Another potential belligerent in Russia/Ukraine conflict?

Chechen soldiers/mercs have been fighting in Ukraine since the start of the war. They've also faired very badly, since they really don't have much of an infrastructure (even less than the Russians, which is wild).

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

NATO id also attempting to instigate belarus https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/lukashenko-warns-of-war-if-russia-attempts-1729846029.html

and georgia

https://en.isna.ir/news/1403080805628/Washington-threatens-Georgia

into fighting against russia. also, there are north korean troops on the ground in ukraine, and NATO boots on the ground co ordinating missile strikes. make no mistake, this is a world war, whether the media acknowledges that or not

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BennificentKen@reddit

Russia invaded Georgia in 2008 and still holds something like 23% of its territory. Georgia is the OG in WWIII. Ukraine only entered the game in 2014.

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A_Whole_Costco_Pizza@reddit

TBH, I'm not seeing any NATO 'instigation' here.

Also, the Iranian Student's News Agency (based on Iran, Russia's closest ally) is probably not the most reliable source.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

yes i prefer my news to be sterilized by corporations before i consune it like good ol cbs abc nbc bullshit

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slo1111@reddit

I fail to see how NATO is instigating Belarus.

Lukashenko, is worried that NK escalation into the war could result in NATO action since he is surrounded by NATO countries other than Russia. He is worries about getting pulled in, but that worry stems from escalating with NK troops.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

it wasnt too long ago lukashenko was claiming top u.s diplomats tried to assassinate him and has more recently been warning of cia attempts to interfere with this years elections in belarus

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FightingIbex@reddit

Shoo troll shoo

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erc80@reddit

He’s got his alphabet all mixed up calling the FSB the CIA lol.

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DankesObama@reddit

gif

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FightingIbex@reddit

That’s such an appropriate gif I’m stealing

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therapistofcats@reddit

The president of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, in an interview with Russia's media Izvestia has threatened war if Russia attempts to annex Belarus.

How is that NATO instigation?

Also not sure I would trust news from an Iranian government supported website.

Although it is generally considered independent, the ISNA is financially supported in part by the Iranian government

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

who is telling lulashenko that putin wants to annex belarus?

all major legacy media outlets are either government or corporate news, take your pick, its all propaganda. those who dont read the news are uninformed, those who do read the news are misinformed.

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therapistofcats@reddit

Lukashenko has eyes.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

i dont understand you NATO bootlickers,

either putin is completely incapable of holding on to even eastern ukraine,or there is a credible threat of russia annexing all of europe, you cant have both, fxkin pick a lane bro

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SionJgOP@reddit

We're not talking about all of Europe though that's just a strawman you put up to make yourself sound a little reasonable.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

okay so lemme rephrase,

putin is somehow incapable of holding on to even just eastern ukraine, and somehow theres a credible threat of him annexing all of belarus? you cant have both, fxkin pick a lane bro

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SionJgOP@reddit

Idk dude he already has everything from soldiers to nukes in Belarus and I imagine it wouldnt be hard to coup the Belarusian regime. They've been talking about integration for years too. On top of it all its not me freaking out it's Lukashenko screaming about Russian invasion. So yeah I do infact think both are possible.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

you seem like a reasonable person and i'm genuine interested in the rational interpretations of prepperintel so i ask,

what do you thinm happened in the last six days that took lukashenko from "putin ally startegic partnership" to 180 degree "putins gonna annex us"?

https://www.newsweek.com/belarus-president-lukashenko-seeks-seventh-term-january-election-1973632

further context, from january of this year 2024

https://apnews.com/article/russia-belarus-putin-lukashenko-meeting-st-petersburg-02d9dfb7acd218196934e673ee7f6fe6

ST. PETERSBURG, Russia (AP) — The leaders of Russia and Belarus met Monday to discuss ways to further expand their close alliance that has seen the deployment of some of Russia’s nuclear weapons on the territory of its neighbor.

President Vladimir Putin emphasized that Russia and Belarus have developed a “strategic partnership” as part of their 25-year union agreement. That pact stopped short of a full merger, but envisaged close political, economic and military ties between the two nations.

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DankesObama@reddit

Psssst.... there's an "election" lol

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SionJgOP@reddit

My theory is that Lukashenko wants to stay in power and is not afraid to play both sides. I think his prevailing course of action will be to do what's best for Lukashenko. Its possible close ties with Russia makes him afraid of losing some authority over his domain. This isnt the first time Russia and Belarus have some sort of union in the post Soviet era, and it has failed due to lack of cooperation before.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_State

"On 15 December 2006, talks over the Union State were heating up. By January 2007, however, talks appeared to be stalled, as President Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus stated: "The Russian leadership is demanding that we join the Russian Federation—that's what is in the heads of the Russian leadership. I don't want to bury the sovereignty and independence of [Belarus]." He added: "From all the consultations and discussions, I have understood that we have different approaches and understandings of the building of a Union State"

I dont think a man in a suit with an American accent and a briefcase full of money would change his mind. I'm also not sure what kind of a deal NATO could offer him, even if they were open to negotiating with him."

We might have more updates in the future regarding the situation and to be honest the best either of us can do is speculate. Who knows maybe Lukashenko forgot to take his pills for a month and he'll be in Putin's lap again next week after a new prescription. This war has been bizarre at times and this might be another episode of that.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

someone else posted a similar commenr so i'll just copypaste my response to them

this is a somewhat rational interpretation which i appreciate, i can understand luka being afraid of losing authority as putin draws ever closer to victory in the donbass

but he'd have to be actually fcking out of his mind insane to think that siding with the west would give him any more of a chance at holding on to power than siding with putin. he can only ride the fence for so much longer. soon hes gonna have to pick a side

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SionJgOP@reddit

We can actually agree on that. Who knows what will go down. I hope the madness ends soon.

Lukashenko might not seem like the sharpest dictator in the shed but he survived since the early 1990s, has thwarted coups, has survived mass protests seeking to make him abdicate, all while being sandwiched between NATO and Russia. This is just another factor to consider in whatever is happening.

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cantstopsletting@reddit

To be fair Putin has made a solid push forward in the East of Ukraine. Around 30km in certain areas and Ukraine is at a point that no matter what they do they can't seem to get traction.

The Belarusian army on the other hand is on Putin's payroll, not Luka's. Luka knows this. As soon as the word is given they'll overthrow Luka in a day. Putin won't engage this option yet as he needs a patsy in the area.

Russia still controls 20% of Georgia also. Georgians don't like him. That's why there's an entire Georgian Legion in Ukraine who are running special operations missions in the East.

As soon as there's any ceasefire deal or the war in Ukraine slows enough that the GL are not needed as much they're going back to attack the occupied territories there.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

this is a somewhat rational interpretation which i appreciate, i can understand luka being afraid of losing authority as putin draws ever closer to victory in the donbass

but he'd have to be actually fcking out of his mind insane to think that siding with the west would give him any more of a chance at holding on to power than licking putin's boot

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PsiloCyan95@reddit

I have some friends actively deployed who’ve echoed these sentiments. I’ll ask, “hey so within bounds, what can you tell me?” The usual response is “we’re already at war, they just haven’t told you yet.”

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cantstopsletting@reddit

Deployed where?

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PsiloCyan95@reddit

No thanks.

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thr0wnb0ne@reddit

the bot farms who hate my anti-nato sentiment seem to suggest your info being truer than false

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PsiloCyan95@reddit

Scary, that…

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daviddjg0033@reddit

Lukashenko should be tried at the Hague for allowing Russian soldiers to launch the Massacre of Bucha in February of 2022 and imprisoned for life, that is, if his countrymen do not hang him first. Chechnya is Russian. Georgia is not but still corrupted.
Anyone remember the Boston Marathon Bombers from Chechnya?

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