Is airhint not reliable ?
Posted by Nafnaf911@reddit | Shoestring | View on Reddit | 12 comments
I need to book a Ryanair flight Belgium-Portugal in August (9 to 14). I put a price alert on the flight like 3 months ago. The price was then 186€ with 85% probability of drop.
Now the price is 233€ with 67% probability of drop
Airhint never recommanded to buy always to wait and still now.
Should I stop the massacre and book now or trust the algorithm ?
warpbros@reddit
I know this is old, but what did you finally do? Did you buy it or did you wait? After the first time that you checked it did it get any cheaper? (Although airhint did tell you to wait)
I have discover airhint like a month ago, and I'm following the prices for two flights. Actually I bought the first one, which was 145€, then airhint alerted of a pricedrop although it kept saying that I should wait, I bought it for 115€, and the price went up again after that. I still follow that price to see how good was the advice of "wait" and not buy it.
If I'm not wrong one of the graphs tells you the price range, and when it is near to the minimum it's time to buy, regardless the advice.
I still follow other flght but I don't know if I'm risking a rise in price just waiting for a 10€ drop, that will probably not happen.
Nafnaf911@reddit (OP)
I finally bought it at the proposed price, that kept going up till the last week where it went a bit down, but not as down as the early stages when it was recommended to wait
warpbros@reddit
As an update and following the prices of the same flight that I bought and the one that I haven't bought yet, I would say that the tool is not very useful. As I said I bought the flight for 115€ when Airhint told me to wait, then the price went up to 150€, then down to 140, 125 and again 115€ (and it still said to wait), then went up to 125€. My conclusion is not to wait if the price is 10 or 15% higher than the minimum price, in this case the minimum was 100€.
The one that I haven't bought yet had a minimum of 45, and when I start following it was 64. It maintained the price for several weeks, then went down to 58€ and the next day it went up to 75, and it haven't stopped rising since then, now it is 140€!!! So obviously I should have bought it for 58€ regardless of the airhint advice. Thank goodness I have other options, and I would probably fly to another city
Nafnaf911@reddit (OP)
Using the tool again right now for a Wizzair flight in Georgia in september. Each individual flight is currently at 65% chance of price drop, but they went up the last few weeks. I don't know if I should buy it right now or still wait. Put alert on both in case.
warpbros@reddit
In my opinion the real help of it are the min/max values that you can see in the arch, if the price is not much higher than the minimum value I would buy, especially if the flight is relatively soon. I don't trust too much in the percentage of probability, at least not when they are below 85%. The flght that I bought for 115€ when airhint told me to wait had that 85% of probability, but it hasn't gone any lower than that in the past 2 months (the flight is in the end of July). If you have still some months till the flight, and if you have some other chances you can try to wait, but 65% seems to me a bit low
Surprisingly_me@reddit
Do yourself a favor and skip third parties to book your tickets!
Nafnaf911@reddit (OP)
That's not the point of airhint
Surprisingly_me@reddit
Indeed , but according to their website:
How can I book a flight?
We partner with flight booking affiliates (OTAs) to handle ticket bookings. For and other low-cost airlines, our partners enable booking the selected flight and also show various alternatives.
Nafnaf911@reddit (OP)
I go straight to Ryanair website to book I use airhint for estimation
Surprisingly_me@reddit
Way to go!
-just-be-nice-@reddit
Never heard of them before
A_britiot_abroad@reddit
Ryanair in my experience doesn't get any cheaper only more expensive. They only have set number of seats at each price level and once they have sold it gets more expensive.
Never heard of Airhint so can't comment if reliable.