I deleted the old post about the flare and replaced it with this one with CME details. SIgnificant, but not scary geomagnetic storm incoming. The chances for additional major to extreme events is elevated relative to normal. If the sunspots responsible fire off another one of these, G5 is firmly within range of outcomes. As it stands now, G3-G4 expected. However, with the recent overperformance trends of geomagnetic storms, it could go higher.