'God of Chaos' asteroid Apophis could still hit Earth in 2029, study hints — but we won't know for 3 more years | Live Science

[-]

West9Virus@reddit

Imagine how differently we'd live our lives knowing we had 5 years left

[-]

jar1967@reddit

Apotheosis isn't close to an ELE. It is predicted to impact in the Pacific Ocean. Resulting in tsunamis. The loss of port infrastructure will cripple trade in the Pacific. Economic chaos will follow

[-]

danuffer@reddit

Is it predicted to hit the largest body on the planet? Because you know it’s the largest?

[-]

jar1967@reddit

Someone with to much free time on their hands did the math on Apothis's orbital speed and figured in Earth's gravity and rotation

[-]

awoodenboat@reddit

I know it’s just math and shit, but it’s crazy they can predict where it would hit on earth 5 years from now

[-]

Derrickmb@reddit

How will this affect rivers like the Columbia and its tributaries?

[-]

Tsunamis can flow further inland by following rivers. A tsunami from an Apothis impact would be 800 feet tall. A quick search couldn't find any relevant information. But I would suggest finding how high you are above see level and plan accordingly and keep an eye on apophis. A 2029 impact is unlikely but it will come close enough to potentially take out a few satellites.

[-]

DeathInSpace805@reddit

Hey I just watched Deep Impact so I know what ELE means.

[-]

CharmingMechanic2473@reddit

We would eventually know where it would hit and evacuate.
Just make sure your home owners policy covers asteroids.

[-]

Toof@reddit

Part of me feels like the lower class would be abandoned or left in the dark while the elite prepared for it.

Makes you wonder what Zuckerberg's Hawaiian bunker is for...

[-]

TheFashionColdWars@reddit

just a part?

[-]

Chad-Lee-Fuckboy@reddit

Calculating the orbit for an asteroid isnt hard, there would be no way to keep it quiet. Anyone with a decent home telescope and some math can figure it out.

[-]

Finz07@reddit

It’s a one in 2 billion chance and it need a collision with an asteroid at just the right angle to alter its course.

[-]

NoteMaleficent5294@reddit

Nothing ever happens

[-]

drawnred@reddit

Calculating orbit is really fucking hard when you have more than 2 bodies, what are you talking about

[-]

advamputee@reddit

Conspiracy theory time: They’re trying to break the news softly.

First Netflix releases Don’t Look Up, which bluntly explained what would happen if an asteroid were barreling towards us. This made Apophis go viral so we got a lot of “new studies reveal it’s definitely not going to hit us” articles to slow any panic.

Then Netflix releases Three Body Problem, which brilliantly explains the problem of three orbital bodies in a way Americans will actually listen to — a miniseries about aliens.

Now we get the real news — orbits are really tricky to calculate, and we have no clue what influences the asteroid is under when it’s behind the sun and/or far away from us.

The truth is we won’t know if it’ll hit us until it’s too late to do anything about it — but it doesn’t really matter because we can’t do anything about it without potentially making it catastrophically worse.

[-]

msgkrispy@reddit

How does meth assist in locating asteroids? And can’t they move an asteroid’s trajectory with enough time via a space bomb of some kind?

[-]

rashnull@reddit

It’s just methamatics! Figure it out!

[-]

dirtydave01@reddit

Meth helps to focus on the math

[-]

K_Aggy44@reddit

Sure lets call superman while we're at it

[-]

RusticPotatoFan@reddit

No they can't. It's much harder than just applying newtons laws. There are tons of other factors that need to be included.

[-]

rudyattitudedee@reddit

It’s for eating pizza w/ pineapple with no shame.

[-]

Derrickmb@reddit

Won’t keep the water out

[-]

PantsMicGee@reddit

I misread evacuate by 1 letter.

[-]

amgoblue@reddit

Evaculate?

[-]

PantsMicGee@reddit

Ok 2 letters

[-]

FantasmaTommy@reddit

Just reminded me, I need to call Jake from State Farm and confirm that. You think Flo might have a better rate though? 😂.

[-]

skyway_walker_612@reddit

I might max out my credit cards

[-]

mountain_honey@reddit

David Bowie fan…?!

[-]

bfox9900@reddit

Well... we don't even have tomorrow until it becomes today. :-)

So enjoy every "today" cuz it's all we really have.

[-]

CIMARUTA@reddit

If anyone wants a good book with this premise, The Last Policeman by Ben Winters.

[-]

WilmaLutefit@reddit

I would do so much cocaine

[-]

grillo7@reddit

Someone else wondered this too.

[-]

kyhothead@reddit

There it is. 👍🏼

[-]

Radiomaster138@reddit

Scruffy gonna die the way he lived.

[-]

SnooFloofs9640@reddit

It’s not big enough to clear the earth.

We would have years gap knowing where it lands. Not even considering nasa DART program that was successfully tested a few years back, which aim at changing the trajectory of asteroids.

So point being. Relax.

[-]

West9Virus@reddit

That was my point. Knowing I no longer had to worry about career, retirement, politics, etc. I'd cash out, travel, and just live life to the absolute fullest in the time we had left.

[-]

D20_Nerd@reddit

Prices will just go up again

[-]

Blessed_Ennui@reddit

A show on Netflix "Carol and the End of the World," is this exact scenario. They know it's coming. People cope differently.

[-]

dodekahedron@reddit

Not much different. I already live apathetically.

[-]

Derrickmb@reddit

You choose not to get enough iron and vitamin C you mean to say.

[-]

dodekahedron@reddit

Huh?

I get enough vitamin c and iron per my bloodwork.

Living apathetically means you know nothing matters and no one makes it out alive.

[-]

Witty_Interaction_77@reddit

Global warming what??? Plastic bags for days. Rule of law? Bye byeeee

[-]

AntiGravityBacon@reddit

Maybe the asteroid will vaporize the garbage patch

[-]

InternationalCity283@reddit

very good idea. collect everything we want to incinerate to the calculated impact area. world record garbage collection.

[-]

Ackchyually_Man@reddit

Some people would be monsters.

[-]

-_1_2_3_-@reddit

don't look up

[-]

Acceptable-Tutor5708@reddit

They finally gonna cancel the simulation, eh

[-]

Insanity8016@reddit

New DLC about to drop.

[-]

TARDIStum@reddit

Ratings were poor, they tried to add some spice with the COVID storyline, but most viewers felt like it jumped the shark. There are early talks for a spinoff set on mars though, nothing concrete yet.

[-]

MySixHourErection@reddit

fun!

[-]

Separate_Key_3032@reddit

Don’t look up!

[-]

Throwaway2600k@reddit

The one thing I have not seen talked about is would this cause Kessler syndrome due to how close it will be.

[-]

Superman246o1@reddit

Most models show Apophis will be within 19,794 miles of Earth at its closest. This is for something that is "only" about 59,000,000,000 pounds. While that's more than I can bench press, compare that to most LEO satellites orbiting at 1,200 miles or less above a planet that is the roughly 13,170,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 pounds. While all matter in the universe exerts a gravitation pull -- you're exerting an extremely miniscule gravitational pull towards your computer right now, and vice versa -- the gravitational pull of Apophis is so inconsequential relative to Earth's that it's not worth measuring.

Given everything happening on Earth, there are a number of issues that are magnitudes greater in threat than the infinitesimally small chance of Apophis starting a Kessler syndrome scenario.

[-]

ottermupps@reddit

More to the point - it either misses us and isn't a problem, or it hits us and it isn't a problem.

I either live or I die, and this ain't something I can change.

[-]

MolagbalsMuatra@reddit

We mammals survived the last one.

[-]

switchbladeone@reddit

While I appreciate your downplaying, it matters very little if the damn thing lands on my head so knowing that there is an outside chance is pretty nifty regardless of how infantecimally small it is.

[-]

Superman246o1@reddit

It would be an epic way to go! Many of the more likely societal breakdown scenarios are comparatively banal.

[-]

switchbladeone@reddit

Oh dude, I’m down!
Just let me know in advance I’ll buy a bottle of Wiser Red Letter and some other stuff and go out like a champ with at least one person I actually appreciate.

[-]

Superman246o1@reddit

Sounds good! I've never smoked before, but if the trajectory is headed our way, I'll bring the cigars!

[-]

switchbladeone@reddit

I’ll be sure to issue you an invite.
The Wiser Red Letter is the more important part, it’s my dream bottle of Whisky.

[-]

Acceptable-Tutor5708@reddit

Space debris is the new ocean trash.

[-]

Beginning_Raisin_258@reddit

I think it would be one of the best things ever if it was known that it was going to hit us.

For the economy and for science and engineering.

Imagine all the governments of the world getting together to fund a $10 trillion dollar program to launch hundreds and hundreds of spacecraft to this thing to deflect it.

By the time it was over asteroid mining or a Mars mission would seem like a trivial task.

[-]

lillylilly9@reddit

Currently, there is a one in a billion chance of this asteroid hitting earth. But everyone on Reddit be like, so you’re saying there’s a chance… 😆

[-]

CREDIT_SUS_INTERN@reddit

Apophis is a big one, if it were to impact on land if would literally vaporize an area with a diameter between 80 to 100 km. An ocean impact would be even worse.

[-]

skyway_walker_612@reddit

Imagine if it hit Pittsburgh.

[-]

highapplepie@reddit

Wasn’t till your comment that I read it like “ah-poop-ee” like ah shit

[-]

Relative_Business_81@reddit

Not necessarily. If it explodes in our atmosphere it might cause that level of devastation but it wouldn’t cause a tsunami. If it impacts directly it will cause a crater about 5km across which is still very big and that most certainly would cause a tsunami but almost certainly wouldn’t vaporize 80km out. It really depends on the makeup but it’s only about 350meters across.

[-]

CharmingMechanic2473@reddit

We would know by 2029 it was coming and likely where it would hit.

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

Some people would know - but you really think the governments of the world would let the public know? If it were to hit, there would be global famine due to the global ash cloud. If it hits in ocean - every costal city on that ocean would likely be wiped out by tsunamis a few hundred meters high. The governments would never trust the people to remain civil with impending doom coming.

The impact analysis I saw was that around half of the world’s population would die after an Apophis impact in the oceans due to weather changes and tsunamis.

[-]

AntiGravityBacon@reddit

You can easily figure it out yourself with a couple college textbooks and basic calculus. There's no possible way to keep it secret.

Regardless, it would be the end of the world anyway. And it's been confirmed it'll miss.

https://www.planetary.org/articles/will-apophis-hit-earth

[-]

RusticPotatoFan@reddit

It is much harder than just some college textbooks and basic calculus. Solar wind effect on its surface is non-negligable and the overall effect is determine by material, orientation, and spin. Lot's of other close earth objects that could slightly pull in one direction or another.

[-]

AntiGravityBacon@reddit

Not really, you can literally download NASA research and guides on the process.

https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20050186570/downloads/20050186570.pdf

[-]

RusticPotatoFan@reddit

Great what was your measurement of eps? I would bet it's larger than R_e.

[-]

AntiGravityBacon@reddit

Do your own math

[-]

Naive-Recognition579@reddit

Lol this guy trusts NASA

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

I get the math is widely known. But you have to have actual observations of the comet to log the data points to do the math. Or you’re taking someone else’s data points as truth. The only thing you need to make it look like it won’t hit earth is data that says it won’t. But data can be manipulated easily. Unless there is chain of custody for the data logs or dozens of independent verifications, it’s impossible to know if the data points are correct unless you’re looking at it through a telescope. And according the article above, no one will be able to put a telescope on it again until 2027 due to its position relative to the Sun.

[-]

GoldVictory158@reddit

The data should be ensconced on the blockchain. ApophisCoin to the moon.

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

Now we’re talking.

[-]

hendrix320@reddit

You severely underestimate the passion and equipment that some astronomy hobbyists have

[-]

AntiGravityBacon@reddit

Believe whatever you want dude. I'm not going to fight you about the Illuminati and MIB changing all telescope readings from around the globe.

[-]

grumpyeng@reddit

Why is this not the top comment

[-]

SnooFloofs9640@reddit

Bro, anyone who has University level of math can calculate it.

If you decided not to study and read books it’s on you …

[-]

RusticPotatoFan@reddit

No they can't. It's much harder than you realize as there are tons of other factors of acceleration on the asteroid that can influence its final orbit. Earth is so small that I bet a solid portion of any margin of error would be larger than Earths radius.

[-]

SnooFloofs9640@reddit

Well, I am not astrophysics, but my major was physics and computer engineering. No I it’s not. We can calculate starts movement in 50 lights years away.

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

Please calculate it for me Mr. Orbital Dynamics

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

Maths

[-]

Derrickmb@reddit

Yes please

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

https://youtu.be/Am7EwmxBAW8?si=LUkf2ytwmXDoDM2W

[-]

Derrickmb@reddit

I already know all these concepts. I want to know best known methods to capture and apply positional data to orbit

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

I don’t have any information on that specific topic. At this point I would be using google just like you. Sorry.

[-]

Sororita@reddit

https://wiki.kerbalspaceprogram.com/wiki/Tutorial:Basic_Orbiting(Math)

[-]

Morphray@reddit

Why is ocean worse? I feel like less dust would end up in the air, and we could evacuate all the coastal areas.

[-]

SnooFloofs9640@reddit

It will create tsunami in all directions and likely fuck tons of eco systems and islands

[-]

CREDIT_SUS_INTERN@reddit

According to this study an asteroid the size of Apophis and travelling at a similar speed impacting at an average depth part of any ocean (4 km) would create a tsunami of 10 meters in a radius of 820 km.

Meaning any coastline within a diameter of 1640 km would experience a wave similar to the 2011 tsunami in Japan, and in turn destroy most metropoles of the world.

Water is very good at transferring kinetic energy, contrary a ground impact would turn most of that energy into localized heat.

[-]

OldFartsAreStillCool@reddit

Instantly vaporized isn’t a bad way to go though.

[-]

TSM_forlife@reddit

I’m actually here for it.

[-]

TwoMuddfish@reddit

Certainly better than 300m high tsunami

[-]

LordHighIQthe3rd@reddit

Don't worry. I'm sure SG-1 will come up with a plan to stop Apophis again.

[-]

Jeeper08JK@reddit

Indeed.

[-]

GunGoblin@reddit

Are we talking RDA SG1 or Ben Browder SG1?

[-]

Kickstand8604@reddit

The asteroid that apophis threw at earth was before he launched the assault over Antarctica.

[-]

LordHighIQthe3rd@reddit

Wait shit did this actually happen in an episode? I was just making a pun on the name.

[-]

Civil_Armadillo@reddit

Season 5, episode 17 Fail Safe. Just watched it the other day.

[-]

Apophylita@reddit

I've seen exactly one episode of StarGate and I have fallen in love with the show!

[-]

StudentforaLifetime@reddit

Gotta watch SG1, from seasons 1-7. After 7, it’s just hard to watch.

[-]

BeautifulHindsight@reddit

Hopefully Thor will help!

[-]

AB-1987@reddit

Lets just take the Atlantis spaceship city off earth

[-]

The_Original_Miser@reddit

Jaffa

Kree

[-]

Indigo_Sunset@reddit

What if they break a hip?!

[-]

trigger1154@reddit

What if it got really close and just slingshotted off of our gravity? Would we never see it again?

[-]

surveillance_raven@reddit

Goddamnit, we need Bruce and Ben.

[-]

invisibledirigible@reddit

Shortly after the space rock was discovered, astronomers revealed that Apophis would have an extremely close fly-by with Earth on April 13, 2029, sparking fears that it could hit our planet.

That's a Friday, my dudes.

[-]

Familiar_While2900@reddit

Hope this one is real. I’m tired of paying taxes

[-]

Radiomaster138@reddit

I’m just tired of never being able to make enough money.

[-]

According_Ask9927@reddit

Stop buying Starbucks and avocado toast. So your boss can get a new boat every year.

[-]

Radiomaster138@reddit

My boss rents a house and I own a house. Huge flex over him. lmao

[-]

PoorlyWordedName@reddit

I'm just tired of living in general ☠️

[-]

POSTHVMAN@reddit

To shreds you say?

[-]

StGermainLives@reddit

Have the bleakest upvote ever, my dude.

[-]

Geektomb@reddit

In addition, causing a catastrophic satellite space debris field.

[-]

Radiomaster138@reddit

Gotta pencil that in early with my boss for PTO just in case we all die.

[-]

beardodoom@reddit

I turn 51 that day. Will be partying like I'm 21 since we might die. gif

[-]

JuuzoLenz@reddit

Current timeline is definitely due for a reset. At least this’ll be a fun way to go about it

[-]

LtDangley@reddit

I will be turning 53 that day so guess that means I need to party like I am 23. I am not looking forward to it.

[-]

beardodoom@reddit

Birth/death day twinsies

[-]

BeautifulHindsight@reddit

I hope Thor shows up and saves us!

[-]

BeenBadFeelingGood@reddit

actually, thanks for the heads up. i’m taking that whole week off

[-]

According_Ask9927@reddit

I've heard scientists would lie or be silent in the event of a predicted collision.

[-]

One_Garden2403@reddit

I hope it does. I'm getting bored as hell over here.

[-]

Finz07@reddit

One in a 2 billion chance.

[-]

TheJoshuaAlone@reddit

If it’s not going to dinosaur us what’s the fuckin point man. 😪

[-]

DIRTY_RAGS_@reddit

And that’s 3 years they won’t use our tax dollars on (actually something useful)

[-]

NationalGeometric@reddit

If we hold magnets in the air, will it come in 2028?

[-]

Bulky-Tutor-8909@reddit

Typhon... Nah... A Good Egg Shem! Seti! Zeph!

[-]

kronicus42@reddit

Great…it will hit the year before Star Citizen finally comes out!

[-]

highangler@reddit

lol, don’t you worry about this asteroid. That game will never be out. We’ll all be long dead before they do something in which doesn’t involve scamming people out of their money.

[-]

Jealous-Preference-3@reddit

Oh, thank god!

[-]

rudyattitudedee@reddit

Not if Bruce Willis has anything today about this. By then…he may literally have nothing to say. But one thing is for sure…I don’t wanna to fall asleep ‘Cause I’d miss you baby And I don’t wanna miss a thing

[-]

lilfevre@reddit

Ok but wtf are preppers gonna do about this

[-]

rashnull@reddit

Only Trump can save us now!

[-]

NobodySober@reddit

Please god wipe us all out

[-]

Top-Smile6419@reddit

We will definitely know in 5 years.

[-]

True_Performer1744@reddit

Just another day on earth. If it ain't a dumb ass politician it's something completely out of control of anyone and everyone. So kinda like normal.

[-]

fullyalivetothrive2@reddit

I fucking love fingerling potatoes....

[-]

WhyNotBuyAGoat@reddit

I think chance of impact is like 1 in a billion right now. I'll save my worries for all the other things that might kill us before then.

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

As far as they’re telling us. How many people in the world have access to the source data to make that calculation? And how do we know that data hasn’t been manipulated to show that it’ll miss? The fact is, if Apophis were on trajectory to hit earth, the governments of the world would do everything in their power keep the populace in the dark.

[-]

WhyNotBuyAGoat@reddit

Realistically though, what the fuck are we gonna do about it? There's no point worrying. If it impacts earth it either hits your area and you die, or it doesn't and you are fine.

As far as lasting climate impacts, etc, the majority of us are either already prepped for that or lack the means to do so. Asteroids aren't something I'm prepping for because they are unpreppable. There's nothing I can do so why waste my bandwidth on it.

[-]

TheOneWondering@reddit

It’s not a you’re fine if it doesn’t hit you asteroid. One this size would drastically cool planet due to dust in the atmosphere. Crops all around the world would fail for years. People will starve to death.

[-]

CIMARUTA@reddit

So what youre saying is, buy a lot of canned food

[-]

amgoblue@reddit

And numerous can openers.

[-]

Relative_Business_81@reddit

Some sources say as high as 2.4%ish. So like 1/50ish. It would be bad but it’s not keeping me up at night.

[-]

United-Advisor-5910@reddit

2029 is basically a blink away.

[-]

iCameToLearnSomeCode@reddit

The lotto drawing is only a week away, I'm not preparing to win with a 1 in a billion chance though.

[-]

Newthotz@reddit

But, as op stated, the chances are literally 1 in a billion, which may as well be 0.

[-]

OldFartsAreStillCool@reddit

Whatever. I’m still buying lottery tickets.

[-]

IWannaGoFast00@reddit

More like 22,608,000 blinks away actually.

[-]

jess13z@reddit

This guy maths

[-]

United-Advisor-5910@reddit

Don't you put that evil upon me iwannagofast.

[-]

Worth_Specific8887@reddit

That's a lie. I blinked 3 or 4 times replying.

[-]

WholeNewt6987@reddit

Well, it's 2044 and we're still here.

[-]

Thoraxe474@reddit

I'm not

[-]

PostmasterClavin@reddit

You had a good run

[-]

ruferant@reddit

Technically it is currently estimated at one in 2 billion. It is neither a horseshoe, nor a hand grenade. This is literal fear-mongering. What a joke

[-]

obb_here@reddit

*Based on small impacts changing its trajectory.

We don't actually know the chances of it hitting us. We just know the trajectory it was on before it went behind the sun and if that trajectory stays the same (that's a big assumption, but the best we can do in the current stage) the likelyhood of it getting hit by a smaller astroid that pushes it in our direction is 1 in a billion.

We will know more when it comes around the sun.

[-]

AdditionalAd9794@reddit

Regarding apophis, I've heard this claim argued whether or not it was true or debunked.

But supposedly the asteroid had "disappeared", meaning it was not in the coordinates in the sky calculations and models predicted it would be. Then it appeared in another part of the sky.

Likely there was some variable unseen to astronomers that shifted its course. Maybe it collided with something, or some gravitational force altered its path. It's also possible the math was simply wrong, maybe an equation is flawed.

Point being, I don't know we can necessarily trust the science one way or another

[-]

mgarr_aha@reddit

BS. Asteroid orbit determination is mature science, and they're definitely checking each other's work on this one.

[-]

FuleFreeling6667@reddit

Only if you know all the variables precisely. Read 3- body problem.

[-]

mgarr_aha@reddit

With over 7000 observations spanning 17 years, they know Apophis's orbital parameters quite precisely. The 2029 approach distance uncertainty is only 9 km (3σ).

[-]

Ok_Refrigerator7679@reddit

🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞

[-]

that_guy_who_builds@reddit

Bring it.

[-]

themixar@reddit

Don’t look up!

[-]

FashySmashy420@reddit

If you read the scientific literature on this asteroid, it has to fly through a cosmically small space called a “keyhole” on a pass in order for it to hit us, and they say the chance isn’t impossible, but not likely.

[-]

Writerhaha@reddit

So you’re telling me I can stay on the oil rig and won’t have to train to be an astronaut?

[-]

FashySmashy420@reddit

I mean, if what I’m thinking is gonna happen, you’ll just have to cross train to mine asteroids once we figure out the capture tech.

[-]

WilmaLutefit@reddit

I hope it hits my fucking house

[-]

Low_Organization_54@reddit

Doesn’t need to hit it just needs to be close, horse shoe, hand grenades, thermonuclear weapons and big fuck rocks from space. This is why living at the bottom of the bucket sucks.

[-]

WilmaLutefit@reddit

Well that’s good news for me atleast.

[-]

Low_Organization_54@reddit

Yeah it is relatively small compared to some of the one we know about out there. It is in about eleven hundred feet across at its widest point so a city killer. Not a planet killer, earth and the moon have clear the majority of those out of the local neighborhood.

Don’t get me wrong it hits us in the wrong spot and it will screw things up. Our best bet if it does is somewhere without a large population and not the ocean desert or outter Siberia.

[-]

pony_trekker@reddit

Woo hoo!

[-]

Opinionsare@reddit

The possibility of a second, undiscovered as of now, asteroid redirecting Apophis is minimal plus that the impact could redirect further away in several different directions is more likely that directing it towards earth.

[-]

bytosai2112@reddit

Come on space rock! End this shit already.

[-]

Temporary-Sea-4782@reddit

Didn’t read the article, but the Asteroid has my vote!!!

[-]

AngeloftheSouthWind@reddit

I’ve been tracking this since 2004. They’ve been lying the entire time. 2 data points were collected by the same ammeter astronomer in England. Tokyo missed the data point in 2012 I believe, but the ammeter picked it up. I’m taking a trip to Canada to ride this one out. I’ll be bringing my guns, arrows, swords, knives, and ammunition press. Anyone interested in going to the boarder between the US and Canada? Bring weapons, dried food, medical supplies, and your jewelry. My surgery team is bringing our equipment and the pharmacist is bringing every drug we have.

[-]

aztekno2012@reddit

Deploys the Earth Defense Force!!!

[-]

Enough_Compote_8678@reddit

1,668 days from today

[-]

sharpjabb@reddit

Oh thank goodness! I’m glad it’s almost over. We were long over due. If Earth was a tv show, we jumped the shark a long time ago

[-]

Action_j90210@reddit

Only if we are lucky…

[-]

First_manatee_614@reddit

I'll be dead by then, I wonder how it will turn out

[-]

Dr_Fred@reddit

Sorry to hear that. I wish you peace for your remaining time.

[-]

First_manatee_614@reddit

Thank you, sitting on a porch in Evanston, smoking weed and listening to shamanic drumming. 7 years today since my first cancer diagnosis. It's a good day today.

[-]

PConz25@reddit

I am growing 🍄 right now… if you are still around when they harvest I would love to send you some!

[-]

First_manatee_614@reddit

If you're serious, I would very much appreciate it

[-]

PConz25@reddit

I am totally serious! However I do not expect them to fruit until around mid October. PM me!

[-]

PConz25@reddit

I hope the rest of your days are just as peaceful. I’m sure you are savoring every moment.

[-]

First_manatee_614@reddit

I do my best. Caring for my aged parents at the same time, plant medicine. I do my best

[-]

acimagli@reddit

It’s so crazy that Hollywood put out that movie Don’t look up. IMHO Even if it was coming they would deny it until impact. But if there is a big one then they usually have belts following. So it wouldn’t just be one coming.

[-]

sardoodledom_autism@reddit

Well that’s one way to fix the economy and crippling debt

[-]

ChemicalPositive3469@reddit

As if the aliens would let their genetic experiment get wiped out…

[-]

TheRoadKing101@reddit

And we are supposed to believe another doomsday story from NASA, why?

[-]

cleaver_username2@reddit

Ugh the day before Burt Gummer Day!

[-]

RusticPotatoFan@reddit

To everyone here saying that you can figure out where it will hit with simple maths yall need to open an astronomy textbook and do some practice problems.

For asteroids and orbits like this you even have to factor in the acceleration of the solar wind on its topology (if the albedo is unifrom) as its rotating and orbiting. A slight acceleration in any direction can have significant effects that compound creating large differences.

[-]

UnstoppableCrunknado@reddit

[-]

Metronovix@reddit

As sad as it sounds, I think a catastrophically quick annihilation that isn’t caused by humans or other life on Earth would be the way to go. Can’t be sad we did it ourselves and it’s quick and spectacular. Unless you are hit by ground zero. That would suck. Also if you live in a relatively unaffected area. That would also suck. But then you also can be part of the survivors to rebuild an entire fucking species. Woohoo!

[-]

gandalf_el_brown@reddit

the risk of an impact in 2029 was later ruled out, as was the potential impact risk posed by another close approach in 2036. Until March 2021, however, a small chance of impact in 2068 still remained.

When Apophis made a distant flyby of Earth around March 5, 2021, astronomers took the opportunity to use powerful radar observations to refine the estimate of its orbit around the Sun with extreme precision, enabling them to confidently rule out any impact risk in 2068 and long after.

https://science.nasa.gov/solar-system/asteroids/apophis/

[-]

woodbanger04@reddit

RemindMe! 1096 days “That Apophis is an Ass-triod”

[-]

RemindMeBot@reddit

I will be messaging you in 3 years on 2027-09-16 22:10:01 UTC to remind you of this link

CLICK THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.

^(Parent commenter can ) ^(delete this message to hide from others.)

^(Info)	^(Custom)	^(Your Reminders)	^(Feedback)

[-]

JuuzoLenz@reddit

Can’t wait for the at future confusion I’ll have from this reminder bot

[-]

SpreadDaBread@reddit

So with all our technology we have we still aren’t too sure about….anything.

[-]

Malcolm_Morin@reddit

Brothers in Christ, Apophis isn't even the length of the Titanic. This ain't Chicxulub.

[-]

here4daratio@reddit

1/2 mass x velocity (squared)

[-]

Like_Ottos_Jacket@reddit

The odds of such a calamitous collision are more than one-in-a-billion

Yawn.

[-]

here4daratio@reddit

So… you’re telling me there’s a chance!?

[-]

DooderMcDuder@reddit

There’s some event these ufo guys are talking about happening in 2027-30 maybe this is it.

[-]

ComfortableDegree68@reddit

It's like right on my birthday!

Dear God.......

[-]

steve2166@reddit

Hopefully we won’t have a president that will try to sell the asteroid

[-]

enonmouse@reddit

Another whole ass election cycle? Guh

[-]

TwoMuddfish@reddit

This is a great comment

[-]

OLY_D43TH@reddit

Oh yes, sounds great!

[-]

therealkaiser@reddit

Please

[-]

Adventurous-Call-644@reddit

The meteorite isn't Apophis, it's the 'other one', but don't worry Goddess Apophis will definitely arrive in the next 3 to 4 years. Your cans of beans and boxes of bullets and cache of gold... Will not save you.

[-]

Reddit_Plus_One@reddit

What does this mean

[-]

TheHiddenCMDR@reddit

We gotta go underground

[-]

CharmingMechanic2473@reddit

Being able to evacuate would save you. If it hits the ocean tsunami 🌊 could be epic. Hopefully they will give people in areas some warning.

[-]

ComfortableNumb9669@reddit

Part of me hopes it actually destroys this planet.

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

It doesn’t have the energy required. You’ll have to find another solution to you nihilism.

[-]

ComfortableNumb9669@reddit

No shit Sherlock

[-]

ClubSoda@reddit

Scary fact: we can’t detect anything big coming at us from the direction of the Sun.

[-]

Only-Lab6910@reddit

Just do the detecting at night then. 🤷‍♂️

[-]

ClubSoda@reddit

Why didn't I think of that?

[-]

ThomJero44@reddit

Quit getting my hopes up.

[-]

MrCubano1@reddit

All this tech we have and yet we still have no planetary defense system. Like wtf. It's time!!

[-]

OtisTDrunk@reddit

[-]

Legitimate_Safety437@reddit

Still better than trump's 2nd term

[-]

Necessary-Reading605@reddit

Remember: don’t look up!

[-]

thumperj@reddit

31 kilometers per second

~~It's moving so quickly I doubt the signal from your eyes would have barely hit your brain before you were vaporized.~~

EDIT: Nope, you'll have somewhere between 20 seconds and five minutes after it enters the Earth's atmosphere, depending on where you are.

The Earth's atmosphere is roughly between 600 km and 10000 km in height.

It's traveling at 31 km/s.

At best, that gives 323 seconds or roughly 5.4 minutes until squishy bang bang.

At worst, you'll have about long enough to turn to the nearest person and give them a hug.

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

“The Earths atmosphere is roughly between 600km and 10,000km in height.”

That’s not quite how that works.

“It’s travelling at 31km/s.

At best, that gives you 323 seconds”

That’s definitely not how it works.

The atmosphere doesn’t vary between 600-10,000kms it depends on what you consider to be “atmosphere”.

It’s essentially going to cross interface at approximately the Karman line (100km altitude), and depending on meteor composition may explode before even reaching the planet surface.

So you’ll likely have less than 4 seconds between seeing the first fiery streaks and the explosion.

[-]

thumperj@reddit

Thanks!

Cunningham's Law works every time. :)

[-]

housestickleviper@reddit

There’s dope stuff, like material stuff, like sick apartments and watches, and cars, um, and clothes and shit that could all go away and I don’t wanna see that stuff go away. So I’m gonna say a prayer for that stuff. Amen.

[-]

njkmklkop@reddit

Shit's all fucked up! Don't forget to like and subscribe.

[-]

Randomized007@reddit

If they can knock things off course why isn't it done more often?

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

$$$

It’s not something you undertake for funzies.

You could travel to Antarctica… why don’t you? Why aren’t you, Randomized007 travelling to Antarctica right now on a whim because some rando said something on Reddit.

You don’t want to go?

Must be impossible then.

[-]

NeedlessPedantics@reddit

“The Earths atmosphere is roughly between 600km and 10,000km in height.”

That’s not quite how that works.

“It’s travelling at 31km/s.

At best, that gives you 323 seconds”

That’s definitely not how it works.

The atmosphere doesn’t vary between 600-10,000kms it depends on what you consider to be “atmosphere”.

It’s essentially going to cross interface at approximately the Karman line, and depending on meteor composition may explode before even reaching the planet surface.

So you’ll likely have less than 4 seconds between seeing the first fiery streaks and the explosion.

[-]

sorean_4@reddit

If this Apophis will strike earth, this is a type of a mission NASA is preparing for. To strike an asteroid and divert its path. A number of darts would alter the trajectory of the asteroid.

I think this would be a perfect job for kinetic weapons like a rail gun cannons to break up incoming asteroids with a 100 mile range.

[-]

Dragthismf@reddit

Never thought about the rail gun application. In the surface seems viable

[-]

seataccrunch@reddit

My retirement year , of course

[-]

xdemilitiaman@reddit

They know.

[-]

algaefied_creek@reddit

Oh is this why Elon’s rush to get to Mars in the next 2 years?

[-]

RotisserieChef@reddit

Alright let’s start getting the Oil Drillers ready.

[-]

QueefingTheNightAway@reddit

gif

[-]

A_Bit_Sithy@reddit

Just happen. We no longer deserve to continue as a species

[-]

SpecialistOk3384@reddit

Even if it hits, it won't wipe us out. It's big, but we don't know where it would hit at the moment. And if we did learn where it will hit, it's going to get pretty specific. We will have lots of time to evacuate. And there is a lot of space where it can hit and not cause a cataclysm, because we can plan leaving.

It's somewhere between 800 and 1200 megatons that the explosion estimates are at.

Besides, there is a lot of empty space it is more likely to hit. And it has to change it's speed by happening to get hit by another asteroid in a specific direction to hit. We know it's orbit well enough that it won't go thru the keyhole for a 2036 return, even accounting for the forgotten calculation.

[-]