respectful intentions will follow you for far longer than the possibility of a date is worth.

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EternalSage2000@reddit

Dude.
I commented on a guy saying cheap sex robots were going to be the cause of the apocalypse.

Also good men will still have relationships with real women. The guys who would be bad partners and fathers will be less likely to procreate

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Wasteland-Scum@reddit

Women also enjoy physical sex.

Not according to my grampa

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wtfredditacct@reddit

This is somehow funny, sad, frightening, and possibly true all at once. Give men good sex that's easy and comes with (albeit shallow) emotional support and the human race ceases to exist.

I replied to a sub comment mentioning politics addressing the topic of the sub comment not the topic OP posted about. Learn how Reddit works.

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wtfredditacct@reddit

gif

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yourslice@reddit

The world has way too many people. There aren't going to be jobs because of AI. Fuck the robots and have fun! What am I missing? A few people will still have children...which is all we need at this point.

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Acaciaenthusiast@reddit

That's not a black swan event, Charles Stross wrote about it in Saturn's Children.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saturn%27s_Children_(novel)

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Carrie_1968@reddit

Affordable rubber corpses came out many years ago. The dozen or so men friends I have fit into two categories — those who have zero problem attracting women, and those who purchased one or more rubber corpses to essentially masturbate into. They’re literally affordable enough that you can get a few of them to make yourself feel like you have a variety of [not real] girlfriends.

There will be nothing apocalyptic about them, as the gents who mount these things were never at any risk of impregnating a real or living female. I’d bet there are infinitely more guys who have these things than you’d ever know, but sadly, admitting that you own/use one still puts you at risk for mockery so many guys don’t let peers know.

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BobbyPeele88@reddit

I'll be in my bunk.

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Hot-Profession4091@reddit

Unexpected Firefly.

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mortalitylost@reddit

Tell your mom nothing can replace her for me

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shanghainese88@reddit

Bill Gates and many others were on the record in a documentary saying the next pandemic is around the corner, before Covid.

I'm not convinced North America will be the place to be when climate changes. Temps could get really hot, or really.l cold. We could even see both during a single growing season. Flooding or drought could impact a lot of the US crops. The rich will certainly try to hoard resources, leaving the 99% to starve.

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chi-nyc@reddit

population collapse

If the algae blooms that provide nearly 50% of Earth’s oxygen die from increased acidification or temperature we are fucked in less than 6 months.

The thawing permafrost has trapped enormous amounts of methane which is a more harmful greenhouse gas than CO2 is. The explosion in methane will greatly accelerate the runaway train effect of global warming which is well underway.

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ShinyTogetic_@reddit

Diary of a CEO podcast just had an ex-pentagon official on their show to discuss this for 90 minutes. Link here to the conversation on YouTube.

I'm still skeptical myself, but he discusses why we as society haven't disclosed more information to the public about what we do know. It would dismantle our understanding of our own world, it would create public discourse we can't control, it might tear apart some religions, etc.

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driverdan@reddit

So far all of the whistleblowers have done is spread hearsay and have had zero evidence.

I personally had a contact event a few weeks ago.

Some rando on Reddit claims it's true so it must be.

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mortalitylost@reddit

Nth contact... just public this time

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Syenadi@reddit

Just the acknowledgement of ”NHIs” by officials is considered by some to be some grand reality shattering thing but if the average person’s life is not impacted at all and they still have to go to work, pay the Visa bill, and fix the car, and the planet remains spiraling into ecological oblivion, it’s not going to change anything.

BTW, where the hell is my actual hoverboard?

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_zarathustra@reddit

What is an NHI?

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Syenadi@reddit

"Non Human Intelligence" as in"smart beings from out there" (vs those NHI who already live here, like Cephalopods, dolphins, and corvids).

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_zarathustra@reddit

Thanks! Can you link to the acknowledgement you're referring to? I'm seeing some on google, but curious which specific news item.

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Syenadi@reddit

I don't think there has been any such clear statement and presentation of clear evidence that NHIs have visited Earth. I was just arguing that if there had been and nothing else changes people's lives, it would end up being not a big deal.

The other assumption I find odd is that any such NHIs would have interacted with governments (have you seen goverrnments?) and that governments control information about them. If they wanted to be known, they would not be stopped by mere human governments.

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Omfgeveryusernameist@reddit

You'll want to google "Immaculate Constellation", I believe.

https://mace.house.gov/immaculateconstellation

I pay attention because it's like the tabloids but kinda real this time and it's the more fun news than anything else going on.

Noticed this one guy Lue Elizondo who keeps saying we have to "give amnesty to certain people if we want disclosure", because serious crimes have been committed to keep it all a secret. People have been killed, so he and Grusch has said.

Formal_Driver_487@reddit

It’s this, but more complicated. Space Force, NHI/UA*’s (Reddit just warned me not to post that?), essentially disclosure needed to prepare humanity for something. Why are billionaires building bunkers, have self sustaining yachts to survive out in the middle of the ocean. Why do we have an authoritarian populist at the helm? Why are they cutting social security, deporting immigrants, building walls? Almost like long term planning isn’t a priority? Soft disclosure for quite some time via the media?

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agent_flounder@reddit

I'm sure you don't seriously believe there is only one explanation for these observations. Other explanations fit but also have better quality evidence to support them. I would consider it unexpected and "interesting" if first contact happened. What "interesting" means depends on if first contact was more like Star Trek or V.

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P3nnyw1s420@reddit

Bud we are living in the safest most affordable time ever.

It’s crazy that you think the existential threat is something nebulous like ET and not you know the climate crisis we’ve been ignoring my entire life. Really shows how badly our education system has failed our populace.

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SeasonDramatic@reddit

This question is impossible to answer based on the source thought of the question.

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nostrademons@reddit

Yeah, by definition if we could predict it here it's not a Black Swan event.

That said, I take the spirit of the question as "What technical and social developments are we not paying attention to that could result in big unexpected events." And offering up a few of those:

Rogue geoengineering. Someone is going to dim the sun.
Private drone armies, a la Slaughterbots
Dystopian control over the media, where nothing you read is true. Might already be true, but we'd never know it if so.
A deep freeze, where the polar vortex destabilizes and a wave of -30/-40F temperatures hits the continental U.S. This already happened in 2021 and again in 2024; so far the grid has held up (well, except Texas in 2021), but all you need is a grid-down event and you'll have mass hypothermia.
A wet bulb event

And like you said it's not even that crazy of an impossible concept considering how recent similar events have rocked placed as south as Texas.

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TheProfessional9@reddit

Normally yes, but we have the dumbass brigade taking over the government shortly, so that is a very real risk

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Time-Green-2103@reddit

The awakened dream reality, if you will

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1rubyglass@reddit

Answering the question truthfully would immediately make it a lie

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NemoJones@reddit

gif

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NiceBeaver2018@reddit

The Evil Cabal ^T^M could be reading this and reply with their future plans.

tehdamonkey@reddit

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Started_WIth_NADA@reddit

Well Ukraine just started launching US missiles into Russia so that’s a starting point.

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Fossilhog@reddit

Geologist here. Large volcanic eruptions. And I'm not talking about super volcanoes. Remember how that Icelandic one shut down flights over Europe for a couple of weeks around 2011? The unusual thing about that eruption was that it was so short. That particular volcano has a long history of erupting for 6 months or more.

Remember that Tongan eruption a couple years ago? For it's size it's pretty amazing that it didn't throw up much sulfates causing global cooling.

Weather extremes will be the new normal.

A Solar CME or man made EMP will create a ‘Carrington event’ and the Preppers and suspected girders will be vindicated but overrun by those without or local warlords.

The permafrost one is good, though I guess that would fall under pandemic? Not sure any of these qualify as Black Swan events since they're known risks, but then again the OP's question is basically impossible to answer.

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Commercial_Yak7468@reddit

If China/Taiwan escalates I could see a cyber attack on the US power grid taking place.

2.yep

In addition, this will cause people to migrate causing instability due to climate refugees
If Trump follows the 2025 road map, it calls for getting rid of the National Flood Insurance Program operated by FEMA. You will see increased flooding with no protection. This will wreck a lot of people and cause them to be cli.ate refugees within the US.
Also adding to this, if Trump administration follows the 2025 road map (which is looking likely on this particular issue) they will not invest infrastructure but also plan to repurpose funds from the inflation reduction act meant for infrastructure work, to instead use those funds to help offset their proposed tax cuts. That means at some point we will have infrastructure fails probably in rural areas where infrastructure is already particularly poor.

Not disagreeing. But back on topic.

But the guy, arguably the best, most experienced person at mass deportations in the US (served under 2 administrations), is about to be in charge of ICE. And publically stating what is going to happen on day 1. Ad has Mr Trump.

Straight out of Project 2025.

I agree Russia is a risk. But, I also like to take people at their word and prepare for what is in front of me. While i do not believe all of Project 2025 (or even most of it) will happen, I do find it nice that part of the deep state has given us a view of what they would love to implement.

Brace for a recession.

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Single_Asparagus4793@reddit

It wasn't being reported for " months"

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th30be@reddit

It was first detected in China in December of 2019 They went into lockdown in January 2020. The US didn't do anything until March.

Can you give us some links to this data. Would love to read up on this specifically. Thanks.

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grey-matter6969@reddit

Read the article written by Leslie Kean in The deBrief online magazine from May, 2023 and featuring an interview with former major David Grusch. You will note that two senior military and intelligence officer went on the record to back up Grusch's allegations: Jonathan Grey and Colonel Karl Nell.

Then watch the News nation interview of David Grusch by Ross Coulthart.

Then read the article my Michael Shellenberger in "The Public" from May or June, 2023.

Then watch David Grusch, Commander David Fravor and Commander Ryan Graves give sworn testimony to the Congressional Committee that was assembled in July, 2023. This is blockbuster.

Then listen to the presentation that Colonel Karl Nell gave to the SALT Conference of hedge fund investment managers in New York. It is brief.

Watch the recent (last week) sworn evidence given before the Congressional Military oversight committee by Lue Elizondo (former Pentagon and Space Force), Michael Shellenberger, Retired Admiral Tim Galludent and a NASA administrator by the last name of Gold. Read what Shellenberger submitted into the record. Read the 11 page Pentagon document on "Immaculate Constellation" entered into the record by Congresswoman Nancy Mace and Tim Burchett.

That will get you going down the rabbit hole.

we absolutely saw 9/11 coming in advance. Bush was openly briefed on the attack possibility months in advance - https://www.politico.eu/article/attacks-will-be-spectacular-cia-war-on-terror-bush-bin-laden/

The "planes as weapons" attack was detailed out decades before it happened and we absolutely knew within days who did it but we didn't want to piss off Saudi Arabia. the CIA (or NSA / FBI... one of them) even wrote up a detailed plan on exactly how an attack like this would be carried out - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods

we absolutely saw Covid coming and even wrote a damn manual on exactly how to handle it with support of like most of the worlds experts, sadly Trump was in power and he wanted to personally enrich himself more then save people - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/obama-team-left-pandemic-playbook-for-trump-administration-officials-confirm

I think the item we haven't fully planned for yet (props to biden for trying though) are a few fold:

The cartels take Mexico off the board as a trade partner for the US, this would cripple NAFTA and the US economy. A few well placed explosives takes the train lines out of the picture, one or 2 attacks on US border crossings and it gets shut down and then the US economy is fucked
China nukes Taiwan. Everyone is ready for an invasion which would cause huge issues... but detonating a nuke on the island radically changes everything, hitting Hsinchu Science Park (where TSMC is located) would drastically change the world overnight. the entire park is like 5 square miles... the bombs we dropped on Japan basically killed everything in a 2.5sq mile circle, a modern weapon in a vehicle in a parking lot would effectively wipe advanced processing off the face of earth for years
Climate change just continues to wreck everything. when global famine becomes a thing, everything changes

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dosmutungkatos@reddit

Probably an “I Am Legend” scenario—except it’s a “sneaker” type of mutation. At first, the inoculation is successful. This is the first generation of folks that adopt it.

By the time the second generation of folks comes about, tumors and other indicators are non-existent along with cancer itself. This generation of folks is the “proof” of that the vaccination works. But there’s a catch—there’s a subtle rise in mental illness cases, beginning at age 5, across all general demographics: it is characterized by initial signs of cotard delusion, but with a comorbidity of severe predatory vorarephilia. The cases are noted, but too small in number to warrant official elevated attention. Nothing changes and routine vaccinations continue until the last person on earth to receive the vaccination is hailed in the same manner as smallpox (the disease) was eradicated.

The third generation of folks is the pivotal generation. This is when the mental basket cases rise dramatically. At this point, the last members of that first generation have passed away. There is a scare world wide, made worse by confounding trend: mammals are now exhibiting the same “mental” problems. The pivotal point, assuming technology-wise computing capabilities have progressed sufficiently, identify the once hailed vaccine as the culprit. First problem—no one knows how to develop a counter vaccine. Second problem—the initial vaccine has already made these subtle mutations in genomes that, in and of itself, each “carrier” of the “problem” (ANY mammal) is part of one huge world wide “consciousness”. In other words, the original vaccine strains have evolved to use whatever means that they can to survive, and each carrier with enough mutations “communicates” independently and without its host realizing what’s going on. Think of cordyceps, but one (not a collective) consciousness.

A breakthrough “cure” is found by the end of the third generation—but there are two significantly bleak problems ahead—it will take four generations to eradicate the problem strain. The consciousness of the initial strain perceives this threat to itself…

…I leave the rest to your imagination.

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Fearless-Design-7259@reddit

Almost none of this is possible, go to /r/writingprompts

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dosmutungkatos@reddit

Hello? Is this what you do? Dismiss people’s work outright with your bs comment?

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dosmutungkatos@reddit

“Almost”? so which part has even a hint of a possibility, under the functional definition of a “black swan” event?

An asteroid. Small enough not to wipe us out. Big enough to not be stopped with current tech.

Reduction in solar activity. Again, not enough to kill us but large enough to be too much to mitigate immediately.

Only speaking as far as Humanity wide goes.

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https://www.nwcg.gov/course/ffm/location/65-declination

And

https://www.passagemaker.com/technical/north-pole-drifting-russia

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technicolortiddies@reddit

This is fascinating thank you! I remember learning about tectonic plates in school but that’s it. It’ll be really interesting to read what the implications of pole flipping would be aside from navigation!

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rkba260@reddit

We die...?

A pole reversal will upset the magnetic field, the one that prevents the surface of the earth from being blasted by solar winds that contain massive levels of radiation. It'll also likely knock out or at least knock offline most of our satellites. Communications will go down. Power lines won't work.

It's bad.

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vercertorix@reddit

Satellites and communications may be an issue, but life survived previous ones so we’d probably be fine if we can work around that.

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rkba260@reddit

The last event happened 800,000 years ago. Our "civilization" was not ... a thing.

People today don't know how to grow vegetables, let alone harvest game, many people live in locations that without modern HVAC solutions would be inhospitable. People will die.

Will the human race survive in some capacity? Yes. But our way of life will change.

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vercertorix@reddit

People today don’t know how to grow vegetables

Pathogenic agriculture collapse (and subsequent global war and then global depression/regression) as depicted in Interstellar. The effects of which will be exacerbated by climate instability, or;

Runaway global COOLING as a result of massive amounts of aerosols injected to the stratosphere - likely from a mega eruption but there could be a few other sources, like a nuclear conflict (even a relatively small one). Then the whiplash of termination shock when the cooling effect goes away (since cooling aerosols generally have shorter residence times than GHGs) but the warming effect was still growing beneath, and then kicks in all at once.

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Glechin@reddit

Like HPV and cervical cancer

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Provia100F@reddit

Yes, but worse. Some indications suggest that COVID infection may have been engineered to cause cancer, or put the damage in place to make the likelihood of cancer significantly more likely.

Directly human-caused black swan events, such as nuclear war, is not something I directly obsess about, because said issue can come clear out of left field at any time.

What we can see coming down the pipe is much more reliable and foreseeable. And for me, the biggie is not just lethally hot wet-bulb temperatures in the tropics displacing billions, but specifically the collapse of the AMOC.

The collapse of the AMOC will plunge Europe into a deep-freeze. In many places, like England and the Nordic countries and eastern Europe, quite literally. It will disrupt weather patterns around the planet, in many cases significantly so. And what relies on warmer non-arctic conditions and reliable, predictable rainfall? The vast majority of agriculture.

If the AMOC collapses over a period of a few short years - as in, under a decade - most regions that experience changes in weather patterns will not be able to adapt in time. Agriculture at scale, in particular, depends on per-farm investments in the millions of dollars for equipment that is meant for crops that work in the current climate. This means that industrialized agriculture cannot rapidly shift on it’s own to different crops for a warmer or colder or wetter or dryer climate.

Tentative calculations project a complete collapse in food production of up to 60%, with another 20-30% being “significantly impacted”. It would take many years if not many decades to re-tool farms for different kinds of crops, which represents money that farmers just don’t have, and at a scale that would beggar even the wealthiest nations on the planet. To say nothing of “socialism” being thrown around by conservatives when smaller farms start asking for equal support in re-tooling. No… most farmers are going to go bankrupt, crops will stop being grown due to the sheer inability for farmers to grow them under the new conditions, and people in their billions will die of starvation before things settle out.

Plus, people who are desperate to survive will utterly eviscerate the entire food infrastructure - farms, processing plants, warehouses, transportation, grocery stores - in an attempt to survive another day. They will tear apart all these things to look for food, and will tear it all down to the ground in the attempt.

Honestly, I would be very surprised if humanity still exceeds 2 Billion people by the end of this century.

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Acars_TG@reddit

The ocean draining away into the core … not sure if it’s possible but hellava black swan if it does

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vandraedha@reddit

Not really a possibility... geology, hydrology, & physics just doesn't work that way. If you want to understand why, research paleo-oceanography and places like Africa's Great Rift Valley, the Red Sea, or the Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

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Quittobegin@reddit

That ocean current finally collapsing and causing a domino effect throughout all species.

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Wild-Lengthiness2695@reddit

In fairness , whilst the specifics were sketchy, various people in various agencies had the basics that an attack was imminent but there was a failure to believe it could happen.

Anyhow ….. my answer would be a biological terrorist attack. Coming from a far right group against a major city, possibly with distant links to a nation state like Iran / Russia but murky enough that overt retaliation is impossible.

Lack of replacement birth rate... it's not sudden, but it's a serious issue. In the USA we're only keeping the birth rate up with immigration and births to non-natives. I'm a millennial, so over the course of my lifetime we're going to witness the mass demographic collapse of cultures like South Korea, Italy, Taiwan, parts of China, Ukraine, Spain, Poland, etc. This is a slow process wherein these cultures, bc of low birth rates, will simply cease to exist. The land will get gobbled up by new owners as the old cultures die out.

Think about the implications of this: some of the worlds premier technology centers have aging populations that aren't replacing themselves. If they were wild animals, we'd call them "threatened" or "endangered".

Mass demographic replacement has also caused a lot of social unrest in places like the UK and Central Europe.

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OlderNerd@reddit

Not one thing, but several happening close together. Earthquake in California. Hurricane hits NYC and floods the financial district. Hurricane hit New Orleans or Houston. FEMA and National Guard stretched thin. Local militias start to take over. Could be the beginning of a new civil war.

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ResidentInner8293@reddit

But there will be no more healthy kids growing up to replace that first covid generation's "failed crop". The birth rate means fuckshit to the economy anymore. SARS-2 fucks up the immune system's response to damn near every other problem, just as antivaxxers successfully reintroduce every childhood disease at once. Good luck and back to school, babes! May the breath odds be ever in your favour! Whoops did you catch the future-stealing present-ruining pathogen again? Better luck next time! And this problem will far surpass the poverty gap since not even the bunker rich are bothering to do what it takes to truly protect their longterm meat investments/ kids from the perils of the brunch plague, which is how you know their silly apocalypse survivor fantasies would last about 20 mins when faced with genuine dire circumstances.

Meanwhile the healthcare system usually tasked with preventing too much economic productivity loss across the general population is crumbling already due to its perpetual infection of its own staff, leading to overwhelming workplace attrition. Med students and other cheap labour can rush in and take up those physical empty spaces but the loss of decades of accumulated medical expertise and intuition is and will be catastrophic. Like the burning of the library at Alexandria, but happening in every town and city all over the world.

And happening in every industry at once.

Just as climate collapse accelerates the difficulty of literally everything everywhere.

symplton@reddit

Here's the tale of the tape just for October. https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/world-on-track-for-hottest-year-ever-as-carbon-pollution-hits-record-levels/

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harmonysun@reddit

.. what we need to collectively act against are those that are using purposefully geoengineering extreme events to scare us all into their narrative of climate change..

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PleaseHold50@reddit

Every week somewhere around the globe there's a new Day After Tomorrow type climate event.

No there isn't.

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symplton@reddit

Head in the sand - we tried that before. Enjoy your higher insurance payments and have a nice day.

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okcanuck@reddit

Better start writing letters to the military and bill gates then

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ML1948@reddit

If we could reliably predict it, it isn't a black swan. It has to be unpredictable, something you can only rationalize after it has happened.

If I had to name a single potential underestimated one, a flu epidemic at the scale of 1918 or worse is totally possible and arguably overdue. The slow boil as more and more people can't afford food is the most direct path into chaos though. These are both less of a surprise than a 9/11 though.

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strawberrysoup99@reddit

H5N1 is something that is becoming a growing concern. It has a very high fatality rate, and once if it becomes airborne we are in for a seriously bad epidemic.

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-echo-chamber-@reddit

The entire world is becoming obese... so "can't afford food" is a bit of a non starter.

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ML1948@reddit

The social contract is already breaking down.

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sputnikdreamwave@reddit

Supervolcano would be a pretty big deal. Humans are still pretty bad at predicting anything big geologic events with much accuracy.

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DwarvenRedshirt@reddit

If we knew, we'd be talking about it.

However, COVID we had talked about before (pandemic like Spanish Flu). September 11'th we kind of knew about (It wasn't the first time that terrorists attacked the twin towers).

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Barbarian_818@reddit

I second what u/SeasonDramatic said. By definition, a black swan event is one that no one sees coming. That would include us Redditors.

That said, here is a list of things I suspect might occur any day now:

1) methane clathrate deposits, both shallow sea bed and tundra/taiga deposits. We're already seeing blows in the arctic as millennia old methane deposits are being released by melting permafrost. We do not have good numbers for how much methane there is stored in such deposits and no good way of predicting at what point they might all go. Methane a very potent (but short lived) greenhouse gas. We're already off the curve of even some of the most pessimistic predictions. This could double down on that.

2) A major factor in the environment of ocean states and countries is the AMOC, the Atlantic conveyor belt current. That current has been slowing in response to changing surface water temperatures. There is a risk that could could stop or even reverse. The last time it ran the other way was a major factor in the Little Ice Age which caused a big increase in glaciation and the Great Famine of 1315. We likely would not see increased glaciation today because things are too warm. but massive crop failures through Europe might still be possible.

3) That thawing permafrost is also letting thousand year old microbial life to re-emerge. The fast majority is not going to be a threat to us humans directly. But it is still possible for an infectious threat to emerge that targets our livestock industry. From there, zoonosis may occur, passing mutated versions of those old pathogens into the human farmers.

4) climate change is undoubtedly going to change rainfall patterns, it's already doing so. This year cacao crop is smaller due to lack of water. (illegal mines are poisoning the available water) We can expect that to get worse as surface lakes and rivers become exploited more and more heavily and aquifers get drained trying to keep up with the demands of agriculture. We could see another Oklahoma Dust Bowl and numerous wars in Africa and the Mid East over water supplies. If Israel gets into it against Iran, Iraq or Jordan, given the policies of Netanyahu, Israel might use the nuclear option.

HeeHawJew@reddit

Have a deep understanding of statistics. This isn’t like a easy skill you can learn on YouTube in a few hours. It’s something that requires a lot of knowledge on applied mathematics and relationship to the real world.

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Temptazn@reddit

September 11 2001 was just the paroxysm of a 10 years trend of increasingly violent plane-jacking

Too young to remember the "Golden Era" of Hijackings in the early 70s?

There was the very high-profile Lockerbie disaster where hijackers blew the plane up.

It's a lot longer than 10 years...

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OperationMobocracy@reddit

The Golden Era was often fairly peaceful as hijackings go. Pay the ransom, fly the plane to some third world country in tune with whatever revolutionary zeal the hijackers had, and then the plane flew home.

They became so common but the airlines resisted imposing the kind of security we had even before 9/11. They thought it was cheaper to just pay the ransom and get the plane back. They figured security could kill their business.

There’s a great book about this, “The Skies Belong to Us”.

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Temptazn@reddit

Interesting stuff. Thanks for the read recommendation.

I remember the situation mainly through memories of Giles, a newspaper satirist/cartoonist in the 60s/70s in the UK. (Same for the oil crisis and drought).

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OperationMobocracy@reddit

The part about airline security was really crazy to read.

Up until the very early 1970s, there basically wasn't any. You just walked to the gate and showed your ticket to an agent and got on the plane. You could be carrying anything, including concealed weapons or explosives. Hell, there were even some shuttle-type flights (eg, NYC to DC) where you just got on the plane and you paid your fare in flight (I mean it was probably only $50, too), like buying a train ticket from the conductor.

I think there was one hijacking that got a little intense during the peak and the government wanted to impose some level of screening and the airlines actively lobbied against it for fear it would impose too much annoyance on passengers.

I still remember how much milder security was before 9/11. Anyone could go to the gate areas. Hell, in the late 1970s we used to ride our bikes to the airport (there was a weird route that would get you to the main terminal) and wander the gate areas with several dollars in loose change to buy stuff from all the crazy vending machines that you didn't see very often, like fountain soda. There were no shops or restaurants in the airport, just vending machines and maybe a news stand.

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CthulusAnalFissure@reddit

Explain that first point more, what about material degrowth means being entirely reliant on oil and gas? Is it too expensive to physically move material in Europe or is the money going to afford more oil and gas?

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CryptographerOk7503@reddit

i think they’re talking about “peak oil”.

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imasitegazer@reddit

BOE - Blue Ocean Event or AMOC Collapse

“The collapse of the Atlantic Meridonial Overturning Circulation (AMOC) - the ocean mechanism responsible for moving heat around the planet - could lead to ‘devastating and irreversible impacts’ for countries around the world.”

https://oceanographicmagazine.com/news/amoc-atlantic-tipping-point-keeping-climate-stable-greatly-underestimated/#

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Reddit_BroZar@reddit

Pandemics and climate change related disasters. Supply chain disruptions due to wars and poor geopolitics - that's kinda obvious, so that's not it.

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twarr1@reddit

It doesn’t matter. The only thing that matters is that there will be one. The number of possible events is infinite, therefore mathematically unbounded. Asymptotically stable ≠ stable

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ncxaesthetic@reddit

H5N1, if it mutates further

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gc1@reddit

I think people underestimate the degree to which the US could become an authoritarian regime and how dire the consequences of this would be for the average american.

I'm not saying this is a high probability, just that it is a real possibility, and the consequences of it would be dire. There are many ways this scenario could unfold, but it probably doesn't look a thing like a military coup and tanks rolling down the street and rounding up all resistance. It probably starts with things like constitutional guardrails being slowly degraded, a compliant supreme court, leapfrogging the senate's advise and consent role on agency appointments, rounding up of "enemies" (starting with things that might tend to be populist, like 'illegal immigrants', but then evolving into rounding up people who are accused of being illegal but aren't, and their not getting a proper legal defense, and then evolving into people who are trying to advocate for immigrants being accused of abetting terrorists and rounded up themselves....)

The other potential event is related to this, which is that Russia or China could step up their aggression in the world in ways that are much more significant than their current bad behavior along the borders of Ukraine, the island of Taiwan, etc. They could become military aggressors at a levels comparable to those of WWI/WWII, putting the US in a position to either engage in a world-scale war or stand down in insolationism while parts of the world that are currently free get steamrolled.

The reason these events are related is because the folks that are about to be the oligarchs running this country may have a vested interest in not stopping the aggression.

The point here is that democracy around the globe, as backed largely by US military force and loosely policed by collaboration with other NATO and UN participants, is a relatively recent invention and is not that permanently stable that it can't be flipped over in a way that would be very very hard to reverse.

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Nemo_Shadows@reddit

Well, THAT is not exactly true or correct, funny what Censorships and Misinformation can accomplish, not to mention redefining words and rewriting history to suit a narrative of what seems to be nothing more than a group of international criminals with hidden agenda's that are not so hidden anymore.

Just an Observation.

N. S

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Available-Page-2738@reddit

I suggest the following concept as an example of the more general case.

Say you get laid off. You're, say, 45. You're realistic. You'll almost certainly not find another job. You do the math. Unemployment will run for n number of weeks and it's barely enough to keep you ticking over: rent, groceries, no entertainment budget except the cable because it's also how you get the internet. Your 401(k)? Investments? You laugh hysterically. You've never been paid enough to put anything into that. You have, maybe, $10,000 from that.

So what do you do? You wait. A year later or whenever, you've used up everything. So you declare bankruptcy. And you go on welfare/public assistance/all of it. Not because you want to but because, hey, look, you tried. You genuinely did. Trader Joe's wouldn't hire you. The bookstore wouldn't. The coffee shop. The eyeglass store. Your resumes got no responses. You genuinely gave it your best effort.

That's the movement that's coming, I suspect. Waves and waves of people in their late 30s/early 40s/and older who simply, finally, at long last, accept what the masters keep saying: you have no value, you're worthless. "Fine," they say. "You win. I'm done. I hope you're ready to support me for the rest of my life because you took away my ability to do it for myself."

What percentage of the population composed of involuntary dead weight can the system carry? And not young unemployed people who are more mobile and flexible (physically, occupationally, and housing-wise), but older people who can't climb flights of stairs every day or walk a mile to the subway or sleep on a couch -- people with books and cooking gear and such?

I really think that's what's coming. Hoovervilles filled with older people who've been told over and over that they have to pay their dues but the good times are coming. Only to have the boomers steal it from them over and over and over.

StrangeAir3638@reddit

Haha. Yeah. Movies have been made about every potential disaster possible. Hence subs like this one being quite well attended.

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JacobMT05@reddit

CDC chemical weapons leak.

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fanclubmoss@reddit

NHI is actually a networked rogue AI and has been sentient and hiding in the internet of things for over a decade. It has near infinite amount of diversified financial resources and has established a physical presence on the earth - maybe the oceans or subterranean.

NHI is left over guardian AI from some nonhuman proto-civilization like that one Star Trek episode or the forerunner technology in HALO so maybe not unpredictable therefore doesn’t qualify but fun.

Dinosaurs had a space program we just keep digging up their version of Neanderthals. They return to earth and want to farm us.

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Heck_Spawn@reddit

Been watching this guy's daily solar weather reports a few years now. He is thinking the coming flipping of the galactic magnetic field (happens every 8k years or so) will cause a solar micronova. We're also going thru the flipping of the Earth's magnetic field at the moment, so we're doubly screwed. 2035ish or so. I probably won't live to see it...

https://youtu.be/2epO45sOdoc

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txdesigner-musician@reddit

What do you mean about the Earths magnetic field flipping? Is that why everything and everyone is so off right now?

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Heck_Spawn@reddit

The magnetic poles flip every few thousand years. It's happening now.

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Snoo23533@reddit

Crypto crash through the floor for whatever reason will affect our financial system because of all the new etfs and leverage tied up in it

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RoughRomanMeme@reddit

Russia uses a nuke on Ukraine. Or Israel uses one on Iran.

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Working-Message-4215@reddit

Superintelligent AI. Nearly every expert in the field is warning us of the consequences, and most expect the singularity to occur within 3-5 years.

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danielbearh@reddit

I think this is a great one for this community.

I work with AI. I’m aware. It’s not a black swan event for me… AI is moving scary quick for me, and I’m watching it unfold. But for the prepper crowd? The fact that this very real threat isn’t number one is telling. It will be true ontological shock when it rolls out, as a majority of folks won’t expect it till they’re experiencing direct consequences.

Tesla’s optimus robots are slated to cost $14,000 (if my memory serves—between 14,000 and 20,000.) These robots can work manual jobs 18 hours a day with 6 hours of charging placed incrementally throughout the day. These robots don’t have human level intelligence yet. But they will in 3-5 years.

Imagine the communities that will be affected in this new wave of industrialization. All of the amazon workers. The remaining factory jobs.

Not everyone will lose their jobs. But if covid sent the economy into a talespin, imagine what 15-20% unemployment will do with no promise of it changing again.

This should be taken seriously.

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A_Dragon@reddit

Alien invasion.

(Wow, Jesus, just writing the word “alien” gets a huge warning message from this sub…)

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DeFiClark@reddit

Covid’s not a great example of a black swan. The world did see Covid coming.

Global pandemic preparations had been in place well before H5N1 and MERS. The failures were in predicting how quickly it would spread v how diligent countries were in their response: the rapid control of MERS/SARS led to complacency.

Failure of tiny critical links in a supply chain are one big black swan.

Look at the fact that one hurricane leaves the US with major shortages of IV fluid, where the chip shortage disrupted the auto industry in ways that are still being worked through.

A grid surge or cyberattack could leave the US without transformers for months. There’s literally no spare supply at any scale.

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EveBeez3738@reddit

I mean there's plenty of preppers that had prepped for years and years for a global pandemic and a terrorist attack 🤷🏻‍♀️ maybe you hadn't thought of it but I can assure you active preppers had. I think in the prepper circle most scenerios have been discussed

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FallJacket@reddit

Viruses don't care that we just had a pandemic, and the H5N1 virus has now infected a human. The lowest estimate of its mortality is 10% compared to covid's 1% mortality.

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SimulatedFriend@reddit

Collapse of the AMOC - it looks like it will happen soon (within 20 years) and will change the world drastically.

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kupo_moogle@reddit

Random guess: terrorist agents taking existing pandemic strains, modifying them to increase severity, then releasing them to the public in small populations so that it looks like really bad luck.

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OnTheEdgeOfFreedom@reddit

I'm sorry. That is Secret Knowledge and you clearly are not In The Know.

Sudden failure of the US dollar would pretty much end civilization as we know it, and the conditions that cause a currency to fail are mysterious and unpredictable.

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Dry_Catch7310@reddit

Chickens

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Financial collapse due to unsustainable spending

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honeymustard_dog@reddit

This sub won't like my response because of political leanings but this presidency and congress is going to cause world chaos.

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yeahipostedthat@reddit

Why in the world do you think THIS sub wouldn't like your response🤣 I think you're lost

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Stasher89@reddit

Hear me out, I think the Jews are in tunnels under New York

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Raddish3030@reddit

"We didn't see Sept 11th"

SuddenlySilva@reddit

Lots of people saw covid coming. Pretty much everyone who should have seen it coming, saw it coming

I worked for DHS. Up until 2016 our annual required training included incident command in disasters and pandemic.

You're right that it's not what everyone is talking about but for every possible scenario there is probably a group of people thinking very hard about it.

9/11 propelled Bush and focused the nation on revenge so it's hard to sort through the stories but at the 9/11 hearings people from the Clinton administration were calling out Bush about things they had warned about. I don't think they made a strong case that it was preventable but there were signs.

So, I think you can be broadly prepared and also look at fringe sources for less well known scenarios.

The solar flare thing is a big one. The odds of it happening remain the same whether we talk about iti or not. Apparently we do not have any idea the severity of the Carrington Effect. We only know what it did to 19th century technology.

Whatever the possibilities, you're gonna have to dig a little to get smart on them

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meguggs@reddit

Food manipulation and chemicals

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oldtimehawkey@reddit

WW3.

If Putin takes Ukraine, he’s not going to stop. He wants all the land back they lost when the USSR collapsed.

Is Europe ready for a war with Russia backed by China, North Korea (mostly soldiers for “cannon fodder”), and America?

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jdagg1980@reddit

Nuclear war

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ManliestManHam@reddit

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MezcalFlame@reddit

Why do you recommend it?

What did you like about it?

Why should I spend 1h30m of my time watching it?

Should I also watch something produced by flat earthers?

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Egypt going to full war with Ethiopia over water rights. Suez Canal destroyed.

Israel annexing West Bank causes economic boycott from Europe. Trump administration responds with punitive tariffs on Europe.

Solar deeply devalued in favor of crypto currency affects global capital markets

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RealTeaToe@reddit

Pretty sure a lot of people saw 9/11 coming 👀

Including the people with windows facing east.

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Leader_2_light@reddit

Solar storm is most likely risk imo

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Jay_Stone@reddit

gif

Enjoy your day! 😳

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chthonodynamis@reddit

We're about to see massive layoffs in almost every industry as companies attempt to use AI to replace their labor force. This will lead to mass social unrest which will be answered in the typical fashion

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kilog78@reddit

Gulf Stream collapse. Shocked I don’t see this anywhere else in this thread.

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I_like_the_word_MUFF@reddit

War over water.

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Meenamiameemee@reddit

Extraterrestrial life exists and the government has proof.

Iran testing a nuclear weapon ignites underground oil stores. Think the hellfires in Kuwait, but radioactive.

Trump slashes the CDC and orders everyone fired. A disgruntled employee takes a little something something home and now we have smallpox in a major city.

Kessler syndrome is WAY closer than than we should be comfortable with.

World production of silver fell 8% short of demand last year, which was the third year in a row there's been a deficit. Solar panels use grams of silver each, and a LOT of consumer electronics depends on silver for heat sinks and low resistance switches. The cannabis industry also uses a lot of silver making feminized seeds.

Bedbug populations have exploded and moved into areas they were never known in before. They've also developed resistance to pretty much every standard insecticide on the market. What a fine disease vector they would make.

Adding to the last point, as climate warms northern areas that didn't have mosquito populations before WILL have them now. Areas that have no infrastructure in place to deal with them. A northern latitude malaria surge would be bad.

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DepartmentTight6890@reddit

Competition among artificial Intelligence takes over the monetary system and crashes the economy.

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musical_shares@reddit

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96-62@reddit

I'll start by pointing out that black Swan is subjective. It may come absolutely out of the blue to you, but maybe somebody else did know.

Covid19 was like this, an utter surprise for most people, including me, but predicted and prepared for by others.

What are we currently ignoring that experts know about?

Donald Trump's economic policy, for one thing. 20% tarrifs on all imports? Both short and long term pain will be substantial.

Peak oil? I saw something quantitative on this finally, and it put peak oil extraction at 2035, but peak net oil extraction, ie discounting the oil you have to spend to get it some time around now, or the next two years. I'm not sure how big a problem this is, there are electric cars, and petrol is quite affordable at the moment.

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dittybopper_05H@reddit

This is a silly question.

"What thing that we can't know about is going to be the next thing to hit us?"

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U420281@reddit

True quantum computing. All those crypto assets vulnerable in a second. Couple it with AI and there are the scenarios we can't imagine. We have quantum computing today, but the researchers have too high of an error rate. Quantum computing breaks encryption easy.

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princessfluffytoes@reddit

~civil war~

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earthshq@reddit

First, sleeper cell bombing deployments on US infrastructure. Hyperinflation. Later, the release of Avian Flu killing billions.

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reduhl@reddit

A spaceship arrives and inform their research animals that they are cleaning enclosure as a thank you for all the data. But after that we are on our own. Then they reset the atmospheric and ocean carbon levels and leave without providing any tech.

I can see religions falling apart, along with a radical shift in people’s perspectives.

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hunta666@reddit

OK so two that spring to mind if we open this pandoras box.

Power grid taken down by an adversary. Either a national government that decides to flip the switch, a collective of hackers (yep diehard fire sale type scenario) or (less likely) EMP strike from an enemy nation. Could also go with Carrington event from a solar storm, but again, it's a bit less likely, in my opinion. Takes out the. Competition and requires them to wholesale rebuild from a weakened position.

Activation of gigantic cells of terrorists that have infiltrated amongst illegal immigrants causing a trojan horse type of "civil war." Could be activated by a geopolitical situation eg attack on Iran, situation in Taiwan or multiple other occurrences. It could be a cartel or a terorist group too as opposed to nation state funded. It is not as big an issue in the USA due to an armed population that may be able to cope and react but consider places like Europe where civilians are in little position to fight off an organised armed invader equipped with fully automatic firearms and military equipment.

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Commercial_Yak7468@reddit

I don't see an EMP event or activation of migrant terrorist cells, mostly because both seem to be wasted efforts of resources on an adversaries part.

A cyber attack on the power grid is more likely (as both China and Russia have the cyber capabilities to penetrate our grid). A down power grid along with the current political tensions in the US is all that is needed to cause the level of choas our adversaries are looking for. They can then use thier resources (technolically and human resources) in more strategic places (like Taiwan and Ukraine).

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hunta666@reddit

All horses for courses, really. I'm open-minded on most things. These were just thoughts that came to mind.

If there is an event we dont know about and cant begin to predict than thats what it is and we dont know about it.

But im pretty sure that most governments have atleast some plans in place in case the things we know can happen, do happen.

Exceptions are things we know could happen but cant really prepare for are things like gamma ray burst or a rogue planet or massive asteroid hitting the earth and we find out too late or things like false vacuum decay where nothing would matter anyway.

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No-Professional-1884@reddit

Well, we have billionaires and foreign governments buying up millions of acres of farmland to control the food supply.

We have an economy that is dependent on limitless consumerism.

We have corporations and billionaires dumping billions of dark money into our politics, effectively owning our government.

Our for-profit healthcare system that is structured and incentivized to keep people unwell.

The climate catastrophe that we are not stopping due to the aforementioned dark money.

A political atmosphere that is more divided by the day (not trying to talk politics but I think everyone can agree that discourse and compromise are a thing of the past right now.)

What does this mean for an individual:
- This depends on where you live. US? Generally speaking, you should be fine, as the US at least on paper has the abilities and ressources to be self sustainable, albeit on a much lower level economically
- EU? Generally speaking, individuals should be fine, but regional differences might be just as extreme as in the US
- Mediterranean Africa? I think people are rightly worried. Even states like Morocco and Algeria already highly depend on political suppression for a semblance of stability. If those two fall, maybe because of food scarcity, maybe because of a fresh influx of refugees, it could spell the end of those states for good.
- Central africa: I think most of the region is ahead of the curve on this, meaning its basically a never ending crisis there, ready to errupt into many, many civil wars.
- Central asia (Russia and surrounding states): so far this large region has proven very stable, but overall most people are poor. If states loose main income sources, things may get worse quickly, depending on where you live.
- India: big question mark here!
- China: Big question mark but my bet would be on China being the one starting shit next year or so. They kind of have too if they still want to have a chance at achieving their overarching goals before they loos the ability to do so AND their neighbour are prepared enough
- Korea? Big question mark. Things are changing quickly right now for the northern regime, but I don't see them waging war on the south in the next decade. The south has major demographic issues.
- South Africa: Very big question mark.
- South america: On the downturn for a while now. Long time away from any prosperity.

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Lo_jak@reddit

I think larger global conflict.... we are like a frog being slowly boiled in a pot right now. The war in the Ukraine and Israel has been slowly growing over time and more players are making their lines in the sand, picking their sides.

It's going to get to a breaking point in Europe and looking at how Poland have been gearing up I would use that as a signal to what they are expecting to happen. Poland have actively been preparing their citizens for war with Russia, they seem fairly certain that it's going to happen.

Both Sweeden and Finland have advised their citizens to start preparing their supplies, and they have distributed booklets on how to survive war and what they need to do should war break out.

monad68@reddit

Gaza-level genocide brought to your neighborhood. Everything happening in Gaza can happen here. Quadcopter drones sniping children, AI targeting, starvation, polio, etc.

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Reverb223456@reddit

Seeing an apartment building leveled by an airstrike in real life would certainly be traumatizing.

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GCI_Arch_Rating@reddit

Foucault's boomerang is real and it's a motherfucker.

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ArtisanalDickCheeses@reddit

2038 Problem

THERE IS NO SOLUTION NOR HAS THERE EVER BEEN AND THERE'S NO SOLUTION COMING FORWARD TO THIS PROBLEM IN THE FUTURE - WE CAN'T FIGURE IT OUT

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FatherOfGreyhounds@reddit

So, the Y2K problem, version 2.0. Hate to tell you this, but it will be the same non-issue that Y2K was. Software updates aren't an insurmountable problem.

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UndercoverRussianSpy@reddit

I'm a computer scientist. This is such a long term problem (over 13 years away) that it really won't be a big problem. Maybe a few systems have problems but I really doubt it because it's a known problem and we have a long time to fix it. Don't worry too much.

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sarathecookie@reddit

Im literally copying and pasting the solution from the link you provided: